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Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Danish Variation

35K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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White Expected Score52.8%Range (90% confident): 52.3% – 53.2%Based on 35K games
0%52.8%100%
Range (90% confident): 52.3% – 53.2%
Outcome Distribution
51.3%2.8%45.8%
Win
Draw
Loss
4.Nf3
Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Danish Variation
Analyzen=35K
Avg Length31 moves
Sharpness97%
Draw Rate2.8%

What is the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Danish Variation expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Danish Variation has a 52.8% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 52.3% and 53.2%), based on 35K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointWhite

Peak: +7.5% · Breakpoint: 1000-1199

White Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 58% → 54%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 58.1% win rate (106 games)
  • 1000-1199: 48.9% win rate (558 games)
  • 1200-1399: 51.1% win rate (1,992 games)
  • 1400-1599: 52.0% win rate (4,112 games)
  • 1600-1799: 52.0% win rate (7,435 games)
  • 1800-1999: 51.9% win rate (9,667 games)
  • 2000-2199: 49.9% win rate (6,233 games)
  • 2200-2499: 49.8% win rate (3,459 games)
  • 2500+: 54.0% win rate (983 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (57%), worst in Classical (44%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 57.0% win rate (45 games)
  • Bullet: 51.8% win rate (15,170 games)
  • Blitz: 51.2% win rate (16,678 games)
  • Rapid: 49.9% win rate (2,607 games)
  • Classical: 44.1% win rate (45 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199—
1200-1399—
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 53.3% expected score (59 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 74.7% expected score (35 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (12 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 50.5% expected score (215 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 50.6% expected score (251 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 45.7% expected score (91 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 53.6% expected score (604 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 51.6% expected score (1,186 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (200 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 83.4% expected score (3 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 53.2% expected score (1,217 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 53.1% expected score (2,442 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 52.5% expected score (439 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (11 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 55.9% expected score (7 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 54.1% expected score (2,192 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 53.4% expected score (4,379 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 50.5% expected score (840 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (17 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (6 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 54.0% expected score (3,817 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 53.0% expected score (5,127 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 52.4% expected score (704 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 39.7% expected score (13 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 51.8% expected score (3,562 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 51.0% expected score (2,394 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 54.6% expected score (274 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 60.6% expected score (22 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 50.8% expected score (2,584 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 53.5% expected score (805 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 62.4% expected score (47 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2500+ rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (4 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 56.3% expected score (920 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 58.3% expected score (59 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Sicilian Defense
48.5%
Variations (5)
Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon
45.7%
Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Exchange Variation
45.8%
Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Maróczy Bind
48.8%
Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Maróczy Bind, Breyer Variation
43.7%
Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Maróczy Bind, Gurgenidze Variation
44.6%
Analyze Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Danish Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Danish Variation win rate?

The Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Danish Variation has a 51.3% (90% CI: 50.9%-51.8%) win rate for white, based on 35K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Danish Variation perform best?

The Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Danish Variation performs best at 2500+ Elo with a 54.0% win rate for white (983 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Danish Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (51.8%) outperforms Rapid (49.9%) by 1.9%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Danish Variation?

The Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Danish Variation has a sharpness score of 97.2 (very decisive), meaning 97.2% of games end decisively. Average game length is 31 moves.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Danish Variation win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Danish Variation has a 58.1% (90% CI: 50.3%-65.8%) win rate for white, based on 106 Lichess games. Average game length is 23 moves with a 4.2% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Danish Variation win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Danish Variation has a 48.9% (90% CI: 45.4%-52.4%) win rate for white, based on 558 Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 1.5% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Danish Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Danish Variation has a 51.1% (90% CI: 49.3%-53.0%) win rate for white, based on 2.0K Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 1.8% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Danish Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Danish Variation has a 52.0% (90% CI: 50.7%-53.3%) win rate for white, based on 4.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 2.1% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Danish Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Danish Variation has a 52.0% (90% CI: 51.0%-52.9%) win rate for white, based on 7.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 2.6% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Danish Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Danish Variation has a 51.9% (90% CI: 51.1%-52.7%) win rate for white, based on 9.7K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 2.8% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Danish Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Danish Variation has a 49.9% (90% CI: 48.9%-50.9%) win rate for white, based on 6.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.3% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Danish Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Danish Variation has a 49.8% (90% CI: 48.4%-51.2%) win rate for white, based on 3.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 3.6% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Danish Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Danish Variation has a 54.0% (90% CI: 51.4%-56.6%) win rate for white, based on 983 Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 4.7% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Danish Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Danish Variation has a 51.8% (90% CI: 51.1%-52.5%) win rate for white (15K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.3%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Danish Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Danish Variation has a 51.2% (90% CI: 50.5%-51.8%) win rate for white (17K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.2%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Danish Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Danish Variation has a 49.9% (90% CI: 48.3%-51.5%) win rate for white (2.6K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.7%.

Is the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Danish Variation a good opening?

The Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Danish Variation is statistically favors white with a 51.3% (90% CI: 50.9%-51.8%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2500+ Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.