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Sicilian Defense: Grand Prix Attack

2.1M games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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White Expected Score52.4%Range (90% confident): 52.3% – 52.4%Based on 2.1M games
0%52.4%100%
Range (90% confident): 52.3% – 52.4%
Outcome Distribution
50.5%3.7%45.8%
Win
Draw
Loss
3.f4
Sicilian Defense: Grand Prix Attack
Analyzen=2.1M
Avg Length34 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate3.7%

What is the Sicilian Defense: Grand Prix Attack expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Sicilian Defense: Grand Prix Attack has a 52.4% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 52.3% and 52.4%), based on 2.1M Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 48% → 54%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 48.0% win rate (9,597 games)
  • 1000-1199: 49.5% win rate (32,575 games)
  • 1200-1399: 49.4% win rate (82,839 games)
  • 1400-1599: 49.4% win rate (191,773 games)
  • 1600-1799: 49.8% win rate (366,075 games)
  • 1800-1999: 50.2% win rate (553,772 games)
  • 2000-2199: 50.7% win rate (493,656 games)
  • 2200-2499: 51.9% win rate (299,799 games)
  • 2500+: 53.8% win rate (43,313 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (54%), worst in Classical (48%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 53.5% win rate (1,186 games)
  • Bullet: 51.2% win rate (884,532 games)
  • Blitz: 50.0% win rate (1,004,155 games)
  • Rapid: 49.1% win rate (176,207 games)
  • Classical: 48.3% win rate (7,319 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 52.2% expected score (21 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 49.7% expected score (3,964 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 49.2% expected score (4,443 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 47.4% expected score (1,159 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 37.0% expected score (10 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 41.3% expected score (44 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 50.6% expected score (15,522 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 50.4% expected score (13,581 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 50.8% expected score (3,392 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (36 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 53.0% expected score (117 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 50.5% expected score (37,788 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 50.6% expected score (35,893 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 50.9% expected score (8,868 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (173 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 54.3% expected score (256 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 50.5% expected score (78,382 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 51.2% expected score (92,796 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 50.3% expected score (19,535 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 50.8% expected score (804 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 52.3% expected score (397 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 51.6% expected score (131,343 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 51.2% expected score (193,535 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 51.2% expected score (38,806 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 51.1% expected score (1,994 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 59.2% expected score (210 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 52.5% expected score (197,564 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 52.0% expected score (299,538 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 51.3% expected score (53,799 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 51.7% expected score (2,661 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 55.3% expected score (102 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 53.1% expected score (204,678 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 52.8% expected score (248,629 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 52.3% expected score (38,836 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 51.7% expected score (1,411 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 59.6% expected score (35 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 54.2% expected score (177,473 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 54.3% expected score (110,523 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 54.3% expected score (11,540 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 55.1% expected score (228 games)
  • 2500+ rating, UltraBullet: 68.2% expected score (4 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 56.3% expected score (37,818 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 59.2% expected score (5,217 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 60.4% expected score (272 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (2 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Sicilian Defense
48.5%
Variations (5)
Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon
45.7%
Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Exchange Variation
45.8%
Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Maróczy Bind
48.8%
Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Maróczy Bind, Breyer Variation
43.7%
Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Maróczy Bind, Gurgenidze Variation
44.6%
Continuations (1)
Sicilian Defense: Grand Prix Attack, Schofman Variation
55.0%
Analyze Sicilian Defense: Grand Prix Attack PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Sicilian Defense: Grand Prix Attack win rate?

The Sicilian Defense: Grand Prix Attack has a 50.5% (90% CI: 50.4%-50.5%) win rate for white, based on 2.1M rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Sicilian Defense: Grand Prix Attack perform best?

The Sicilian Defense: Grand Prix Attack performs best at 2500+ Elo with a 53.8% win rate for white (43K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Sicilian Defense: Grand Prix Attack better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (51.2%) outperforms Classical (48.3%) by 2.9%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Sicilian Defense: Grand Prix Attack?

The Sicilian Defense: Grand Prix Attack has a sharpness score of 96.3 (very decisive), meaning 96.3% of games end decisively. Average game length is 34 moves.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Grand Prix Attack win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Grand Prix Attack has a 48.0% (90% CI: 47.1%-48.8%) win rate for white, based on 9.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 25 moves with a 2.4% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Grand Prix Attack win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Grand Prix Attack has a 49.5% (90% CI: 49.0%-49.9%) win rate for white, based on 33K Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 2.1% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Grand Prix Attack win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Grand Prix Attack has a 49.4% (90% CI: 49.2%-49.7%) win rate for white, based on 83K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 2.3% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Grand Prix Attack win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Grand Prix Attack has a 49.4% (90% CI: 49.3%-49.6%) win rate for white, based on 192K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 2.7% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Grand Prix Attack win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Grand Prix Attack has a 49.8% (90% CI: 49.7%-49.9%) win rate for white, based on 366K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.0% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Grand Prix Attack win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Grand Prix Attack has a 50.2% (90% CI: 50.1%-50.4%) win rate for white, based on 554K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 3.7% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Grand Prix Attack win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Grand Prix Attack has a 50.7% (90% CI: 50.6%-50.9%) win rate for white, based on 494K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 4.2% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Grand Prix Attack win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Grand Prix Attack has a 51.9% (90% CI: 51.7%-52.0%) win rate for white, based on 300K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 4.8% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Grand Prix Attack win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Grand Prix Attack has a 53.8% (90% CI: 53.4%-54.2%) win rate for white, based on 43K Lichess games. Average game length is 40 moves with a 5.8% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Grand Prix Attack win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the Sicilian Defense: Grand Prix Attack has a 53.5% (90% CI: 51.1%-55.9%) win rate for white (1.2K Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.3%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Grand Prix Attack win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Sicilian Defense: Grand Prix Attack has a 51.2% (90% CI: 51.2%-51.3%) win rate for white (885K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.9%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Grand Prix Attack win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Sicilian Defense: Grand Prix Attack has a 50.0% (90% CI: 49.9%-50.1%) win rate for white (1.0M Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.3%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Grand Prix Attack win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Sicilian Defense: Grand Prix Attack has a 49.1% (90% CI: 48.9%-49.3%) win rate for white (176K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.9%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Grand Prix Attack win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Sicilian Defense: Grand Prix Attack has a 48.3% (90% CI: 47.3%-49.3%) win rate for white (7.3K Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.3%.

Is the Sicilian Defense: Grand Prix Attack a good opening?

The Sicilian Defense: Grand Prix Attack is statistically favors white with a 50.5% (90% CI: 50.4%-50.5%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2500+ Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.