What is the Sicilian Defense: Prins Variation expected score for White?
At all ratings, the Sicilian Defense: Prins Variation has a 53.7% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 53.6% and 53.9%), based on 280K Lichess games.
280K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026
At all ratings, the Sicilian Defense: Prins Variation has a 53.7% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 53.6% and 53.9%), based on 280K Lichess games.
Improves with rating: 45% → 53%
Best in Blitz (51%), worst in UltraBullet (44%)
Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.
| Rating | UB | Bulle | Blitz | Rapid | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-999 | |||||
| 1000-1199 | |||||
| 1200-1399 | |||||
| 1400-1599 | |||||
| 1600-1799 | |||||
| 1800-1999 | — | ||||
| 2000-2199 | — | ||||
| 2200-2499 | — | ||||
| 2500+ | — | — |
Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control
The Sicilian Defense: Prins Variation has a 50.9% (90% CI: 50.8%-51.1%) win rate for white, based on 280K rated games from Lichess.
The Sicilian Defense: Prins Variation performs best at 2200-2499 Elo with a 52.8% win rate for white (53K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.
Blitz (51.4%) outperforms Classical (45.8%) by 5.6%. Choose your time control wisely.
The Sicilian Defense: Prins Variation has a sharpness score of 94.4 (decisive), meaning 94.4% of games end decisively. Average game length is 38 moves.
At 0-999 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Prins Variation has a 44.6% (90% CI: 42.3%-46.8%) win rate for white, based on 1.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 3.8% draw rate.
At 1000-1199 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Prins Variation has a 43.5% (90% CI: 42.0%-44.9%) win rate for white, based on 3.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 2.6% draw rate.
At 1200-1399 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Prins Variation has a 45.2% (90% CI: 44.2%-46.2%) win rate for white, based on 7.0K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.0% draw rate.
At 1400-1599 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Prins Variation has a 47.2% (90% CI: 46.5%-47.8%) win rate for white, based on 16K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.2% draw rate.
At 1600-1799 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Prins Variation has a 49.5% (90% CI: 49.1%-50.0%) win rate for white, based on 39K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 4.0% draw rate.
At 1800-1999 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Prins Variation has a 51.0% (90% CI: 50.6%-51.3%) win rate for white, based on 68K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 4.9% draw rate.
At 2000-2199 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Prins Variation has a 51.6% (90% CI: 51.3%-51.9%) win rate for white, based on 75K Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 6.0% draw rate.
At 2200-2499 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Prins Variation has a 52.8% (90% CI: 52.5%-53.2%) win rate for white, based on 53K Lichess games. Average game length is 41 moves with a 7.7% draw rate.
At 2500+ Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Prins Variation has a 53.0% (90% CI: 52.4%-53.7%) win rate for white, based on 16K Lichess games. Average game length is 44 moves with a 8.2% draw rate.
In Bullet games, the Sicilian Defense: Prins Variation has a 51.1% (90% CI: 50.9%-51.4%) win rate for white (84K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.9%.
In Blitz games, the Sicilian Defense: Prins Variation has a 51.4% (90% CI: 51.2%-51.6%) win rate for white (165K Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.2%.
In Rapid games, the Sicilian Defense: Prins Variation has a 48.3% (90% CI: 47.8%-48.8%) win rate for white (29K Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.8%.
In Classical games, the Sicilian Defense: Prins Variation has a 45.8% (90% CI: 43.7%-47.8%) win rate for white (1.6K Lichess games). Draw rate is 8.6%.
The Sicilian Defense: Prins Variation is statistically favors white with a 50.9% (90% CI: 50.8%-51.1%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2200-2499 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.