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Sicilian Defense: Keres Variation

409K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
White Expected Score52.1%Range (90% confident): 52.0% – 52.2%Based on 409K games
0%52.1%100%
Range (90% confident): 52.0% – 52.2%
Outcome Distribution
49.8%4.5%45.7%
Win
Draw
Loss
2.Ne2
Sicilian Defense: Keres Variation
Analyzen=409K
Avg Length36 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate4.5%

What is the Sicilian Defense: Keres Variation expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Sicilian Defense: Keres Variation has a 52.1% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 52.0% and 52.2%), based on 409K Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 44% → 53%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 43.5% win rate (3,907 games)
  • 1000-1199: 47.2% win rate (7,218 games)
  • 1200-1399: 48.1% win rate (16,425 games)
  • 1400-1599: 49.2% win rate (34,040 games)
  • 1600-1799: 49.7% win rate (82,593 games)
  • 1800-1999: 50.0% win rate (114,519 games)
  • 2000-2199: 50.0% win rate (93,327 games)
  • 2200-2499: 50.3% win rate (43,010 games)
  • 2500+: 53.3% win rate (13,690 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Bullet (51%), worst in Classical (46%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 49.4% win rate (647 games)
  • Bullet: 51.0% win rate (121,490 games)
  • Blitz: 49.6% win rate (241,092 games)
  • Rapid: 48.3% win rate (43,969 games)
  • Classical: 45.7% win rate (1,531 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 42.4% expected score (5 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 48.7% expected score (1,085 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 44.7% expected score (1,881 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 42.3% expected score (912 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 57.8% expected score (24 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 47.5% expected score (18 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 48.3% expected score (3,359 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 49.0% expected score (2,718 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 46.8% expected score (1,094 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 46.8% expected score (29 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 32.5% expected score (44 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 49.9% expected score (6,396 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 49.6% expected score (7,934 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 47.4% expected score (1,967 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 40.6% expected score (84 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 51.4% expected score (181 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 51.1% expected score (9,490 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 51.3% expected score (19,759 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 48.2% expected score (4,360 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 38.7% expected score (250 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 52.7% expected score (321 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 53.5% expected score (19,578 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 51.4% expected score (52,369 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 50.1% expected score (9,905 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 50.4% expected score (420 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 54.9% expected score (29 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 52.4% expected score (26,904 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 52.1% expected score (74,394 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 51.9% expected score (12,811 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 47.8% expected score (381 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 56.2% expected score (47 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 52.4% expected score (28,516 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 52.3% expected score (53,976 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 53.7% expected score (10,512 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 53.8% expected score (276 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 51.7% expected score (18,290 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 54.4% expected score (22,376 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 53.6% expected score (2,280 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 65.8% expected score (62 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 59.5% expected score (7,872 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 56.2% expected score (5,685 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 63.1% expected score (128 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 73.1% expected score (5 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Sicilian Defense
48.5%
Variations (5)
Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon
45.7%
Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Exchange Variation
45.8%
Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Maróczy Bind
48.8%
Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Maróczy Bind, Breyer Variation
43.7%
Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Maróczy Bind, Gurgenidze Variation
44.6%
Analyze Sicilian Defense: Keres Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Sicilian Defense: Keres Variation win rate?

The Sicilian Defense: Keres Variation has a 49.8% (90% CI: 49.7%-50.0%) win rate for white, based on 409K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Sicilian Defense: Keres Variation perform best?

The Sicilian Defense: Keres Variation performs best at 2500+ Elo with a 53.3% win rate for white (14K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Sicilian Defense: Keres Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (51.0%) outperforms Classical (45.7%) by 5.3%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Sicilian Defense: Keres Variation?

The Sicilian Defense: Keres Variation has a sharpness score of 95.5 (very decisive), meaning 95.5% of games end decisively. Average game length is 36 moves.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Keres Variation win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Keres Variation has a 43.5% (90% CI: 42.2%-44.8%) win rate for white, based on 3.9K Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 3.6% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Keres Variation win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Keres Variation has a 47.2% (90% CI: 46.3%-48.2%) win rate for white, based on 7.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 2.1% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Keres Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Keres Variation has a 48.1% (90% CI: 47.4%-48.7%) win rate for white, based on 16K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 2.5% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Keres Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Keres Variation has a 49.2% (90% CI: 48.7%-49.6%) win rate for white, based on 34K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.1% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Keres Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Keres Variation has a 49.7% (90% CI: 49.5%-50.0%) win rate for white, based on 83K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 3.9% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Keres Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Keres Variation has a 50.0% (90% CI: 49.8%-50.3%) win rate for white, based on 115K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 4.2% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Keres Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Keres Variation has a 50.0% (90% CI: 49.7%-50.3%) win rate for white, based on 93K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 4.9% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Keres Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Keres Variation has a 50.3% (90% CI: 49.9%-50.7%) win rate for white, based on 43K Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 5.8% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Keres Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Keres Variation has a 53.3% (90% CI: 52.6%-54.0%) win rate for white, based on 14K Lichess games. Average game length is 42 moves with a 9.7% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Keres Variation win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the Sicilian Defense: Keres Variation has a 49.4% (90% CI: 46.2%-52.6%) win rate for white (647 Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.2%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Keres Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Sicilian Defense: Keres Variation has a 51.0% (90% CI: 50.7%-51.2%) win rate for white (121K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.1%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Keres Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Sicilian Defense: Keres Variation has a 49.6% (90% CI: 49.4%-49.7%) win rate for white (241K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.0%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Keres Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Sicilian Defense: Keres Variation has a 48.3% (90% CI: 47.9%-48.7%) win rate for white (44K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.5%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Keres Variation win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Sicilian Defense: Keres Variation has a 45.7% (90% CI: 43.6%-47.8%) win rate for white (1.5K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.9%.

Is the Sicilian Defense: Keres Variation a good opening?

The Sicilian Defense: Keres Variation is statistically balanced with a 49.8% (90% CI: 49.7%-50.0%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2500+ Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.