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Sicilian Defense: Nyezhmetdinov-Rossolimo Attack, San Francisco Gambit

722 games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Tough Sell
White Expected Score45.5%Range (90% confident): 42.4% – 48.5%Based on 722 games
0%45.5%100%
Range (90% confident): 42.4% – 48.5%
Outcome Distribution
43.5%3.9%52.6%
Win
Draw
Loss
4.b4
Sicilian Defense: Nyezhmetdinov-Rossolimo Attack, San Francisco Gambit
Analyzen=722
Avg Length34 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate3.9%

What is the Sicilian Defense: Nyezhmetdinov-Rossolimo Attack, San Francisco Gambit expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Sicilian Defense: Nyezhmetdinov-Rossolimo Attack, San Francisco Gambit has a 45.5% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 42.4% and 48.5%), based on 722 Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointWhite

Peak: -16.0% · Breakpoint: 1400-1599

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 37% → 45%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 36.8% win rate (8 games)
  • 1000-1199: 51.5% win rate (15 games)
  • 1200-1399: 46.7% win rate (36 games)
  • 1400-1599: 39.0% win rate (51 games)
  • 1600-1799: 52.0% win rate (61 games)
  • 1800-1999: 44.6% win rate (96 games)
  • 2000-2199: 43.9% win rate (143 games)
  • 2200-2499: 40.2% win rate (266 games)
  • 2500+: 45.3% win rate (46 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Bullet (48%), worst in Classical (11%)

Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • Bullet: 48.1% win rate (226 games)
  • Blitz: 41.3% win rate (448 games)
  • Rapid: 44.1% win rate (45 games)
  • Classical: 11.1% win rate (3 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199——
1200-1399——
1400-1599—
1600-1799——
1800-1999—
2000-2199——
2200-2499——
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 42.4% expected score (5 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 57.7% expected score (5 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 50.0% expected score (8 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 29.0% expected score (8 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 61.6% expected score (20 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 39.5% expected score (8 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 37.7% expected score (27 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 44.0% expected score (15 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 61.8% expected score (7 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 21.5% expected score (2 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 54.4% expected score (33 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 43.9% expected score (23 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 73.1% expected score (5 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 52.3% expected score (42 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 36.6% expected score (47 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 63.4% expected score (6 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 51.3% expected score (39 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 44.5% expected score (98 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 36.7% expected score (6 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 45.4% expected score (52 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 44.2% expected score (205 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 16.7% expected score (9 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 60.3% expected score (18 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 39.5% expected score (27 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 70.0% expected score (1 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Sicilian Defense
48.5%
Variations (5)
Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon
45.7%
Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Exchange Variation
45.8%
Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Maróczy Bind
48.8%
Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Maróczy Bind, Breyer Variation
43.7%
Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Maróczy Bind, Gurgenidze Variation
44.6%
Analyze Sicilian Defense: Nyezhmetdinov-Rossolimo Attack, San Francisco Gambit PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Sicilian Defense: Nyezhmetdinov-Rossolimo Attack, San Francisco Gambit win rate?

The Sicilian Defense: Nyezhmetdinov-Rossolimo Attack, San Francisco Gambit has a 43.5% (90% CI: 40.4%-46.5%) win rate for white, based on 722 rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Sicilian Defense: Nyezhmetdinov-Rossolimo Attack, San Francisco Gambit perform best?

The Sicilian Defense: Nyezhmetdinov-Rossolimo Attack, San Francisco Gambit performs best at 1600-1799 Elo with a 52.0% win rate for white (61 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Sicilian Defense: Nyezhmetdinov-Rossolimo Attack, San Francisco Gambit better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (48.1%) outperforms Blitz (41.3%) by 6.8%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Sicilian Defense: Nyezhmetdinov-Rossolimo Attack, San Francisco Gambit?

The Sicilian Defense: Nyezhmetdinov-Rossolimo Attack, San Francisco Gambit has a sharpness score of 96.1 (very decisive), meaning 96.1% of games end decisively. Average game length is 34 moves.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Nyezhmetdinov-Rossolimo Attack, San Francisco Gambit win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Nyezhmetdinov-Rossolimo Attack, San Francisco Gambit has a 43.9% (90% CI: 37.2%-50.8%) win rate for white, based on 143 Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.8% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Nyezhmetdinov-Rossolimo Attack, San Francisco Gambit win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Nyezhmetdinov-Rossolimo Attack, San Francisco Gambit has a 40.2% (90% CI: 35.3%-45.2%) win rate for white, based on 266 Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 6.2% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Nyezhmetdinov-Rossolimo Attack, San Francisco Gambit win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Sicilian Defense: Nyezhmetdinov-Rossolimo Attack, San Francisco Gambit has a 48.1% (90% CI: 42.7%-53.6%) win rate for white (226 Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.5%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Nyezhmetdinov-Rossolimo Attack, San Francisco Gambit win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Sicilian Defense: Nyezhmetdinov-Rossolimo Attack, San Francisco Gambit has a 41.3% (90% CI: 37.5%-45.1%) win rate for white (448 Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.2%.

Is the Sicilian Defense: Nyezhmetdinov-Rossolimo Attack, San Francisco Gambit a good opening?

The Sicilian Defense: Nyezhmetdinov-Rossolimo Attack, San Francisco Gambit is slightly favors black with a 43.5% (90% CI: 40.4%-46.5%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1600-1799 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.