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Sicilian Defense: Mengarini Variation

1.5M games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
White Expected Score51.2%Range (90% confident): 51.2% – 51.3%Based on 1.5M games
0%51.2%100%
Range (90% confident): 51.2% – 51.3%
Outcome Distribution
49.3%3.8%46.9%
Win
Draw
Loss
2.a3
Sicilian Defense: Mengarini Variation
Analyzen=1.5M
Avg Length34 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate3.8%

What is the Sicilian Defense: Mengarini Variation expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Sicilian Defense: Mengarini Variation has a 51.2% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 51.2% and 51.3%), based on 1.5M Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 46% → 50%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 46.1% win rate (10,985 games)
  • 1000-1199: 47.0% win rate (32,915 games)
  • 1200-1399: 48.0% win rate (84,690 games)
  • 1400-1599: 48.1% win rate (181,396 games)
  • 1600-1799: 48.5% win rate (298,297 games)
  • 1800-1999: 49.6% win rate (372,921 games)
  • 2000-2199: 50.1% win rate (314,591 games)
  • 2200-2499: 51.4% win rate (152,555 games)
  • 2500+: 50.1% win rate (24,280 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Bullet (50%), worst in UltraBullet (44%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 43.8% win rate (310 games)
  • Bullet: 50.3% win rate (409,080 games)
  • Blitz: 49.2% win rate (846,749 games)
  • Rapid: 47.9% win rate (207,583 games)
  • Classical: 45.7% win rate (8,908 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 32.4% expected score (7 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 47.0% expected score (5,348 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 47.6% expected score (4,266 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 47.3% expected score (1,352 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 57.5% expected score (12 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 43.3% expected score (28 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 48.2% expected score (11,921 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 47.9% expected score (16,608 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 49.5% expected score (4,294 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 45.5% expected score (64 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 49.0% expected score (45 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 49.9% expected score (24,637 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 49.1% expected score (46,727 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 49.0% expected score (13,009 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 47.9% expected score (272 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 41.8% expected score (53 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 50.1% expected score (45,626 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 49.6% expected score (104,267 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 48.9% expected score (30,014 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 47.7% expected score (1,436 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 39.4% expected score (149 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 51.2% expected score (66,875 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 50.1% expected score (176,464 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 49.5% expected score (51,873 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 47.0% expected score (2,936 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 88.5% expected score (5 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 52.0% expected score (80,087 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 51.6% expected score (230,411 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 50.3% expected score (59,602 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 49.8% expected score (2,816 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 56.5% expected score (14 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 52.9% expected score (82,894 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 52.3% expected score (192,465 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 51.7% expected score (37,956 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 51.1% expected score (1,262 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 71.1% expected score (8 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 53.1% expected score (74,076 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 54.4% expected score (69,091 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 54.9% expected score (9,278 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 63.6% expected score (102 games)
  • 2500+ rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 53.0% expected score (17,616 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 56.6% expected score (6,450 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 57.0% expected score (205 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 55.3% expected score (8 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Sicilian Defense
48.5%
Variations (5)
Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon
45.7%
Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Exchange Variation
45.8%
Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Maróczy Bind
48.8%
Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Maróczy Bind, Breyer Variation
43.7%
Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Maróczy Bind, Gurgenidze Variation
44.6%
Analyze Sicilian Defense: Mengarini Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Sicilian Defense: Mengarini Variation win rate?

The Sicilian Defense: Mengarini Variation has a 49.3% (90% CI: 49.2%-49.4%) win rate for white, based on 1.5M rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Sicilian Defense: Mengarini Variation perform best?

The Sicilian Defense: Mengarini Variation performs best at 2200-2499 Elo with a 51.4% win rate for white (153K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Sicilian Defense: Mengarini Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (50.3%) outperforms UltraBullet (43.8%) by 6.5%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Sicilian Defense: Mengarini Variation?

The Sicilian Defense: Mengarini Variation has a sharpness score of 96.2 (very decisive), meaning 96.2% of games end decisively. Average game length is 34 moves.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Mengarini Variation win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Mengarini Variation has a 46.1% (90% CI: 45.4%-46.9%) win rate for white, based on 11K Lichess games. Average game length is 25 moves with a 2.2% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Mengarini Variation win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Mengarini Variation has a 47.0% (90% CI: 46.6%-47.5%) win rate for white, based on 33K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 2.3% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Mengarini Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Mengarini Variation has a 48.0% (90% CI: 47.7%-48.3%) win rate for white, based on 85K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 2.7% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Mengarini Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Mengarini Variation has a 48.1% (90% CI: 47.9%-48.2%) win rate for white, based on 181K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.0% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Mengarini Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Mengarini Variation has a 48.5% (90% CI: 48.4%-48.7%) win rate for white, based on 298K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.4% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Mengarini Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Mengarini Variation has a 49.6% (90% CI: 49.4%-49.7%) win rate for white, based on 373K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 3.8% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Mengarini Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Mengarini Variation has a 50.1% (90% CI: 50.0%-50.3%) win rate for white, based on 315K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 4.5% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Mengarini Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Mengarini Variation has a 51.4% (90% CI: 51.2%-51.6%) win rate for white, based on 153K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 4.8% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Mengarini Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Mengarini Variation has a 50.1% (90% CI: 49.6%-50.6%) win rate for white, based on 24K Lichess games. Average game length is 40 moves with a 7.8% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Mengarini Variation win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the Sicilian Defense: Mengarini Variation has a 43.8% (90% CI: 39.2%-48.5%) win rate for white (310 Lichess games). Draw rate is 0.5%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Mengarini Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Sicilian Defense: Mengarini Variation has a 50.3% (90% CI: 50.2%-50.5%) win rate for white (409K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.8%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Mengarini Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Sicilian Defense: Mengarini Variation has a 49.2% (90% CI: 49.1%-49.3%) win rate for white (847K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.0%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Mengarini Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Sicilian Defense: Mengarini Variation has a 47.9% (90% CI: 47.7%-48.1%) win rate for white (208K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.6%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Mengarini Variation win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Sicilian Defense: Mengarini Variation has a 45.7% (90% CI: 44.9%-46.6%) win rate for white (8.9K Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.1%.

Is the Sicilian Defense: Mengarini Variation a good opening?

The Sicilian Defense: Mengarini Variation is statistically balanced with a 49.3% (90% CI: 49.2%-49.4%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2200-2499 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.