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Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Panov Variation

63K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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White Expected Score53.7%Range (90% confident): 53.4% – 54.1%Based on 63K games
0%53.7%100%
Range (90% confident): 53.4% – 54.1%
Outcome Distribution
51.2%5.0%43.8%
Win
Draw
Loss
9.g4
Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Panov Variation
Analyzen=63K
Avg Length35 moves
Sharpness95%
Draw Rate5.0%

What is the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Panov Variation expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Panov Variation has a 53.7% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 53.4% and 54.1%), based on 63K Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 71% → 50%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 71.4% win rate (16 games)
  • 1000-1199: 55.1% win rate (72 games)
  • 1200-1399: 60.3% win rate (482 games)
  • 1400-1599: 59.0% win rate (1,737 games)
  • 1600-1799: 56.1% win rate (5,558 games)
  • 1800-1999: 52.3% win rate (13,173 games)
  • 2000-2199: 50.4% win rate (19,451 games)
  • 2200-2499: 49.2% win rate (18,440 games)
  • 2500+: 49.7% win rate (4,098 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Rapid (55%), worst in Blitz (51%)

Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • Bullet: 50.8% win rate (16,627 games)
  • Blitz: 50.8% win rate (39,203 games)
  • Rapid: 54.5% win rate (6,832 games)
  • Classical: 54.2% win rate (365 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199——
1200-1399—
1400-1599—
1600-1799—
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499—
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 70.0% expected score (11 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 86.4% expected score (4 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 52.3% expected score (42 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 53.8% expected score (25 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 88.5% expected score (5 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 60.4% expected score (254 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 58.1% expected score (179 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 74.2% expected score (46 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 83.4% expected score (3 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 56.0% expected score (719 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 61.5% expected score (798 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 69.1% expected score (208 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 68.6% expected score (12 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 55.5% expected score (1,594 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 57.9% expected score (3,330 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 60.7% expected score (588 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 63.7% expected score (46 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 54.8% expected score (2,391 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 53.3% expected score (9,054 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 57.9% expected score (1,607 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 58.6% expected score (121 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 52.9% expected score (4,032 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 52.1% expected score (12,768 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 56.6% expected score (2,507 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 51.8% expected score (144 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 49.7% expected score (5,093 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 52.9% expected score (11,575 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 55.7% expected score (1,741 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (31 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 53.9% expected score (2,491 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 54.5% expected score (1,470 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 57.3% expected score (129 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 39.5% expected score (8 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Sicilian Defense
48.5%
Variations (5)
Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon
45.7%
Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Exchange Variation
45.8%
Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Maróczy Bind
48.8%
Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Maróczy Bind, Breyer Variation
43.7%
Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Maróczy Bind, Gurgenidze Variation
44.6%
Analyze Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Panov Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Panov Variation win rate?

The Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Panov Variation has a 51.2% (90% CI: 50.9%-51.6%) win rate for white, based on 63K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Panov Variation perform best?

The Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Panov Variation performs best at 1400-1599 Elo with a 59.0% win rate for white (1.7K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Panov Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Rapid (54.5%) outperforms Classical (54.2%) by 0.3%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Panov Variation?

The Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Panov Variation has a sharpness score of 95.0 (very decisive), meaning 95.0% of games end decisively. Average game length is 35 moves.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Panov Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Panov Variation has a 60.3% (90% CI: 56.6%-63.9%) win rate for white, based on 482 Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 1.8% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Panov Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Panov Variation has a 59.0% (90% CI: 57.0%-60.9%) win rate for white, based on 1.7K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 2.5% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Panov Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Panov Variation has a 56.1% (90% CI: 55.0%-57.2%) win rate for white, based on 5.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 2.9% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Panov Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Panov Variation has a 52.3% (90% CI: 51.6%-53.0%) win rate for white, based on 13K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.8% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Panov Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Panov Variation has a 50.4% (90% CI: 49.8%-51.0%) win rate for white, based on 19K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 4.8% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Panov Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Panov Variation has a 49.2% (90% CI: 48.6%-49.8%) win rate for white, based on 18K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 6.2% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Panov Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Panov Variation has a 49.7% (90% CI: 48.4%-51.0%) win rate for white, based on 4.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 41 moves with a 8.8% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Panov Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Panov Variation has a 50.8% (90% CI: 50.2%-51.5%) win rate for white (17K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.0%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Panov Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Panov Variation has a 50.8% (90% CI: 50.4%-51.2%) win rate for white (39K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.2%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Panov Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Panov Variation has a 54.5% (90% CI: 53.5%-55.5%) win rate for white (6.8K Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.1%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Panov Variation win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Panov Variation has a 54.2% (90% CI: 49.9%-58.4%) win rate for white (365 Lichess games). Draw rate is 7.5%.

Is the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Panov Variation a good opening?

The Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Panov Variation is statistically favors white with a 51.2% (90% CI: 50.9%-51.6%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1400-1599 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.