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Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Classical Formation

80K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
White Expected Score48.4%Range (90% confident): 48.1% – 48.7%Based on 80K games
0%48.4%100%
Range (90% confident): 48.1% – 48.7%
Outcome Distribution
46.0%4.8%49.2%
Win
Draw
Loss
7...Nf6
Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Classical Formation
Analyzen=80K
Avg Length34 moves
Sharpness95%
Draw Rate4.8%

What is the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Classical Formation expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Classical Formation has a 48.4% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 48.1% and 48.7%), based on 80K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointWhite

Peak: -1.4% · Breakpoint: 0-999

White Win% by Rating

Stable across ratings (~47%)

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 46.5% win rate (62 games)
  • 1000-1199: 46.8% win rate (288 games)
  • 1200-1399: 50.6% win rate (963 games)
  • 1400-1599: 49.1% win rate (3,145 games)
  • 1600-1799: 48.3% win rate (8,186 games)
  • 1800-1999: 45.6% win rate (16,937 games)
  • 2000-2199: 44.7% win rate (25,244 games)
  • 2200-2499: 46.4% win rate (20,848 games)
  • 2500+: 45.5% win rate (4,424 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (60%), worst in Classical (42%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 60.0% win rate (1 games)
  • Bullet: 46.4% win rate (25,570 games)
  • Blitz: 45.9% win rate (46,951 games)
  • Rapid: 45.2% win rate (7,215 games)
  • Classical: 42.2% win rate (360 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199——
1200-1399—
1400-1599—
1600-1799—
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499—
2500+

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 46.9% expected score (47 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 42.6% expected score (12 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 55.4% expected score (166 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 38.5% expected score (107 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 31.9% expected score (15 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 52.5% expected score (406 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 51.3% expected score (483 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 46.0% expected score (73 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 50.2% expected score (976 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 51.7% expected score (1,801 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 48.4% expected score (359 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 40.5% expected score (9 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 48.6% expected score (2,209 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 50.5% expected score (4,918 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 48.9% expected score (1,003 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 44.8% expected score (56 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 47.7% expected score (3,802 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 47.7% expected score (10,922 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 47.5% expected score (2,053 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 46.0% expected score (160 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 46.9% expected score (6,044 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 47.3% expected score (16,596 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 47.5% expected score (2,494 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 44.6% expected score (110 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 48.6% expected score (8,452 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 49.5% expected score (11,222 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 50.1% expected score (1,152 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 54.3% expected score (22 games)
  • 2500+ rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 48.3% expected score (3,468 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 53.6% expected score (890 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 53.1% expected score (63 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 64.3% expected score (2 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Sicilian Defense
48.5%
Variations (5)
Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon
45.7%
Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Exchange Variation
45.8%
Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Maróczy Bind
48.8%
Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Maróczy Bind, Breyer Variation
43.7%
Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Maróczy Bind, Gurgenidze Variation
44.6%
Analyze Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Classical Formation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Classical Formation win rate?

The Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Classical Formation has a 46.0% (90% CI: 45.7%-46.3%) win rate for white, based on 80K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Classical Formation perform best?

The Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Classical Formation performs best at 1200-1399 Elo with a 50.6% win rate for white (963 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Classical Formation better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (46.4%) outperforms Classical (42.2%) by 4.2%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Classical Formation?

The Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Classical Formation has a sharpness score of 95.2 (very decisive), meaning 95.2% of games end decisively. Average game length is 34 moves.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Classical Formation win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Classical Formation has a 46.8% (90% CI: 42.0%-51.6%) win rate for white, based on 288 Lichess games. Average game length is 25 moves with a 1.9% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Classical Formation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Classical Formation has a 50.6% (90% CI: 48.0%-53.3%) win rate for white, based on 963 Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 1.5% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Classical Formation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Classical Formation has a 49.1% (90% CI: 47.7%-50.6%) win rate for white, based on 3.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 3.3% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Classical Formation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Classical Formation has a 48.3% (90% CI: 47.4%-49.2%) win rate for white, based on 8.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 2.8% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Classical Formation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Classical Formation has a 45.6% (90% CI: 45.0%-46.2%) win rate for white, based on 17K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 4.1% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Classical Formation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Classical Formation has a 44.7% (90% CI: 44.1%-45.2%) win rate for white, based on 25K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 5.1% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Classical Formation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Classical Formation has a 46.4% (90% CI: 45.8%-46.9%) win rate for white, based on 21K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 5.6% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Classical Formation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Classical Formation has a 45.5% (90% CI: 44.3%-46.8%) win rate for white, based on 4.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 40 moves with a 7.9% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Classical Formation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Classical Formation has a 46.4% (90% CI: 45.9%-46.9%) win rate for white (26K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.5%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Classical Formation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Classical Formation has a 45.9% (90% CI: 45.5%-46.3%) win rate for white (47K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.3%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Classical Formation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Classical Formation has a 45.2% (90% CI: 44.3%-46.2%) win rate for white (7.2K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.8%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Classical Formation win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Classical Formation has a 42.2% (90% CI: 37.9%-46.5%) win rate for white (360 Lichess games). Draw rate is 7.6%.

Is the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Classical Formation a good opening?

The Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Classical Formation is statistically balanced with a 46.0% (90% CI: 45.7%-46.3%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1200-1399 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.