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Sicilian Defense: Kramnik Variation

547K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
White Expected Score51.0%Range (90% confident): 50.9% – 51.1%Based on 547K games
0%51.0%100%
Range (90% confident): 50.9% – 51.1%
Outcome Distribution
48.6%4.8%46.6%
Win
Draw
Loss
3.c4
Sicilian Defense: Kramnik Variation
Analyzen=547K
Avg Length35 moves
Sharpness95%
Draw Rate4.8%

What is the Sicilian Defense: Kramnik Variation expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Sicilian Defense: Kramnik Variation has a 51.0% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 50.9% and 51.1%), based on 547K Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 46% → 52%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 45.8% win rate (6,927 games)
  • 1000-1199: 48.3% win rate (18,506 games)
  • 1200-1399: 48.5% win rate (38,657 games)
  • 1400-1599: 47.9% win rate (66,459 games)
  • 1600-1799: 48.2% win rate (96,247 games)
  • 1800-1999: 48.3% win rate (124,339 games)
  • 2000-2199: 48.8% win rate (115,462 games)
  • 2200-2499: 49.6% win rate (69,061 games)
  • 2500+: 51.7% win rate (11,159 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Bullet (49%), worst in UltraBullet (41%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 41.2% win rate (223 games)
  • Bullet: 48.7% win rate (143,841 games)
  • Blitz: 48.7% win rate (316,263 games)
  • Rapid: 47.9% win rate (82,722 games)
  • Classical: 45.6% win rate (3,768 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 40.4% expected score (40 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 46.0% expected score (2,413 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 47.5% expected score (3,524 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 48.6% expected score (937 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 32.8% expected score (13 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 59.5% expected score (25 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 48.9% expected score (5,740 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 50.1% expected score (9,830 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 50.7% expected score (2,860 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 45.3% expected score (51 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 37.4% expected score (38 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 49.6% expected score (9,649 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 50.4% expected score (21,849 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (6,926 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 53.3% expected score (195 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 37.9% expected score (48 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 48.5% expected score (15,467 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 50.3% expected score (37,089 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 49.2% expected score (13,152 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 48.1% expected score (703 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 34.9% expected score (35 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 49.1% expected score (20,484 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 50.6% expected score (55,665 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 50.7% expected score (18,819 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 48.1% expected score (1,244 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 42.5% expected score (25 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 50.4% expected score (26,403 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 50.8% expected score (75,466 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 51.2% expected score (21,406 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 49.2% expected score (1,039 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 62.0% expected score (11 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 50.7% expected score (29,961 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 52.2% expected score (70,884 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 51.2% expected score (14,152 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 53.5% expected score (454 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 51.5% expected score (25,548 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 54.0% expected score (39,107 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 55.4% expected score (4,339 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 53.7% expected score (66 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 55.7% expected score (8,176 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 56.1% expected score (2,849 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 54.2% expected score (131 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 61.1% expected score (3 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Sicilian Defense
48.5%
Variations (5)
Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon
45.7%
Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Exchange Variation
45.8%
Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Maróczy Bind
48.8%
Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Maróczy Bind, Breyer Variation
43.7%
Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Maróczy Bind, Gurgenidze Variation
44.6%
Analyze Sicilian Defense: Kramnik Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Sicilian Defense: Kramnik Variation win rate?

The Sicilian Defense: Kramnik Variation has a 48.6% (90% CI: 48.5%-48.7%) win rate for white, based on 547K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Sicilian Defense: Kramnik Variation perform best?

The Sicilian Defense: Kramnik Variation performs best at 2500+ Elo with a 51.7% win rate for white (11K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Sicilian Defense: Kramnik Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Blitz (48.7%) outperforms UltraBullet (41.2%) by 7.5%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Sicilian Defense: Kramnik Variation?

The Sicilian Defense: Kramnik Variation has a sharpness score of 95.2 (very decisive), meaning 95.2% of games end decisively. Average game length is 35 moves.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Kramnik Variation win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Kramnik Variation has a 45.8% (90% CI: 44.8%-46.7%) win rate for white, based on 6.9K Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 2.5% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Kramnik Variation win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Kramnik Variation has a 48.3% (90% CI: 47.7%-48.9%) win rate for white, based on 19K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 3.1% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Kramnik Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Kramnik Variation has a 48.5% (90% CI: 48.1%-49.0%) win rate for white, based on 39K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.2% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Kramnik Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Kramnik Variation has a 47.9% (90% CI: 47.5%-48.2%) win rate for white, based on 66K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.5% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Kramnik Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Kramnik Variation has a 48.2% (90% CI: 47.9%-48.4%) win rate for white, based on 96K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 4.2% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Kramnik Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Kramnik Variation has a 48.3% (90% CI: 48.1%-48.6%) win rate for white, based on 124K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 4.8% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Kramnik Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Kramnik Variation has a 48.8% (90% CI: 48.6%-49.1%) win rate for white, based on 115K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 5.6% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Kramnik Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Kramnik Variation has a 49.6% (90% CI: 49.3%-49.9%) win rate for white, based on 69K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 7.0% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Kramnik Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Kramnik Variation has a 51.7% (90% CI: 50.9%-52.5%) win rate for white, based on 11K Lichess games. Average game length is 42 moves with a 8.2% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Kramnik Variation win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the Sicilian Defense: Kramnik Variation has a 41.2% (90% CI: 35.9%-46.6%) win rate for white (223 Lichess games). Draw rate is 0.7%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Kramnik Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Sicilian Defense: Kramnik Variation has a 48.7% (90% CI: 48.5%-48.9%) win rate for white (144K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.4%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Kramnik Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Sicilian Defense: Kramnik Variation has a 48.7% (90% CI: 48.6%-48.9%) win rate for white (316K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.2%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Kramnik Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Sicilian Defense: Kramnik Variation has a 47.9% (90% CI: 47.7%-48.2%) win rate for white (83K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.8%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Kramnik Variation win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Sicilian Defense: Kramnik Variation has a 45.6% (90% CI: 44.3%-47.0%) win rate for white (3.8K Lichess games). Draw rate is 7.4%.

Is the Sicilian Defense: Kramnik Variation a good opening?

The Sicilian Defense: Kramnik Variation is statistically balanced with a 48.6% (90% CI: 48.5%-48.7%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2500+ Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.