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Sicilian Defense: Pin Variation, Koch Variation

55K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
White Expected Score51.3%Range (90% confident): 50.9% – 51.6%Based on 55K games
0%51.3%100%
Range (90% confident): 50.9% – 51.6%
Outcome Distribution
49.1%4.3%46.6%
Win
Draw
Loss
6.e5
Sicilian Defense: Pin Variation, Koch Variation
Analyzen=55K
Avg Length32 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate4.3%

What is the Sicilian Defense: Pin Variation, Koch Variation expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Sicilian Defense: Pin Variation, Koch Variation has a 51.3% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 50.9% and 51.6%), based on 55K Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Stable across ratings (~47%)

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 47.4% win rate (84 games)
  • 1000-1199: 49.8% win rate (357 games)
  • 1200-1399: 45.3% win rate (1,107 games)
  • 1400-1599: 47.7% win rate (2,892 games)
  • 1600-1799: 48.2% win rate (5,937 games)
  • 1800-1999: 48.6% win rate (9,546 games)
  • 2000-2199: 50.5% win rate (15,035 games)
  • 2200-2499: 49.1% win rate (15,763 games)
  • 2500+: 47.8% win rate (3,853 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Classical (53%), worst in UltraBullet (30%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 30.4% win rate (10 games)
  • Bullet: 47.9% win rate (21,336 games)
  • Blitz: 49.4% win rate (28,605 games)
  • Rapid: 52.5% win rate (4,420 games)
  • Classical: 52.6% win rate (203 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999—
1000-1199——
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199—
2200-2499
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 35.4% expected score (43 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 65.0% expected score (32 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (8 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 51.7% expected score (149 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 51.3% expected score (154 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 53.7% expected score (54 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 48.7% expected score (377 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 46.1% expected score (572 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 45.6% expected score (156 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 38.9% expected score (3 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 47.2% expected score (1,053 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 50.4% expected score (1,384 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 53.6% expected score (430 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 54.3% expected score (22 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 48.0% expected score (1,990 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 50.6% expected score (3,030 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 52.1% expected score (864 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 44.4% expected score (52 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 49.6% expected score (2,968 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 49.9% expected score (5,386 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 54.9% expected score (1,124 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 54.4% expected score (67 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 51.5% expected score (4,856 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 52.6% expected score (8,911 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 56.7% expected score (1,218 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 66.5% expected score (50 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (3 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 48.8% expected score (7,111 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 53.1% expected score (8,088 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 62.2% expected score (550 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 82.0% expected score (11 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 49.9% expected score (2,789 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 55.0% expected score (1,048 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 61.5% expected score (16 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Sicilian Defense
48.5%
Variations (5)
Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon
45.7%
Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Exchange Variation
45.8%
Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Maróczy Bind
48.8%
Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Maróczy Bind, Breyer Variation
43.7%
Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Maróczy Bind, Gurgenidze Variation
44.6%
Analyze Sicilian Defense: Pin Variation, Koch Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Sicilian Defense: Pin Variation, Koch Variation win rate?

The Sicilian Defense: Pin Variation, Koch Variation has a 49.1% (90% CI: 48.7%-49.4%) win rate for white, based on 55K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Sicilian Defense: Pin Variation, Koch Variation perform best?

The Sicilian Defense: Pin Variation, Koch Variation performs best at 2000-2199 Elo with a 50.5% win rate for white (15K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Sicilian Defense: Pin Variation, Koch Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Rapid (52.5%) outperforms Classical (52.6%) by -0.1%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Sicilian Defense: Pin Variation, Koch Variation?

The Sicilian Defense: Pin Variation, Koch Variation has a sharpness score of 95.7 (very decisive), meaning 95.7% of games end decisively. Average game length is 32 moves.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Pin Variation, Koch Variation win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Pin Variation, Koch Variation has a 49.8% (90% CI: 45.5%-54.1%) win rate for white, based on 357 Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 4.0% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Pin Variation, Koch Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Pin Variation, Koch Variation has a 45.3% (90% CI: 42.9%-47.8%) win rate for white, based on 1.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 3.1% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Pin Variation, Koch Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Pin Variation, Koch Variation has a 47.7% (90% CI: 46.2%-49.3%) win rate for white, based on 2.9K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 3.8% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Pin Variation, Koch Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Pin Variation, Koch Variation has a 48.2% (90% CI: 47.1%-49.3%) win rate for white, based on 5.9K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 3.4% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Pin Variation, Koch Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Pin Variation, Koch Variation has a 48.6% (90% CI: 47.8%-49.5%) win rate for white, based on 9.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 3.5% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Pin Variation, Koch Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Pin Variation, Koch Variation has a 50.5% (90% CI: 49.9%-51.2%) win rate for white, based on 15K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 4.2% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Pin Variation, Koch Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Pin Variation, Koch Variation has a 49.1% (90% CI: 48.4%-49.7%) win rate for white, based on 16K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 4.8% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Pin Variation, Koch Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Pin Variation, Koch Variation has a 47.8% (90% CI: 46.5%-49.1%) win rate for white, based on 3.9K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 7.0% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Pin Variation, Koch Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Sicilian Defense: Pin Variation, Koch Variation has a 47.9% (90% CI: 47.3%-48.4%) win rate for white (21K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.2%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Pin Variation, Koch Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Sicilian Defense: Pin Variation, Koch Variation has a 49.4% (90% CI: 48.9%-49.9%) win rate for white (29K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.9%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Pin Variation, Koch Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Sicilian Defense: Pin Variation, Koch Variation has a 52.5% (90% CI: 51.3%-53.8%) win rate for white (4.4K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.6%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Pin Variation, Koch Variation win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Sicilian Defense: Pin Variation, Koch Variation has a 52.6% (90% CI: 46.8%-58.3%) win rate for white (203 Lichess games). Draw rate is 8.6%.

Is the Sicilian Defense: Pin Variation, Koch Variation a good opening?

The Sicilian Defense: Pin Variation, Koch Variation is statistically balanced with a 49.1% (90% CI: 48.7%-49.4%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2000-2199 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.