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Sicilian Defense: Open

6.6M games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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White Expected Score52.2%Range (90% confident): 52.2% – 52.3%Based on 6.6M games
0%52.2%100%
Range (90% confident): 52.2% – 52.3%
Outcome Distribution
50.3%3.8%45.9%
Win
Draw
Loss
4...Nf6
Sicilian Defense: Open
Analyzen=6.6M
Avg Length33 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate3.8%

What is the Sicilian Defense: Open expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Sicilian Defense: Open has a 52.2% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 52.2% and 52.3%), based on 6.6M Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Stable across ratings (~51%)

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 50.8% win rate (98,096 games)
  • 1000-1199: 52.0% win rate (298,270 games)
  • 1200-1399: 51.3% win rate (648,659 games)
  • 1400-1599: 50.6% win rate (1,117,033 games)
  • 1600-1799: 49.9% win rate (1,528,463 games)
  • 1800-1999: 49.7% win rate (1,569,983 games)
  • 2000-2199: 50.2% win rate (910,957 games)
  • 2200-2499: 50.6% win rate (351,494 games)
  • 2500+: 50.8% win rate (39,034 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Similar across time controls (~51%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 50.1% win rate (6,840 games)
  • Bullet: 50.0% win rate (2,454,589 games)
  • Blitz: 50.3% win rate (3,295,976 games)
  • Rapid: 50.9% win rate (779,633 games)
  • Classical: 50.9% win rate (24,951 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 44.2% expected score (299 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 50.8% expected score (43,635 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 52.8% expected score (43,091 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 54.2% expected score (11,008 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 57.0% expected score (63 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 51.2% expected score (958 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 52.0% expected score (124,244 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 54.1% expected score (137,917 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 55.3% expected score (34,766 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 51.1% expected score (385 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 52.5% expected score (1,201 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 51.6% expected score (240,288 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 53.3% expected score (320,631 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 54.6% expected score (84,931 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 53.1% expected score (1,608 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 49.1% expected score (1,794 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 51.2% expected score (384,388 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 52.6% expected score (569,609 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 53.7% expected score (155,172 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 53.6% expected score (6,070 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 53.0% expected score (1,274 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 51.2% expected score (481,678 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 51.8% expected score (832,481 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 52.6% expected score (204,275 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 53.5% expected score (8,755 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 51.6% expected score (730 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 51.3% expected score (506,562 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 52.0% expected score (866,101 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 52.4% expected score (190,273 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 54.7% expected score (6,317 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 50.8% expected score (385 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 51.5% expected score (398,821 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 53.1% expected score (426,833 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 53.8% expected score (83,327 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 56.7% expected score (1,591 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 47.8% expected score (179 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 52.4% expected score (239,630 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 54.6% expected score (95,864 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 56.3% expected score (15,664 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 59.2% expected score (157 games)
  • 2500+ rating, UltraBullet: 29.1% expected score (20 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 53.6% expected score (35,343 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 57.2% expected score (3,449 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 62.4% expected score (217 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 65.4% expected score (5 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Sicilian Defense
48.5%
Variations (5)
Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon
45.7%
Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Exchange Variation
45.8%
Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Maróczy Bind
48.8%
Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Maróczy Bind, Breyer Variation
43.7%
Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Maróczy Bind, Gurgenidze Variation
44.6%
Analyze Sicilian Defense: Open PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Sicilian Defense: Open win rate?

The Sicilian Defense: Open has a 50.3% (90% CI: 50.3%-50.3%) win rate for white, based on 6.6M rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Sicilian Defense: Open perform best?

The Sicilian Defense: Open performs best at 1000-1199 Elo with a 52.0% win rate for white (298K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Sicilian Defense: Open better in blitz or rapid?

Rapid (50.9%) outperforms UltraBullet (50.1%) by 0.8%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Sicilian Defense: Open?

The Sicilian Defense: Open has a sharpness score of 96.2 (very decisive), meaning 96.2% of games end decisively. Average game length is 33 moves.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Open win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Open has a 50.8% (90% CI: 50.5%-51.0%) win rate for white, based on 98K Lichess games. Average game length is 25 moves with a 2.6% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Open win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Open has a 52.0% (90% CI: 51.8%-52.1%) win rate for white, based on 298K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 2.7% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Open win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Open has a 51.3% (90% CI: 51.2%-51.4%) win rate for white, based on 649K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 3.0% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Open win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Open has a 50.6% (90% CI: 50.5%-50.7%) win rate for white, based on 1.1M Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 3.2% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Open win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Open has a 49.9% (90% CI: 49.8%-49.9%) win rate for white, based on 1.5M Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.7% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Open win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Open has a 49.7% (90% CI: 49.6%-49.7%) win rate for white, based on 1.6M Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 4.3% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Open win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Open has a 50.2% (90% CI: 50.1%-50.2%) win rate for white, based on 911K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 4.6% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Open win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Open has a 50.6% (90% CI: 50.5%-50.8%) win rate for white, based on 351K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 5.1% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Open win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Open has a 50.8% (90% CI: 50.3%-51.2%) win rate for white, based on 39K Lichess games. Average game length is 40 moves with a 6.4% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Open win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the Sicilian Defense: Open has a 50.1% (90% CI: 49.1%-51.1%) win rate for white (6.8K Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.3%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Open win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Sicilian Defense: Open has a 50.0% (90% CI: 50.0%-50.1%) win rate for white (2.5M Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.9%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Open win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Sicilian Defense: Open has a 50.3% (90% CI: 50.3%-50.4%) win rate for white (3.3M Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.3%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Open win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Sicilian Defense: Open has a 50.9% (90% CI: 50.8%-51.0%) win rate for white (780K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.9%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Open win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Sicilian Defense: Open has a 50.9% (90% CI: 50.4%-51.4%) win rate for white (25K Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.2%.

Is the Sicilian Defense: Open a good opening?

The Sicilian Defense: Open is statistically favors white with a 50.3% (90% CI: 50.3%-50.3%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1000-1199 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.