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Sicilian Defense: Najdorf Variation, Amsterdam Variation

125K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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White Expected Score52.4%Range (90% confident): 52.2% – 52.6%Based on 125K games
0%52.4%100%
Range (90% confident): 52.2% – 52.6%
Outcome Distribution
50.2%4.5%45.4%
Win
Draw
Loss
6.f4
Sicilian Defense: Najdorf Variation, Amsterdam Variation
Analyzen=125K
Avg Length35 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate4.5%

What is the Sicilian Defense: Najdorf Variation, Amsterdam Variation expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Sicilian Defense: Najdorf Variation, Amsterdam Variation has a 52.4% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 52.2% and 52.6%), based on 125K Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 45% → 54%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 44.8% win rate (261 games)
  • 1000-1199: 45.6% win rate (1,095 games)
  • 1200-1399: 46.8% win rate (3,202 games)
  • 1400-1599: 47.1% win rate (8,193 games)
  • 1600-1799: 47.5% win rate (17,157 games)
  • 1800-1999: 48.0% win rate (26,072 games)
  • 2000-2199: 50.6% win rate (29,461 games)
  • 2200-2499: 53.3% win rate (31,390 games)
  • 2500+: 54.0% win rate (7,820 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (56%), worst in Classical (44%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 55.6% win rate (3 games)
  • Bullet: 49.9% win rate (37,678 games)
  • Blitz: 50.6% win rate (73,744 games)
  • Rapid: 48.6% win rate (12,656 games)
  • Classical: 44.0% win rate (570 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999—
1000-1199—
1200-1399—
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499—
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 46.5% expected score (142 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 45.1% expected score (99 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 40.3% expected score (19 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 48.7% expected score (516 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 45.1% expected score (476 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 44.2% expected score (101 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 48.7% expected score (1,211 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 47.1% expected score (1,573 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 49.8% expected score (403 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (15 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 48.3% expected score (2,593 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 49.3% expected score (4,475 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 47.7% expected score (1,067 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 44.0% expected score (56 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 48.1% expected score (4,431 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 49.8% expected score (10,185 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 49.7% expected score (2,375 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 47.3% expected score (165 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 48.3% expected score (5,778 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 50.8% expected score (16,115 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 49.5% expected score (3,958 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 45.3% expected score (221 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 50.8% expected score (7,291 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 53.8% expected score (18,927 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 52.8% expected score (3,156 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 54.6% expected score (87 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 54.3% expected score (10,258 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 56.9% expected score (19,611 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 57.3% expected score (1,500 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 56.7% expected score (21 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 57.2% expected score (5,458 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 56.1% expected score (2,283 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 64.7% expected score (77 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (2 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Sicilian Defense
48.5%
Variations (5)
Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon
45.7%
Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Exchange Variation
45.8%
Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Maróczy Bind
48.8%
Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Maróczy Bind, Breyer Variation
43.7%
Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Maróczy Bind, Gurgenidze Variation
44.6%
Analyze Sicilian Defense: Najdorf Variation, Amsterdam Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Sicilian Defense: Najdorf Variation, Amsterdam Variation win rate?

The Sicilian Defense: Najdorf Variation, Amsterdam Variation has a 50.2% (90% CI: 49.9%-50.4%) win rate for white, based on 125K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Sicilian Defense: Najdorf Variation, Amsterdam Variation perform best?

The Sicilian Defense: Najdorf Variation, Amsterdam Variation performs best at 2500+ Elo with a 54.0% win rate for white (7.8K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Sicilian Defense: Najdorf Variation, Amsterdam Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Blitz (50.6%) outperforms Classical (44.0%) by 6.6%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Sicilian Defense: Najdorf Variation, Amsterdam Variation?

The Sicilian Defense: Najdorf Variation, Amsterdam Variation has a sharpness score of 95.5 (very decisive), meaning 95.5% of games end decisively. Average game length is 35 moves.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Najdorf Variation, Amsterdam Variation win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Najdorf Variation, Amsterdam Variation has a 44.8% (90% CI: 39.7%-49.8%) win rate for white, based on 261 Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 1.7% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Najdorf Variation, Amsterdam Variation win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Najdorf Variation, Amsterdam Variation has a 45.6% (90% CI: 43.1%-48.0%) win rate for white, based on 1.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 2.2% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Najdorf Variation, Amsterdam Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Najdorf Variation, Amsterdam Variation has a 46.8% (90% CI: 45.4%-48.3%) win rate for white, based on 3.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 2.5% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Najdorf Variation, Amsterdam Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Najdorf Variation, Amsterdam Variation has a 47.1% (90% CI: 46.2%-48.0%) win rate for white, based on 8.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 3.2% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Najdorf Variation, Amsterdam Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Najdorf Variation, Amsterdam Variation has a 47.5% (90% CI: 46.8%-48.1%) win rate for white, based on 17K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.7% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Najdorf Variation, Amsterdam Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Najdorf Variation, Amsterdam Variation has a 48.0% (90% CI: 47.5%-48.5%) win rate for white, based on 26K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 4.0% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Najdorf Variation, Amsterdam Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Najdorf Variation, Amsterdam Variation has a 50.6% (90% CI: 50.1%-51.1%) win rate for white, based on 29K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 4.6% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Najdorf Variation, Amsterdam Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Najdorf Variation, Amsterdam Variation has a 53.3% (90% CI: 52.9%-53.8%) win rate for white, based on 31K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 5.4% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Najdorf Variation, Amsterdam Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Najdorf Variation, Amsterdam Variation has a 54.0% (90% CI: 53.1%-55.0%) win rate for white, based on 7.8K Lichess games. Average game length is 40 moves with a 5.8% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Najdorf Variation, Amsterdam Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Sicilian Defense: Najdorf Variation, Amsterdam Variation has a 49.9% (90% CI: 49.5%-50.3%) win rate for white (38K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.5%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Najdorf Variation, Amsterdam Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Sicilian Defense: Najdorf Variation, Amsterdam Variation has a 50.6% (90% CI: 50.3%-50.9%) win rate for white (74K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.8%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Najdorf Variation, Amsterdam Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Sicilian Defense: Najdorf Variation, Amsterdam Variation has a 48.6% (90% CI: 47.8%-49.3%) win rate for white (13K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.2%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Najdorf Variation, Amsterdam Variation win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Sicilian Defense: Najdorf Variation, Amsterdam Variation has a 44.0% (90% CI: 40.6%-47.4%) win rate for white (570 Lichess games). Draw rate is 7.6%.

Is the Sicilian Defense: Najdorf Variation, Amsterdam Variation a good opening?

The Sicilian Defense: Najdorf Variation, Amsterdam Variation is statistically favors white with a 50.2% (90% CI: 49.9%-50.4%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2500+ Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.