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Sicilian Defense: Nimzowitsch Variation, Advance Variation

242K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
White Expected Score52.2%Range (90% confident): 52.0% – 52.3%Based on 242K games
0%52.2%100%
Range (90% confident): 52.0% – 52.3%
Outcome Distribution
50.0%4.3%45.7%
Win
Draw
Loss
3.e5
Sicilian Defense: Nimzowitsch Variation, Advance Variation
Analyzen=242K
Avg Length34 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate4.3%

What is the Sicilian Defense: Nimzowitsch Variation, Advance Variation expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Sicilian Defense: Nimzowitsch Variation, Advance Variation has a 52.2% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 52.0% and 52.3%), based on 242K Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 56% → 50%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 55.8% win rate (5,752 games)
  • 1000-1199: 56.0% win rate (11,238 games)
  • 1200-1399: 53.1% win rate (18,111 games)
  • 1400-1599: 52.5% win rate (27,204 games)
  • 1600-1799: 50.5% win rate (37,549 games)
  • 1800-1999: 48.7% win rate (47,944 games)
  • 2000-2199: 46.9% win rate (51,230 games)
  • 2200-2499: 49.5% win rate (35,951 games)
  • 2500+: 49.5% win rate (7,384 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (57%), worst in Blitz (49%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 57.0% win rate (422 games)
  • Bullet: 49.4% win rate (71,944 games)
  • Blitz: 49.4% win rate (133,891 games)
  • Rapid: 53.2% win rate (34,578 games)
  • Classical: 57.0% win rate (1,528 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 53.2% expected score (1,191 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 57.5% expected score (2,988 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 60.1% expected score (1,557 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 69.4% expected score (14 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 32.4% expected score (7 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 51.7% expected score (2,402 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 57.5% expected score (5,788 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 61.7% expected score (2,971 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 64.7% expected score (70 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 44.9% expected score (18 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 51.9% expected score (4,000 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 53.8% expected score (9,392 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 58.2% expected score (4,504 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 64.1% expected score (197 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 51.1% expected score (45 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 50.7% expected score (6,420 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 53.8% expected score (14,598 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 58.0% expected score (5,712 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 62.1% expected score (429 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 62.5% expected score (87 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 49.6% expected score (9,436 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 52.2% expected score (21,147 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 55.3% expected score (6,446 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 58.5% expected score (433 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 57.5% expected score (158 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 50.5% expected score (13,190 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 50.5% expected score (28,407 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 52.3% expected score (5,922 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 56.4% expected score (267 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 62.5% expected score (87 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 49.1% expected score (15,410 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 49.3% expected score (30,205 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 50.2% expected score (5,438 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 45.7% expected score (90 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 55.1% expected score (18 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 53.0% expected score (15,096 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 51.8% expected score (18,826 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 56.1% expected score (1,985 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 64.6% expected score (26 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 53.6% expected score (4,799 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 54.5% expected score (2,540 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 54.5% expected score (43 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 78.6% expected score (2 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Sicilian Defense
48.5%
Variations (5)
Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon
45.7%
Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Exchange Variation
45.8%
Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Maróczy Bind
48.8%
Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Maróczy Bind, Breyer Variation
43.7%
Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Maróczy Bind, Gurgenidze Variation
44.6%
Analyze Sicilian Defense: Nimzowitsch Variation, Advance Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Sicilian Defense: Nimzowitsch Variation, Advance Variation win rate?

The Sicilian Defense: Nimzowitsch Variation, Advance Variation has a 50.0% (90% CI: 49.8%-50.2%) win rate for white, based on 242K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Sicilian Defense: Nimzowitsch Variation, Advance Variation perform best?

The Sicilian Defense: Nimzowitsch Variation, Advance Variation performs best at 1000-1199 Elo with a 56.0% win rate for white (11K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Sicilian Defense: Nimzowitsch Variation, Advance Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Classical (57.0%) outperforms Bullet (49.4%) by 7.6%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Sicilian Defense: Nimzowitsch Variation, Advance Variation?

The Sicilian Defense: Nimzowitsch Variation, Advance Variation has a sharpness score of 95.7 (very decisive), meaning 95.7% of games end decisively. Average game length is 34 moves.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Nimzowitsch Variation, Advance Variation win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Nimzowitsch Variation, Advance Variation has a 55.8% (90% CI: 54.7%-56.9%) win rate for white, based on 5.8K Lichess games. Average game length is 25 moves with a 3.1% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Nimzowitsch Variation, Advance Variation win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Nimzowitsch Variation, Advance Variation has a 56.0% (90% CI: 55.2%-56.8%) win rate for white, based on 11K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 2.7% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Nimzowitsch Variation, Advance Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Nimzowitsch Variation, Advance Variation has a 53.1% (90% CI: 52.5%-53.7%) win rate for white, based on 18K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 2.9% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Nimzowitsch Variation, Advance Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Nimzowitsch Variation, Advance Variation has a 52.5% (90% CI: 52.0%-53.0%) win rate for white, based on 27K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 3.1% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Nimzowitsch Variation, Advance Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Nimzowitsch Variation, Advance Variation has a 50.5% (90% CI: 50.0%-50.9%) win rate for white, based on 38K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.4% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Nimzowitsch Variation, Advance Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Nimzowitsch Variation, Advance Variation has a 48.7% (90% CI: 48.3%-49.1%) win rate for white, based on 48K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 4.1% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Nimzowitsch Variation, Advance Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Nimzowitsch Variation, Advance Variation has a 46.9% (90% CI: 46.5%-47.2%) win rate for white, based on 51K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 4.9% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Nimzowitsch Variation, Advance Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Nimzowitsch Variation, Advance Variation has a 49.5% (90% CI: 49.1%-50.0%) win rate for white, based on 36K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 6.0% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Nimzowitsch Variation, Advance Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Nimzowitsch Variation, Advance Variation has a 49.5% (90% CI: 48.5%-50.4%) win rate for white, based on 7.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 42 moves with a 8.9% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Nimzowitsch Variation, Advance Variation win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the Sicilian Defense: Nimzowitsch Variation, Advance Variation has a 57.0% (90% CI: 53.1%-61.0%) win rate for white (422 Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.5%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Nimzowitsch Variation, Advance Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Sicilian Defense: Nimzowitsch Variation, Advance Variation has a 49.4% (90% CI: 49.1%-49.7%) win rate for white (72K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.1%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Nimzowitsch Variation, Advance Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Sicilian Defense: Nimzowitsch Variation, Advance Variation has a 49.4% (90% CI: 49.2%-49.6%) win rate for white (134K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.8%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Nimzowitsch Variation, Advance Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Sicilian Defense: Nimzowitsch Variation, Advance Variation has a 53.2% (90% CI: 52.8%-53.7%) win rate for white (35K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.8%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Nimzowitsch Variation, Advance Variation win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Sicilian Defense: Nimzowitsch Variation, Advance Variation has a 57.0% (90% CI: 55.0%-59.1%) win rate for white (1.5K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.3%.

Is the Sicilian Defense: Nimzowitsch Variation, Advance Variation a good opening?

The Sicilian Defense: Nimzowitsch Variation, Advance Variation is statistically balanced with a 50.0% (90% CI: 49.8%-50.2%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1000-1199 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.