TrueEloPlay what wins.
Analyzer

Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation, Maróczy Bind, Réti Variation

492K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
White Expected Score50.1%Range (90% confident): 50.0% – 50.2%Based on 492K games
0%50.1%100%
Range (90% confident): 50.0% – 50.2%
Outcome Distribution
47.8%4.7%47.6%
Win
Draw
Loss
5.c4
Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation, Maróczy Bind, Réti Variation
Analyzen=492K
Avg Length35 moves
Sharpness95%
Draw Rate4.7%

What is the Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation, Maróczy Bind, Réti Variation expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation, Maróczy Bind, Réti Variation has a 50.1% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 50.0% and 50.2%), based on 492K Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Stable across ratings (~51%)

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 50.5% win rate (411 games)
  • 1000-1199: 44.7% win rate (1,510 games)
  • 1200-1399: 47.3% win rate (5,949 games)
  • 1400-1599: 47.5% win rate (18,443 games)
  • 1600-1799: 47.4% win rate (52,557 games)
  • 1800-1999: 47.5% win rate (121,320 games)
  • 2000-2199: 47.4% win rate (155,030 games)
  • 2200-2499: 48.3% win rate (115,404 games)
  • 2500+: 50.7% win rate (21,347 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Rapid (49%), worst in UltraBullet (44%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 44.3% win rate (29 games)
  • Bullet: 46.8% win rate (150,594 games)
  • Blitz: 48.1% win rate (298,103 games)
  • Rapid: 48.9% win rate (41,429 games)
  • Classical: 47.7% win rate (1,816 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199—
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499—
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 53.5% expected score (259 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 48.1% expected score (126 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (26 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 45.4% expected score (884 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 45.8% expected score (505 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 48.8% expected score (120 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (10 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 46.6% expected score (2,975 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 50.5% expected score (2,511 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 49.2% expected score (438 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 47.0% expected score (15 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 36.7% expected score (6 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 47.4% expected score (7,906 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 49.7% expected score (9,009 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 50.3% expected score (1,429 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 51.1% expected score (93 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (6 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 47.8% expected score (16,275 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 49.5% expected score (30,912 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 51.2% expected score (4,991 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 46.2% expected score (373 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (6 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 48.0% expected score (29,098 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 49.9% expected score (79,414 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 50.6% expected score (12,098 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 54.1% expected score (704 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 47.5% expected score (37,056 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 50.3% expected score (102,422 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 52.4% expected score (15,025 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 51.5% expected score (526 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 48.5% expected score (42,117 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 52.4% expected score (66,164 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 54.5% expected score (7,026 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 60.7% expected score (97 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 52.4% expected score (14,024 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 56.8% expected score (7,040 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 65.3% expected score (276 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 61.8% expected score (7 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Sicilian Defense
48.5%
Variations (5)
Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon
45.7%
Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Exchange Variation
45.8%
Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Maróczy Bind
48.8%
Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Maróczy Bind, Breyer Variation
43.7%
Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Maróczy Bind, Gurgenidze Variation
44.6%
Analyze Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation, Maróczy Bind, Réti Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation, Maróczy Bind, Réti Variation win rate?

The Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation, Maróczy Bind, Réti Variation has a 47.8% (90% CI: 47.6%-47.9%) win rate for white, based on 492K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation, Maróczy Bind, Réti Variation perform best?

The Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation, Maróczy Bind, Réti Variation performs best at 2500+ Elo with a 50.7% win rate for white (21K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation, Maróczy Bind, Réti Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Rapid (48.9%) outperforms Classical (47.7%) by 1.2%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation, Maróczy Bind, Réti Variation?

The Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation, Maróczy Bind, Réti Variation has a sharpness score of 95.3 (very decisive), meaning 95.3% of games end decisively. Average game length is 35 moves.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation, Maróczy Bind, Réti Variation win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation, Maróczy Bind, Réti Variation has a 50.5% (90% CI: 46.5%-54.6%) win rate for white, based on 411 Lichess games. Average game length is 24 moves with a 2.1% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation, Maróczy Bind, Réti Variation win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation, Maróczy Bind, Réti Variation has a 44.7% (90% CI: 42.6%-46.8%) win rate for white, based on 1.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 2.0% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation, Maróczy Bind, Réti Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation, Maróczy Bind, Réti Variation has a 47.3% (90% CI: 46.3%-48.4%) win rate for white, based on 5.9K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 2.1% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation, Maróczy Bind, Réti Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation, Maróczy Bind, Réti Variation has a 47.5% (90% CI: 46.9%-48.1%) win rate for white, based on 18K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 2.4% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation, Maróczy Bind, Réti Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation, Maróczy Bind, Réti Variation has a 47.4% (90% CI: 47.0%-47.7%) win rate for white, based on 53K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.4% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation, Maróczy Bind, Réti Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation, Maróczy Bind, Réti Variation has a 47.5% (90% CI: 47.3%-47.7%) win rate for white, based on 121K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 4.1% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation, Maróczy Bind, Réti Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation, Maróczy Bind, Réti Variation has a 47.4% (90% CI: 47.2%-47.6%) win rate for white, based on 155K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 4.9% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation, Maróczy Bind, Réti Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation, Maróczy Bind, Réti Variation has a 48.3% (90% CI: 48.0%-48.5%) win rate for white, based on 115K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 5.7% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation, Maróczy Bind, Réti Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation, Maróczy Bind, Réti Variation has a 50.7% (90% CI: 50.1%-51.2%) win rate for white, based on 21K Lichess games. Average game length is 41 moves with a 6.6% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation, Maróczy Bind, Réti Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation, Maróczy Bind, Réti Variation has a 46.8% (90% CI: 46.5%-47.0%) win rate for white (151K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.2%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation, Maróczy Bind, Réti Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation, Maróczy Bind, Réti Variation has a 48.1% (90% CI: 48.0%-48.3%) win rate for white (298K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.2%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation, Maróczy Bind, Réti Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation, Maróczy Bind, Réti Variation has a 48.9% (90% CI: 48.5%-49.3%) win rate for white (41K Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.3%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation, Maróczy Bind, Réti Variation win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation, Maróczy Bind, Réti Variation has a 47.7% (90% CI: 45.8%-49.7%) win rate for white (1.8K Lichess games). Draw rate is 8.2%.

Is the Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation, Maróczy Bind, Réti Variation a good opening?

The Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation, Maróczy Bind, Réti Variation is statistically balanced with a 47.8% (90% CI: 47.6%-47.9%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2500+ Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.