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Sicilian Defense: Frederico Variation

101 games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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White Expected Score68.6%Range (90% confident): 60.9% – 75.9%Based on 101 games
0%68.6%100%
Range (90% confident): 60.9% – 75.9%
Outcome Distribution
67.8%1.5%30.7%
Win
Draw
Loss
3...f5
Sicilian Defense: Frederico Variation
Analyzen=101
Avg Length27 moves
Sharpness99%
Draw Rate1.5%

What is the Sicilian Defense: Frederico Variation expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Sicilian Defense: Frederico Variation has a 68.6% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 60.9% and 75.9%), based on 101 Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 66% → 78%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200

  • 0-999: 66.1% win rate (28 games)
  • 1000-1199: 69.7% win rate (15 games)
  • 1200-1399: 48.7% win rate (18 games)
  • 1400-1599: 38.5% win rate (5 games)
  • 1600-1799: 68.0% win rate (11 games)
  • 1800-1999: 70.4% win rate (12 games)
  • 2000-2199: 81.0% win rate (9 games)
  • 2200-2499: 77.8% win rate (3 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Classical (71%), worst in Bullet (62%)

Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • Bullet: 61.9% win rate (30 games)
  • Blitz: 66.3% win rate (43 games)
  • Rapid: 70.9% win rate (26 games)
  • Classical: 71.4% win rate (2 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199——
1200-1399——
1400-1599———
1600-1799—
1800-1999——
2000-2199——
2200-2499———
2500+—————

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (7 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 79.7% expected score (12 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 64.3% expected score (9 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 83.4% expected score (3 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 71.1% expected score (8 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (4 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (6 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 45.3% expected score (9 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 31.9% expected score (4 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 63.4% expected score (6 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 57.7% expected score (5 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 73.1% expected score (5 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 73.1% expected score (5 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 83.4% expected score (3 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 70.0% expected score (1 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Sicilian Defense
48.5%
Variations (5)
Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon
45.7%
Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Exchange Variation
45.8%
Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Maróczy Bind
48.8%
Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Maróczy Bind, Breyer Variation
43.7%
Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Maróczy Bind, Gurgenidze Variation
44.6%
Analyze Sicilian Defense: Frederico Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Sicilian Defense: Frederico Variation win rate?

The Sicilian Defense: Frederico Variation has a 67.8% (90% CI: 60.1%-75.2%) win rate for white, based on 101 rated games from Lichess.

How sharp is the Sicilian Defense: Frederico Variation?

The Sicilian Defense: Frederico Variation has a sharpness score of 98.5 (very decisive), meaning 98.5% of games end decisively. Average game length is 27 moves.

Is the Sicilian Defense: Frederico Variation a good opening?

The Sicilian Defense: Frederico Variation is statistically favors white with a 67.8% (90% CI: 60.1%-75.2%) win rate across all ratings. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.