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Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Finegold Defense

32K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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White Expected Score54.3%Range (90% confident): 53.8% – 54.7%Based on 32K games
0%54.3%100%
Range (90% confident): 53.8% – 54.7%
Outcome Distribution
52.3%3.9%43.8%
Win
Draw
Loss
8...Nf6
Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Finegold Defense
Analyzen=32K
Avg Length34 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate3.9%

What is the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Finegold Defense expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Finegold Defense has a 54.3% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 53.8% and 54.7%), based on 32K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointWhite

Peak: +7.8% · Breakpoint: Never

White Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 58% → 56%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 57.9% win rate (8 games)
  • 1000-1199: 57.9% win rate (84 games)
  • 1200-1399: 57.3% win rate (336 games)
  • 1400-1599: 52.1% win rate (1,668 games)
  • 1600-1799: 53.4% win rate (5,571 games)
  • 1800-1999: 51.6% win rate (10,649 games)
  • 2000-2199: 51.9% win rate (9,251 games)
  • 2200-2499: 53.1% win rate (3,768 games)
  • 2500+: 55.6% win rate (282 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Rapid (55%), worst in Blitz (51%)

Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • Bullet: 53.3% win rate (8,580 games)
  • Blitz: 51.4% win rate (19,383 games)
  • Rapid: 55.2% win rate (3,513 games)
  • Classical: 54.4% win rate (141 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999————
1000-1199——
1200-1399——
1400-1599—
1600-1799—
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499—
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 60.6% expected score (8 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 64.2% expected score (62 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 45.4% expected score (20 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 53.3% expected score (194 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 64.5% expected score (130 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 57.5% expected score (12 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 51.4% expected score (704 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 54.7% expected score (881 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 55.6% expected score (80 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 55.1% expected score (1,560 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 54.2% expected score (3,441 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 58.7% expected score (542 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 58.5% expected score (28 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 53.0% expected score (2,372 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 52.9% expected score (6,916 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 58.0% expected score (1,307 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 58.2% expected score (54 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 56.4% expected score (1,830 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 52.9% expected score (6,082 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 57.0% expected score (1,287 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 54.7% expected score (52 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 54.5% expected score (1,600 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 55.4% expected score (1,884 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 58.4% expected score (280 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 86.4% expected score (4 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 56.8% expected score (250 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 68.1% expected score (29 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 72.3% expected score (3 games)

Related Openings

Parent
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Variations (5)
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Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Exchange Variation
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Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Maróczy Bind
48.8%
Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Maróczy Bind, Breyer Variation
43.7%
Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Maróczy Bind, Gurgenidze Variation
44.6%
Analyze Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Finegold Defense PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Finegold Defense win rate?

The Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Finegold Defense has a 52.3% (90% CI: 51.9%-52.8%) win rate for white, based on 32K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Finegold Defense perform best?

The Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Finegold Defense performs best at 1200-1399 Elo with a 57.3% win rate for white (336 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Finegold Defense better in blitz or rapid?

Rapid (55.2%) outperforms Classical (54.4%) by 0.8%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Finegold Defense?

The Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Finegold Defense has a sharpness score of 96.1 (very decisive), meaning 96.1% of games end decisively. Average game length is 34 moves.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Finegold Defense win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Finegold Defense has a 57.3% (90% CI: 52.9%-61.7%) win rate for white, based on 336 Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 1.0% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Finegold Defense win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Finegold Defense has a 52.1% (90% CI: 50.1%-54.2%) win rate for white, based on 1.7K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 2.5% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Finegold Defense win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Finegold Defense has a 53.4% (90% CI: 52.3%-54.5%) win rate for white, based on 5.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 3.0% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Finegold Defense win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Finegold Defense has a 51.6% (90% CI: 50.8%-52.4%) win rate for white, based on 11K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.8% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Finegold Defense win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Finegold Defense has a 51.9% (90% CI: 51.0%-52.7%) win rate for white, based on 9.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 4.6% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Finegold Defense win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Finegold Defense has a 53.1% (90% CI: 51.7%-54.4%) win rate for white, based on 3.8K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 4.3% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Finegold Defense win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Finegold Defense has a 55.6% (90% CI: 50.7%-60.4%) win rate for white, based on 282 Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 5.5% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Finegold Defense win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Finegold Defense has a 53.3% (90% CI: 52.4%-54.2%) win rate for white (8.6K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.3%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Finegold Defense win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Finegold Defense has a 51.4% (90% CI: 50.8%-52.0%) win rate for white (19K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.3%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Finegold Defense win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Finegold Defense has a 55.2% (90% CI: 53.8%-56.6%) win rate for white (3.5K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.1%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Finegold Defense win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Finegold Defense has a 54.4% (90% CI: 47.5%-61.2%) win rate for white (141 Lichess games). Draw rate is 8.1%.

Is the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Finegold Defense a good opening?

The Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Finegold Defense is statistically favors white with a 52.3% (90% CI: 51.9%-52.8%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1200-1399 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.