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Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Fianchetto Defense

283K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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White Expected Score54.7%Range (90% confident): 54.6% – 54.9%Based on 283K games
0%54.7%100%
Range (90% confident): 54.6% – 54.9%
Outcome Distribution
53.1%3.2%43.7%
Win
Draw
Loss
5...g6
Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Fianchetto Defense
Analyzen=283K
Avg Length31 moves
Sharpness97%
Draw Rate3.2%

What is the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Fianchetto Defense expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Fianchetto Defense has a 54.7% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 54.6% and 54.9%), based on 283K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointWhite

Peak: +12.2% · Breakpoint: 0-999

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 46% → 53%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 46.2% win rate (857 games)
  • 1000-1199: 50.1% win rate (4,614 games)
  • 1200-1399: 51.4% win rate (14,778 games)
  • 1400-1599: 52.2% win rate (37,305 games)
  • 1600-1799: 52.8% win rate (68,804 games)
  • 1800-1999: 53.5% win rate (79,088 games)
  • 2000-2199: 54.1% win rate (51,593 games)
  • 2200-2499: 54.6% win rate (22,636 games)
  • 2500+: 53.4% win rate (3,057 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (63%), worst in Classical (50%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 62.7% win rate (36 games)
  • Bullet: 53.5% win rate (96,258 games)
  • Blitz: 53.0% win rate (151,543 games)
  • Rapid: 53.0% win rate (33,699 games)
  • Classical: 49.6% win rate (1,196 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199—
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 45.5% expected score (495 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 47.6% expected score (309 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 53.7% expected score (53 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 51.4% expected score (2,553 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 49.2% expected score (1,757 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 55.3% expected score (303 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 86.4% expected score (4 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 53.1% expected score (6,535 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 52.0% expected score (6,891 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 51.2% expected score (1,328 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 64.0% expected score (20 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 73.8% expected score (9 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 54.1% expected score (12,787 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 53.2% expected score (20,225 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 52.5% expected score (4,161 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 42.0% expected score (123 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (8 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 54.2% expected score (19,130 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 54.3% expected score (40,171 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 54.0% expected score (9,151 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 53.7% expected score (344 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 54.8% expected score (20,388 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 55.3% expected score (46,829 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 55.8% expected score (11,392 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 51.4% expected score (476 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 55.5% expected score (17,745 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 56.1% expected score (27,506 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 56.5% expected score (6,126 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 55.8% expected score (213 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 42.4% expected score (5 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 56.1% expected score (13,882 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 57.0% expected score (7,560 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 60.1% expected score (1,170 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 69.6% expected score (19 games)
  • 2500+ rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (4 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 56.2% expected score (2,743 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 56.2% expected score (295 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 74.3% expected score (15 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Sicilian Defense
48.5%
Variations (5)
Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon
45.7%
Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Exchange Variation
45.8%
Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Maróczy Bind
48.8%
Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Maróczy Bind, Breyer Variation
43.7%
Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Maróczy Bind, Gurgenidze Variation
44.6%
Analyze Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Fianchetto Defense PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Fianchetto Defense win rate?

The Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Fianchetto Defense has a 53.1% (90% CI: 53.0%-53.3%) win rate for white, based on 283K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Fianchetto Defense perform best?

The Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Fianchetto Defense performs best at 2200-2499 Elo with a 54.6% win rate for white (23K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Fianchetto Defense better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (53.5%) outperforms Classical (49.6%) by 3.9%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Fianchetto Defense?

The Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Fianchetto Defense has a sharpness score of 96.8 (very decisive), meaning 96.8% of games end decisively. Average game length is 31 moves.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Fianchetto Defense win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Fianchetto Defense has a 46.2% (90% CI: 43.4%-49.0%) win rate for white, based on 857 Lichess games. Average game length is 23 moves with a 1.1% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Fianchetto Defense win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Fianchetto Defense has a 50.1% (90% CI: 48.9%-51.4%) win rate for white, based on 4.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 25 moves with a 1.4% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Fianchetto Defense win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Fianchetto Defense has a 51.4% (90% CI: 50.7%-52.1%) win rate for white, based on 15K Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 2.1% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Fianchetto Defense win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Fianchetto Defense has a 52.2% (90% CI: 51.8%-52.6%) win rate for white, based on 37K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 2.3% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Fianchetto Defense win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Fianchetto Defense has a 52.8% (90% CI: 52.5%-53.1%) win rate for white, based on 69K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 2.9% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Fianchetto Defense win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Fianchetto Defense has a 53.5% (90% CI: 53.2%-53.8%) win rate for white, based on 79K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.4% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Fianchetto Defense win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Fianchetto Defense has a 54.1% (90% CI: 53.7%-54.4%) win rate for white, based on 52K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.7% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Fianchetto Defense win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Fianchetto Defense has a 54.6% (90% CI: 54.0%-55.1%) win rate for white, based on 23K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 4.2% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Fianchetto Defense win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Fianchetto Defense has a 53.4% (90% CI: 51.9%-54.9%) win rate for white, based on 3.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 5.7% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Fianchetto Defense win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Fianchetto Defense has a 53.5% (90% CI: 53.2%-53.7%) win rate for white (96K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.4%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Fianchetto Defense win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Fianchetto Defense has a 53.0% (90% CI: 52.8%-53.2%) win rate for white (152K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.5%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Fianchetto Defense win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Fianchetto Defense has a 53.0% (90% CI: 52.5%-53.4%) win rate for white (34K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.0%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Fianchetto Defense win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Fianchetto Defense has a 49.6% (90% CI: 47.3%-52.0%) win rate for white (1.2K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.6%.

Is the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Fianchetto Defense a good opening?

The Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Fianchetto Defense is statistically favors white with a 53.1% (90% CI: 53.0%-53.3%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2200-2499 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.