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Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Modern Line

438K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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White Expected Score53.5%Range (90% confident): 53.4% – 53.6%Based on 438K games
0%53.5%100%
Range (90% confident): 53.4% – 53.6%
Outcome Distribution
50.9%5.2%43.9%
Win
Draw
Loss
9.O-O-O
Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Modern Line
Analyzen=438K
Avg Length35 moves
Sharpness95%
Draw Rate5.2%

What is the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Modern Line expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Modern Line has a 53.5% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 53.4% and 53.6%), based on 438K Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 57% → 48%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 56.7% win rate (174 games)
  • 1000-1199: 58.8% win rate (1,058 games)
  • 1200-1399: 60.3% win rate (4,875 games)
  • 1400-1599: 58.4% win rate (17,522 games)
  • 1600-1799: 55.8% win rate (53,907 games)
  • 1800-1999: 52.2% win rate (109,491 games)
  • 2000-2199: 48.8% win rate (122,473 games)
  • 2200-2499: 48.1% win rate (103,705 games)
  • 2500+: 48.3% win rate (25,041 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (61%), worst in Classical (50%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 60.5% win rate (39 games)
  • Bullet: 51.6% win rate (147,349 games)
  • Blitz: 50.4% win rate (250,387 games)
  • Rapid: 51.2% win rate (38,487 games)
  • Classical: 50.1% win rate (1,984 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 51.1% expected score (97 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 63.6% expected score (54 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 68.4% expected score (23 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 60.8% expected score (650 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 54.0% expected score (298 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 66.0% expected score (108 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 60.7% expected score (2,925 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 61.2% expected score (1,625 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 67.1% expected score (312 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 71.8% expected score (10 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 64.9% expected score (12 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 58.2% expected score (8,189 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 60.8% expected score (7,852 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 62.5% expected score (1,390 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 51.3% expected score (79 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (6 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 56.9% expected score (17,954 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 57.8% expected score (31,477 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 57.9% expected score (4,139 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 58.8% expected score (331 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 55.9% expected score (7 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 55.0% expected score (27,207 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 54.1% expected score (70,566 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 55.7% expected score (10,922 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 54.4% expected score (789 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 63.4% expected score (6 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 53.1% expected score (34,082 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 50.7% expected score (73,815 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 52.3% expected score (13,931 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 54.5% expected score (639 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 72.3% expected score (3 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 51.0% expected score (39,360 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 51.4% expected score (57,084 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 53.1% expected score (7,142 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 49.6% expected score (116 games)
  • 2500+ rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 51.8% expected score (16,885 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 54.0% expected score (7,616 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 56.5% expected score (520 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 57.3% expected score (19 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Sicilian Defense
48.5%
Variations (5)
Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon
45.7%
Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Exchange Variation
45.8%
Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Maróczy Bind
48.8%
Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Maróczy Bind, Breyer Variation
43.7%
Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Maróczy Bind, Gurgenidze Variation
44.6%
Analyze Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Modern Line PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Modern Line win rate?

The Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Modern Line has a 50.9% (90% CI: 50.7%-51.0%) win rate for white, based on 438K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Modern Line perform best?

The Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Modern Line performs best at 1200-1399 Elo with a 60.3% win rate for white (4.9K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Modern Line better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (51.6%) outperforms Classical (50.1%) by 1.5%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Modern Line?

The Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Modern Line has a sharpness score of 94.8 (decisive), meaning 94.8% of games end decisively. Average game length is 35 moves.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Modern Line win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Modern Line has a 56.7% (90% CI: 50.5%-62.8%) win rate for white, based on 174 Lichess games. Average game length is 24 moves with a 1.4% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Modern Line win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Modern Line has a 58.8% (90% CI: 56.3%-61.2%) win rate for white, based on 1.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 1.4% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Modern Line win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Modern Line has a 60.3% (90% CI: 59.1%-61.4%) win rate for white, based on 4.9K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 2.0% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Modern Line win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Modern Line has a 58.4% (90% CI: 57.8%-59.1%) win rate for white, based on 18K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 2.5% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Modern Line win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Modern Line has a 55.8% (90% CI: 55.4%-56.2%) win rate for white, based on 54K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.4% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Modern Line win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Modern Line has a 52.2% (90% CI: 52.0%-52.5%) win rate for white, based on 109K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 4.4% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Modern Line win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Modern Line has a 48.8% (90% CI: 48.6%-49.1%) win rate for white, based on 122K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 5.5% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Modern Line win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Modern Line has a 48.1% (90% CI: 47.8%-48.3%) win rate for white, based on 104K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 6.5% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Modern Line win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Modern Line has a 48.3% (90% CI: 47.8%-48.8%) win rate for white, based on 25K Lichess games. Average game length is 40 moves with a 8.6% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Modern Line win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Modern Line has a 51.6% (90% CI: 51.4%-51.8%) win rate for white (147K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.1%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Modern Line win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Modern Line has a 50.4% (90% CI: 50.2%-50.6%) win rate for white (250K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.6%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Modern Line win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Modern Line has a 51.2% (90% CI: 50.8%-51.6%) win rate for white (38K Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.8%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Modern Line win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Modern Line has a 50.1% (90% CI: 48.2%-51.9%) win rate for white (2.0K Lichess games). Draw rate is 9.5%.

Is the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Modern Line a good opening?

The Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Modern Line is statistically favors white with a 50.9% (90% CI: 50.7%-51.0%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1200-1399 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.