3.4K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026
At all ratings, the Sicilian Defense: Richter-Rauzer Variation, Podebrady Variation has a 50.3% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 48.9% and 51.7%), based on 3.4K Lichess games.
Improves with rating: 33% → 49%
Best in Classical (65%), worst in Rapid (42%)
Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.
| Rating | UB | Bulle | Blitz | Rapid | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-999 | — | — | — | ||
| 1000-1199 | — | ||||
| 1200-1399 | — | ||||
| 1400-1599 | |||||
| 1600-1799 | |||||
| 1800-1999 | — | ||||
| 2000-2199 | — | ||||
| 2200-2499 | — | — | |||
| 2500+ | — | — |
Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control
The Sicilian Defense: Richter-Rauzer Variation, Podebrady Variation has a 47.9% (90% CI: 46.5%-49.3%) win rate for white, based on 3.4K rated games from Lichess.
The Sicilian Defense: Richter-Rauzer Variation, Podebrady Variation performs best at 1800-1999 Elo with a 51.5% win rate for white (588 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.
Bullet (49.5%) outperforms Rapid (42.0%) by 7.5%. Choose your time control wisely.
The Sicilian Defense: Richter-Rauzer Variation, Podebrady Variation has a sharpness score of 95.2 (very decisive), meaning 95.2% of games end decisively. Average game length is 36 moves.
At 1200-1399 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Richter-Rauzer Variation, Podebrady Variation has a 47.0% (90% CI: 39.8%-54.3%) win rate for white, based on 125 Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.6% draw rate.
At 1400-1599 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Richter-Rauzer Variation, Podebrady Variation has a 49.9% (90% CI: 45.3%-54.6%) win rate for white, based on 308 Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 1.8% draw rate.
At 1600-1799 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Richter-Rauzer Variation, Podebrady Variation has a 45.0% (90% CI: 41.5%-48.5%) win rate for white, based on 542 Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 5.4% draw rate.
At 1800-1999 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Richter-Rauzer Variation, Podebrady Variation has a 51.5% (90% CI: 48.1%-54.9%) win rate for white, based on 588 Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 4.8% draw rate.
At 2000-2199 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Richter-Rauzer Variation, Podebrady Variation has a 46.8% (90% CI: 43.6%-49.9%) win rate for white, based on 673 Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 4.8% draw rate.
At 2200-2499 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Richter-Rauzer Variation, Podebrady Variation has a 47.1% (90% CI: 44.3%-49.9%) win rate for white, based on 847 Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 6.5% draw rate.
At 2500+ Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Richter-Rauzer Variation, Podebrady Variation has a 49.0% (90% CI: 43.5%-54.5%) win rate for white, based on 222 Lichess games. Average game length is 40 moves with a 2.9% draw rate.
In Bullet games, the Sicilian Defense: Richter-Rauzer Variation, Podebrady Variation has a 49.5% (90% CI: 47.3%-51.8%) win rate for white (1.3K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.7%.
In Blitz games, the Sicilian Defense: Richter-Rauzer Variation, Podebrady Variation has a 47.3% (90% CI: 45.3%-49.2%) win rate for white (1.8K Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.1%.
In Rapid games, the Sicilian Defense: Richter-Rauzer Variation, Podebrady Variation has a 42.0% (90% CI: 37.0%-47.1%) win rate for white (252 Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.5%.
The Sicilian Defense: Richter-Rauzer Variation, Podebrady Variation is statistically balanced with a 47.9% (90% CI: 46.5%-49.3%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1800-1999 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.