9.4K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026
At all ratings, the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Sosonko Variation has a 47.4% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 46.6% and 48.3%), based on 9.4K Lichess games.
Improves with rating: 14% → 48%
Best in Rapid (52%), worst in Blitz (45%)
Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.
| Rating | UB | Bulle | Blitz | Rapid | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-999 | — | — | — | — | |
| 1000-1199 | — | — | |||
| 1200-1399 | — | — | |||
| 1400-1599 | — | ||||
| 1600-1799 | — | ||||
| 1800-1999 | — | ||||
| 2000-2199 | — | ||||
| 2200-2499 | — | ||||
| 2500+ | — | — | — |
Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control
The Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Sosonko Variation has a 45.2% (90% CI: 44.3%-46.0%) win rate for white, based on 9.4K rated games from Lichess.
The Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Sosonko Variation performs best at 1400-1599 Elo with a 56.3% win rate for white (298 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.
Rapid (51.8%) outperforms Bullet (44.7%) by 7.1%. Choose your time control wisely.
The Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Sosonko Variation has a sharpness score of 95.5 (very decisive), meaning 95.5% of games end decisively. Average game length is 35 moves.
At 1400-1599 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Sosonko Variation has a 56.3% (90% CI: 51.5%-60.9%) win rate for white, based on 298 Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 1.8% draw rate.
At 1600-1799 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Sosonko Variation has a 53.1% (90% CI: 49.9%-56.2%) win rate for white, based on 693 Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 3.1% draw rate.
At 1800-1999 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Sosonko Variation has a 46.4% (90% CI: 44.4%-48.5%) win rate for white, based on 1.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.9% draw rate.
At 2000-2199 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Sosonko Variation has a 43.5% (90% CI: 42.1%-45.0%) win rate for white, based on 3.0K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 4.7% draw rate.
At 2200-2499 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Sosonko Variation has a 42.5% (90% CI: 41.0%-43.9%) win rate for white, based on 3.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 5.1% draw rate.
At 2500+ Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Sosonko Variation has a 48.0% (90% CI: 44.1%-51.9%) win rate for white, based on 439 Lichess games. Average game length is 40 moves with a 5.8% draw rate.
In Bullet games, the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Sosonko Variation has a 44.7% (90% CI: 43.2%-46.2%) win rate for white (2.9K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.0%.
In Blitz games, the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Sosonko Variation has a 44.7% (90% CI: 43.6%-45.7%) win rate for white (5.8K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.1%.
In Rapid games, the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Sosonko Variation has a 51.8% (90% CI: 48.4%-55.2%) win rate for white (590 Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.0%.
The Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Sosonko Variation is slightly favors black with a 45.2% (90% CI: 44.3%-46.0%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1400-1599 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.