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Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation, Knight Variation

1.4M games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Tough Sell
White Expected Score47.0%Range (90% confident): 46.9% – 47.1%Based on 1.4M games
0%47.0%100%
Range (90% confident): 46.9% – 47.1%
Outcome Distribution
45.1%3.8%51.1%
Win
Draw
Loss
5.Nc3
Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation, Knight Variation
Analyzen=1.4M
Avg Length34 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate3.8%

What is the Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation, Knight Variation expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation, Knight Variation has a 47.0% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 46.9% and 47.1%), based on 1.4M Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 45% → 50%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 45.1% win rate (3,436 games)
  • 1000-1199: 45.0% win rate (12,221 games)
  • 1200-1399: 45.2% win rate (41,002 games)
  • 1400-1599: 45.0% win rate (110,145 games)
  • 1600-1799: 44.7% win rate (233,562 games)
  • 1800-1999: 44.3% win rate (355,275 games)
  • 2000-2199: 44.6% win rate (327,322 games)
  • 2200-2499: 46.6% win rate (231,616 games)
  • 2500+: 49.8% win rate (42,466 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Rapid (46%), worst in UltraBullet (43%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 43.0% win rate (402 games)
  • Bullet: 44.5% win rate (541,208 games)
  • Blitz: 45.4% win rate (684,118 games)
  • Rapid: 46.1% win rate (124,811 games)
  • Classical: 45.6% win rate (6,506 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (4 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 44.7% expected score (1,835 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 48.1% expected score (1,238 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 45.1% expected score (357 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 21.5% expected score (2 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 41.3% expected score (10 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 43.7% expected score (5,821 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 47.9% expected score (5,068 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 47.4% expected score (1,297 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 48.2% expected score (25 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 32.0% expected score (29 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 44.1% expected score (17,835 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 47.9% expected score (18,512 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 49.7% expected score (4,453 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 44.6% expected score (173 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 26.5% expected score (73 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 44.1% expected score (42,371 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 47.5% expected score (53,613 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 49.5% expected score (13,302 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 45.7% expected score (786 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 49.7% expected score (167 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 44.6% expected score (75,641 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 46.8% expected score (125,956 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 48.4% expected score (29,518 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 50.8% expected score (2,280 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 52.6% expected score (96 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 45.1% expected score (111,089 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 46.3% expected score (202,218 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 48.1% expected score (39,708 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 45.7% expected score (2,164 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 37.2% expected score (18 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 45.6% expected score (121,165 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 47.1% expected score (177,548 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 48.5% expected score (27,752 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 54.2% expected score (839 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 27.0% expected score (5 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 47.1% expected score (129,608 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 51.2% expected score (93,780 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 52.6% expected score (8,011 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 59.4% expected score (212 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 51.8% expected score (35,843 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 56.9% expected score (6,185 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 62.0% expected score (413 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 59.5% expected score (25 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Sicilian Defense
48.5%
Variations (5)
Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon
45.7%
Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Exchange Variation
45.8%
Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Maróczy Bind
48.8%
Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Maróczy Bind, Breyer Variation
43.7%
Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Maróczy Bind, Gurgenidze Variation
44.6%
Analyze Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation, Knight Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation, Knight Variation win rate?

The Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation, Knight Variation has a 45.1% (90% CI: 45.0%-45.2%) win rate for white, based on 1.4M rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation, Knight Variation perform best?

The Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation, Knight Variation performs best at 2500+ Elo with a 49.8% win rate for white (42K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation, Knight Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Rapid (46.1%) outperforms UltraBullet (43.0%) by 3.1%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation, Knight Variation?

The Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation, Knight Variation has a sharpness score of 96.2 (very decisive), meaning 96.2% of games end decisively. Average game length is 34 moves.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation, Knight Variation win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation, Knight Variation has a 45.1% (90% CI: 43.7%-46.5%) win rate for white, based on 3.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 24 moves with a 1.6% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation, Knight Variation win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation, Knight Variation has a 45.0% (90% CI: 44.3%-45.7%) win rate for white, based on 12K Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 1.7% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation, Knight Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation, Knight Variation has a 45.2% (90% CI: 44.8%-45.6%) win rate for white, based on 41K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 2.3% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation, Knight Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation, Knight Variation has a 45.0% (90% CI: 44.8%-45.3%) win rate for white, based on 110K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 2.7% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation, Knight Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation, Knight Variation has a 44.7% (90% CI: 44.5%-44.9%) win rate for white, based on 234K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.3% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation, Knight Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation, Knight Variation has a 44.3% (90% CI: 44.1%-44.4%) win rate for white, based on 355K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 3.7% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation, Knight Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation, Knight Variation has a 44.6% (90% CI: 44.4%-44.7%) win rate for white, based on 327K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 4.1% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation, Knight Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation, Knight Variation has a 46.6% (90% CI: 46.4%-46.8%) win rate for white, based on 232K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 4.7% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation, Knight Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation, Knight Variation has a 49.8% (90% CI: 49.4%-50.2%) win rate for white, based on 42K Lichess games. Average game length is 40 moves with a 5.7% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation, Knight Variation win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation, Knight Variation has a 43.0% (90% CI: 39.0%-47.1%) win rate for white (402 Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.1%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation, Knight Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation, Knight Variation has a 44.5% (90% CI: 44.4%-44.6%) win rate for white (541K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.9%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation, Knight Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation, Knight Variation has a 45.4% (90% CI: 45.3%-45.5%) win rate for white (684K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.3%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation, Knight Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation, Knight Variation has a 46.1% (90% CI: 45.9%-46.4%) win rate for white (125K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.2%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation, Knight Variation win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation, Knight Variation has a 45.6% (90% CI: 44.6%-46.6%) win rate for white (6.5K Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.9%.

Is the Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation, Knight Variation a good opening?

The Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation, Knight Variation is slightly favors black with a 45.1% (90% CI: 45.0%-45.2%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2500+ Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.