65K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026
At all ratings, the Sicilian Defense: Najdorf Variation, English Attack, Anti-English has a 47.3% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 47.0% and 47.6%), based on 65K Lichess games.
Stable across ratings (~36%)
Best in Classical (46%), worst in UltraBullet (20%)
Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.
| Rating | UB | Bulle | Blitz | Rapid | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-999 | — | — | |||
| 1000-1199 | — | ||||
| 1200-1399 | — | ||||
| 1400-1599 | — | ||||
| 1600-1799 | — | ||||
| 1800-1999 | — | ||||
| 2000-2199 | — | ||||
| 2200-2499 | — | ||||
| 2500+ | — |
Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control
The Sicilian Defense: Najdorf Variation, English Attack, Anti-English has a 44.7% (90% CI: 44.4%-45.0%) win rate for white, based on 65K rated games from Lichess.
The Sicilian Defense: Najdorf Variation, English Attack, Anti-English performs best at 2200-2499 Elo with a 47.0% win rate for white (13K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.
Blitz (45.7%) outperforms Bullet (42.4%) by 3.3%. Choose your time control wisely.
The Sicilian Defense: Najdorf Variation, English Attack, Anti-English has a sharpness score of 94.9 (decisive), meaning 94.9% of games end decisively. Average game length is 35 moves.
At 1200-1399 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Najdorf Variation, English Attack, Anti-English has a 42.8% (90% CI: 39.5%-46.1%) win rate for white, based on 612 Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 1.9% draw rate.
At 1400-1599 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Najdorf Variation, English Attack, Anti-English has a 43.4% (90% CI: 41.8%-45.0%) win rate for white, based on 2.7K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 2.0% draw rate.
At 1600-1799 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Najdorf Variation, English Attack, Anti-English has a 43.9% (90% CI: 43.0%-44.7%) win rate for white, based on 8.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 2.8% draw rate.
At 1800-1999 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Najdorf Variation, English Attack, Anti-English has a 44.6% (90% CI: 44.0%-45.2%) win rate for white, based on 18K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.6% draw rate.
At 2000-2199 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Najdorf Variation, English Attack, Anti-English has a 45.1% (90% CI: 44.5%-45.7%) win rate for white, based on 19K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 4.1% draw rate.
At 2200-2499 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Najdorf Variation, English Attack, Anti-English has a 47.0% (90% CI: 46.3%-47.7%) win rate for white, based on 13K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 5.3% draw rate.
At 2500+ Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Najdorf Variation, English Attack, Anti-English has a 37.5% (90% CI: 36.0%-38.9%) win rate for white, based on 3.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 48 moves with a 29.2% draw rate.
In Bullet games, the Sicilian Defense: Najdorf Variation, English Attack, Anti-English has a 42.4% (90% CI: 41.8%-43.0%) win rate for white (19K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.9%.
In Blitz games, the Sicilian Defense: Najdorf Variation, English Attack, Anti-English has a 45.7% (90% CI: 45.3%-46.2%) win rate for white (39K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.9%.
In Rapid games, the Sicilian Defense: Najdorf Variation, English Attack, Anti-English has a 45.2% (90% CI: 44.2%-46.2%) win rate for white (6.5K Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.4%.
In Classical games, the Sicilian Defense: Najdorf Variation, English Attack, Anti-English has a 46.4% (90% CI: 42.5%-50.3%) win rate for white (437 Lichess games). Draw rate is 11.5%.
The Sicilian Defense: Najdorf Variation, English Attack, Anti-English is slightly favors black with a 44.7% (90% CI: 44.4%-45.0%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2200-2499 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.