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Sicilian Defense: Magnus Smith Trap

13K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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White Expected Score67.6%Range (90% confident): 66.9% – 68.2%Based on 13K games
0%67.6%100%
Range (90% confident): 66.9% – 68.2%
Outcome Distribution
65.9%3.4%30.8%
Win
Draw
Loss
8.e5
Sicilian Defense: Magnus Smith Trap
Analyzen=13K
Avg Length30 moves
Sharpness97%
Draw Rate3.4%

What is the Sicilian Defense: Magnus Smith Trap expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Sicilian Defense: Magnus Smith Trap has a 67.6% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 66.9% and 68.2%), based on 13K Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 42% → 66%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 41.5% win rate (31 games)
  • 1000-1199: 60.0% win rate (176 games)
  • 1200-1399: 60.0% win rate (399 games)
  • 1400-1599: 61.9% win rate (909 games)
  • 1600-1799: 63.8% win rate (1,660 games)
  • 1800-1999: 67.5% win rate (3,160 games)
  • 2000-2199: 66.8% win rate (3,321 games)
  • 2200-2499: 66.7% win rate (2,852 games)
  • 2500+: 66.0% win rate (822 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Rapid (68%), worst in UltraBullet (14%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 14.3% win rate (2 games)
  • Bullet: 65.8% win rate (4,327 games)
  • Blitz: 65.4% win rate (7,127 games)
  • Rapid: 67.8% win rate (1,800 games)
  • Classical: 62.9% win rate (74 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199——
1200-1399——
1400-1599
1600-1799—
1800-1999
2000-2199—
2200-2499—
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 54.0% expected score (11 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 36.5% expected score (17 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 38.9% expected score (3 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 57.7% expected score (70 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 59.6% expected score (82 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 81.4% expected score (24 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 61.2% expected score (133 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 56.4% expected score (187 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 69.3% expected score (79 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 59.7% expected score (263 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 64.4% expected score (469 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 66.9% expected score (170 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 36.7% expected score (6 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 64.8% expected score (371 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 66.2% expected score (938 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 64.9% expected score (336 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 47.0% expected score (15 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 69.0% expected score (679 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 67.9% expected score (1,898 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 72.3% expected score (552 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 73.8% expected score (30 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 68.8% expected score (879 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 67.8% expected score (2,002 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 70.4% expected score (421 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 76.8% expected score (19 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 68.1% expected score (1,221 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 69.3% expected score (1,419 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 68.9% expected score (208 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 59.1% expected score (4 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 68.6% expected score (700 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 68.0% expected score (115 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 85.3% expected score (7 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Sicilian Defense
48.5%
Variations (5)
Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon
45.7%
Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Exchange Variation
45.8%
Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Maróczy Bind
48.8%
Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Maróczy Bind, Breyer Variation
43.7%
Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Maróczy Bind, Gurgenidze Variation
44.6%
Analyze Sicilian Defense: Magnus Smith Trap PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Sicilian Defense: Magnus Smith Trap win rate?

The Sicilian Defense: Magnus Smith Trap has a 65.9% (90% CI: 65.2%-66.5%) win rate for white, based on 13K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Sicilian Defense: Magnus Smith Trap perform best?

The Sicilian Defense: Magnus Smith Trap performs best at 1800-1999 Elo with a 67.5% win rate for white (3.2K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Sicilian Defense: Magnus Smith Trap better in blitz or rapid?

Rapid (67.8%) outperforms Classical (62.9%) by 4.9%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Sicilian Defense: Magnus Smith Trap?

The Sicilian Defense: Magnus Smith Trap has a sharpness score of 96.6 (very decisive), meaning 96.6% of games end decisively. Average game length is 30 moves.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Magnus Smith Trap win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Magnus Smith Trap has a 60.0% (90% CI: 53.9%-66.0%) win rate for white, based on 176 Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 4.2% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Magnus Smith Trap win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Magnus Smith Trap has a 60.0% (90% CI: 56.0%-64.0%) win rate for white, based on 399 Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 1.1% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Magnus Smith Trap win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Magnus Smith Trap has a 61.9% (90% CI: 59.2%-64.5%) win rate for white, based on 909 Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 2.7% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Magnus Smith Trap win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Magnus Smith Trap has a 63.8% (90% CI: 61.9%-65.8%) win rate for white, based on 1.7K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 3.2% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Magnus Smith Trap win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Magnus Smith Trap has a 67.5% (90% CI: 66.1%-68.8%) win rate for white, based on 3.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 3.0% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Magnus Smith Trap win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Magnus Smith Trap has a 66.8% (90% CI: 65.5%-68.2%) win rate for white, based on 3.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 3.2% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Magnus Smith Trap win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Magnus Smith Trap has a 66.7% (90% CI: 65.2%-68.1%) win rate for white, based on 2.9K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 4.2% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Magnus Smith Trap win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Magnus Smith Trap has a 66.0% (90% CI: 63.3%-68.7%) win rate for white, based on 822 Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 5.5% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Magnus Smith Trap win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Sicilian Defense: Magnus Smith Trap has a 65.8% (90% CI: 64.6%-67.0%) win rate for white (4.3K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.9%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Magnus Smith Trap win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Sicilian Defense: Magnus Smith Trap has a 65.4% (90% CI: 64.5%-66.4%) win rate for white (7.1K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.6%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Magnus Smith Trap win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Sicilian Defense: Magnus Smith Trap has a 67.8% (90% CI: 66.0%-69.6%) win rate for white (1.8K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.7%.

Is the Sicilian Defense: Magnus Smith Trap a good opening?

The Sicilian Defense: Magnus Smith Trap is statistically favors white with a 65.9% (90% CI: 65.2%-66.5%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1800-1999 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.