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Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Larsen Defense

3.9K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Tough Sell
White Expected Score45.2%Range (90% confident): 43.9% – 46.5%Based on 3.9K games
0%45.2%100%
Range (90% confident): 43.9% – 46.5%
Outcome Distribution
43.5%3.4%53.1%
Win
Draw
Loss
8...Bd6
Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Larsen Defense
Analyzen=3.9K
Avg Length33 moves
Sharpness97%
Draw Rate3.4%

What is the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Larsen Defense expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Larsen Defense has a 45.2% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 43.9% and 46.5%), based on 3.9K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointWhite

Peak: -11.6% · Breakpoint: 1200-1399

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 39% → 43%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 38.5% win rate (5 games)
  • 1000-1199: 37.9% win rate (13 games)
  • 1200-1399: 42.2% win rate (85 games)
  • 1400-1599: 43.8% win rate (205 games)
  • 1600-1799: 45.5% win rate (686 games)
  • 1800-1999: 45.0% win rate (1,193 games)
  • 2000-2199: 42.0% win rate (1,040 games)
  • 2200-2499: 41.2% win rate (621 games)
  • 2500+: 42.7% win rate (70 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (60%), worst in Bullet (41%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 60.0% win rate (1 games)
  • Bullet: 41.1% win rate (1,304 games)
  • Blitz: 44.2% win rate (2,230 games)
  • Rapid: 47.6% win rate (369 games)
  • Classical: 41.9% win rate (14 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999————
1000-1199——
1200-1399——
1400-1599——
1600-1799
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499—
2500+———

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 42.4% expected score (5 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 41.3% expected score (10 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 41.8% expected score (65 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 39.8% expected score (18 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 43.1% expected score (78 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 46.1% expected score (112 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 53.0% expected score (15 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 36.2% expected score (122 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 48.8% expected score (495 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 43.8% expected score (63 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 65.4% expected score (5 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 42.9% expected score (286 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 47.4% expected score (727 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 49.7% expected score (173 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 44.2% expected score (7 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 41.0% expected score (423 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 46.6% expected score (518 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 48.0% expected score (98 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 45.8% expected score (261 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 40.7% expected score (342 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 60.9% expected score (17 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 46.4% expected score (54 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 41.4% expected score (16 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Sicilian Defense
48.5%
Variations (5)
Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon
45.7%
Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Exchange Variation
45.8%
Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Maróczy Bind
48.8%
Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Maróczy Bind, Breyer Variation
43.7%
Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Maróczy Bind, Gurgenidze Variation
44.6%
Analyze Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Larsen Defense PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Larsen Defense win rate?

The Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Larsen Defense has a 43.5% (90% CI: 42.2%-44.8%) win rate for white, based on 3.9K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Larsen Defense perform best?

The Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Larsen Defense performs best at 1800-1999 Elo with a 45.0% win rate for white (1.2K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Larsen Defense better in blitz or rapid?

Rapid (47.6%) outperforms Bullet (41.1%) by 6.5%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Larsen Defense?

The Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Larsen Defense has a sharpness score of 96.6 (very decisive), meaning 96.6% of games end decisively. Average game length is 33 moves.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Larsen Defense win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Larsen Defense has a 43.8% (90% CI: 38.2%-49.5%) win rate for white, based on 205 Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 3.1% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Larsen Defense win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Larsen Defense has a 45.5% (90% CI: 42.3%-48.6%) win rate for white, based on 686 Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 1.7% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Larsen Defense win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Larsen Defense has a 45.0% (90% CI: 42.6%-47.4%) win rate for white, based on 1.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.2% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Larsen Defense win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Larsen Defense has a 42.0% (90% CI: 39.5%-44.5%) win rate for white, based on 1.0K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 4.7% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Larsen Defense win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Larsen Defense has a 41.2% (90% CI: 38.0%-44.5%) win rate for white, based on 621 Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 4.3% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Larsen Defense win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Larsen Defense has a 41.1% (90% CI: 38.9%-43.3%) win rate for white (1.3K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.3%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Larsen Defense win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Larsen Defense has a 44.2% (90% CI: 42.5%-45.9%) win rate for white (2.2K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.1%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Larsen Defense win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Larsen Defense has a 47.6% (90% CI: 43.4%-51.9%) win rate for white (369 Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.8%.

Is the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Larsen Defense a good opening?

The Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Larsen Defense is slightly favors black with a 43.5% (90% CI: 42.2%-44.8%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1800-1999 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.