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Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation, Wing Attack, Fianchetto Variation

16K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
White Expected Score51.1%Range (90% confident): 50.4% – 51.7%Based on 16K games
0%51.1%100%
Range (90% confident): 50.4% – 51.7%
Outcome Distribution
48.8%4.4%46.7%
Win
Draw
Loss
6.Nxd4
Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation, Wing Attack, Fianchetto Variation
Analyzen=16K
Avg Length35 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate4.4%

What is the Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation, Wing Attack, Fianchetto Variation expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation, Wing Attack, Fianchetto Variation has a 51.1% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 50.4% and 51.7%), based on 16K Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 45% → 51%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 44.7% win rate (22 games)
  • 1000-1199: 49.0% win rate (77 games)
  • 1200-1399: 51.6% win rate (335 games)
  • 1400-1599: 49.8% win rate (815 games)
  • 1600-1799: 43.7% win rate (1,465 games)
  • 1800-1999: 45.9% win rate (2,334 games)
  • 2000-2199: 49.0% win rate (3,309 games)
  • 2200-2499: 50.3% win rate (5,811 games)
  • 2500+: 50.8% win rate (1,915 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Rapid (52%), worst in Classical (36%)

Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • Bullet: 48.2% win rate (5,173 games)
  • Blitz: 48.8% win rate (9,544 games)
  • Rapid: 52.0% win rate (1,305 games)
  • Classical: 36.0% win rate (61 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199——
1200-1399—
1400-1599—
1600-1799—
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499—
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 42.0% expected score (11 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 50.0% expected score (8 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (36 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 46.7% expected score (28 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 53.5% expected score (13 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 50.7% expected score (138 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 54.6% expected score (162 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 64.1% expected score (34 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 50.3% expected score (205 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 51.4% expected score (507 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (97 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (6 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 43.5% expected score (315 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 46.4% expected score (869 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 47.4% expected score (268 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 32.8% expected score (13 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 49.3% expected score (507 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 45.0% expected score (1,424 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 56.2% expected score (379 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 48.1% expected score (24 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 46.8% expected score (852 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 51.9% expected score (2,179 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 57.8% expected score (271 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 44.2% expected score (7 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 50.7% expected score (1,875 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 53.3% expected score (3,705 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 58.0% expected score (225 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 56.7% expected score (6 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 52.3% expected score (1,234 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 57.8% expected score (662 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 47.0% expected score (15 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 40.9% expected score (4 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Sicilian Defense
48.5%
Variations (5)
Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon
45.7%
Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Exchange Variation
45.8%
Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Maróczy Bind
48.8%
Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Maróczy Bind, Breyer Variation
43.7%
Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Maróczy Bind, Gurgenidze Variation
44.6%
Analyze Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation, Wing Attack, Fianchetto Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation, Wing Attack, Fianchetto Variation win rate?

The Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation, Wing Attack, Fianchetto Variation has a 48.8% (90% CI: 48.2%-49.5%) win rate for white, based on 16K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation, Wing Attack, Fianchetto Variation perform best?

The Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation, Wing Attack, Fianchetto Variation performs best at 2200-2499 Elo with a 50.3% win rate for white (5.8K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation, Wing Attack, Fianchetto Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Rapid (52.0%) outperforms Classical (36.0%) by 16.0%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation, Wing Attack, Fianchetto Variation?

The Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation, Wing Attack, Fianchetto Variation has a sharpness score of 95.6 (very decisive), meaning 95.6% of games end decisively. Average game length is 35 moves.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation, Wing Attack, Fianchetto Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation, Wing Attack, Fianchetto Variation has a 51.6% (90% CI: 47.1%-56.0%) win rate for white, based on 335 Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 4.6% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation, Wing Attack, Fianchetto Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation, Wing Attack, Fianchetto Variation has a 49.8% (90% CI: 46.9%-52.7%) win rate for white, based on 815 Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 2.3% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation, Wing Attack, Fianchetto Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation, Wing Attack, Fianchetto Variation has a 43.7% (90% CI: 41.6%-45.9%) win rate for white, based on 1.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 4.1% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation, Wing Attack, Fianchetto Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation, Wing Attack, Fianchetto Variation has a 45.9% (90% CI: 44.2%-47.6%) win rate for white, based on 2.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 3.7% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation, Wing Attack, Fianchetto Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation, Wing Attack, Fianchetto Variation has a 49.0% (90% CI: 47.6%-50.4%) win rate for white, based on 3.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 4.1% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation, Wing Attack, Fianchetto Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation, Wing Attack, Fianchetto Variation has a 50.3% (90% CI: 49.2%-51.3%) win rate for white, based on 5.8K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 4.7% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation, Wing Attack, Fianchetto Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation, Wing Attack, Fianchetto Variation has a 50.8% (90% CI: 49.0%-52.7%) win rate for white, based on 1.9K Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 6.5% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation, Wing Attack, Fianchetto Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation, Wing Attack, Fianchetto Variation has a 48.2% (90% CI: 47.1%-49.4%) win rate for white (5.2K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.1%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation, Wing Attack, Fianchetto Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation, Wing Attack, Fianchetto Variation has a 48.8% (90% CI: 48.0%-49.7%) win rate for white (9.5K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.0%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation, Wing Attack, Fianchetto Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation, Wing Attack, Fianchetto Variation has a 52.0% (90% CI: 49.7%-54.3%) win rate for white (1.3K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.3%.

Is the Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation, Wing Attack, Fianchetto Variation a good opening?

The Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation, Wing Attack, Fianchetto Variation is statistically balanced with a 48.8% (90% CI: 48.2%-49.5%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2200-2499 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.