1.2K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026
At all ratings, the Sicilian Defense: Heidenfeld Variation has a 50.1% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 47.8% and 52.5%), based on 1.2K Lichess games.
Improves with rating: 20% → 47%
Best in Blitz (47%), worst in Classical (18%)
Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.
| Rating | UB | Bulle | Blitz | Rapid | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-999 | — | — | — | — | |
| 1000-1199 | — | — | — | — | |
| 1200-1399 | — | — | |||
| 1400-1599 | — | ||||
| 1600-1799 | — | ||||
| 1800-1999 | — | ||||
| 2000-2199 | — | — | |||
| 2200-2499 | — | ||||
| 2500+ | — | — |
Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control
The Sicilian Defense: Heidenfeld Variation has a 46.6% (90% CI: 44.2%-49.0%) win rate for white, based on 1.2K rated games from Lichess.
The Sicilian Defense: Heidenfeld Variation performs best at 2000-2199 Elo with a 49.1% win rate for white (378 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.
Blitz (47.1%) outperforms Rapid (45.9%) by 1.2%. Choose your time control wisely.
The Sicilian Defense: Heidenfeld Variation has a sharpness score of 93.0 (decisive), meaning 93.0% of games end decisively. Average game length is 37 moves.
At 1600-1799 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Heidenfeld Variation has a 41.5% (90% CI: 33.6%-49.5%) win rate for white, based on 101 Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.4% draw rate.
At 1800-1999 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Heidenfeld Variation has a 44.7% (90% CI: 39.4%-50.1%) win rate for white, based on 230 Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 6.7% draw rate.
At 2000-2199 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Heidenfeld Variation has a 49.1% (90% CI: 44.9%-53.4%) win rate for white, based on 378 Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 5.1% draw rate.
At 2200-2499 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Heidenfeld Variation has a 46.4% (90% CI: 42.1%-50.8%) win rate for white, based on 357 Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 8.8% draw rate.
In Bullet games, the Sicilian Defense: Heidenfeld Variation has a 46.3% (90% CI: 40.5%-52.2%) win rate for white (196 Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.3%.
In Blitz games, the Sicilian Defense: Heidenfeld Variation has a 47.1% (90% CI: 44.2%-50.0%) win rate for white (807 Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.9%.
In Rapid games, the Sicilian Defense: Heidenfeld Variation has a 45.9% (90% CI: 40.0%-51.9%) win rate for white (189 Lichess games). Draw rate is 10.2%.
The Sicilian Defense: Heidenfeld Variation is slightly favors black with a 46.6% (90% CI: 44.2%-49.0%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2000-2199 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.