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Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Main Line

109K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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White Expected Score59.4%Range (90% confident): 59.2% – 59.7%Based on 109K games
0%59.4%100%
Range (90% confident): 59.2% – 59.7%
Outcome Distribution
57.3%4.2%38.5%
Win
Draw
Loss
9.Bc4
Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Main Line
Analyzen=109K
Avg Length34 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate4.2%

What is the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Main Line expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Main Line has a 59.4% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 59.2% and 59.7%), based on 109K Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 56% → 51%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 55.6% win rate (66 games)
  • 1000-1199: 57.4% win rate (428 games)
  • 1200-1399: 57.9% win rate (1,842 games)
  • 1400-1599: 57.4% win rate (6,911 games)
  • 1600-1799: 58.4% win rate (18,360 games)
  • 1800-1999: 57.4% win rate (32,992 games)
  • 2000-2199: 58.0% win rate (29,313 games)
  • 2200-2499: 56.0% win rate (15,842 games)
  • 2500+: 50.5% win rate (2,900 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Rapid (58%), worst in UltraBullet (23%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 23.1% win rate (5 games)
  • Bullet: 57.1% win rate (34,350 games)
  • Blitz: 57.4% win rate (62,094 games)
  • Rapid: 57.7% win rate (11,703 games)
  • Classical: 57.3% win rate (502 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199——
1200-1399——
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199—
2200-2499—
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 51.4% expected score (35 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 68.0% expected score (18 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 60.4% expected score (13 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 55.4% expected score (271 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 60.1% expected score (108 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 70.8% expected score (49 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 59.9% expected score (926 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 57.6% expected score (769 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 60.8% expected score (147 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 58.1% expected score (2,818 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 59.8% expected score (3,461 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 57.4% expected score (607 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 59.8% expected score (24 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 60.1% expected score (5,212 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 60.2% expected score (11,121 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 60.1% expected score (1,908 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 56.7% expected score (118 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 38.9% expected score (3 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 58.8% expected score (7,000 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 59.2% expected score (21,893 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 60.3% expected score (3,871 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 61.3% expected score (225 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 58.8% expected score (8,190 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 60.9% expected score (17,249 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 60.4% expected score (3,759 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 62.1% expected score (115 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 59.2% expected score (7,561 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 57.6% expected score (6,951 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 61.5% expected score (1,311 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 69.5% expected score (19 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 54.9% expected score (2,337 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 56.6% expected score (524 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 60.1% expected score (38 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (1 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Sicilian Defense
48.5%
Variations (5)
Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon
45.7%
Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Exchange Variation
45.8%
Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Maróczy Bind
48.8%
Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Maróczy Bind, Breyer Variation
43.7%
Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Maróczy Bind, Gurgenidze Variation
44.6%
Analyze Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Main Line PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Main Line win rate?

The Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Main Line has a 57.3% (90% CI: 57.1%-57.6%) win rate for white, based on 109K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Main Line perform best?

The Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Main Line performs best at 1600-1799 Elo with a 58.4% win rate for white (18K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Main Line better in blitz or rapid?

Blitz (57.4%) outperforms Classical (57.3%) by 0.1%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Main Line?

The Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Main Line has a sharpness score of 95.8 (very decisive), meaning 95.8% of games end decisively. Average game length is 34 moves.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Main Line win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Main Line has a 57.4% (90% CI: 53.5%-61.3%) win rate for white, based on 428 Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 2.0% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Main Line win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Main Line has a 57.9% (90% CI: 56.0%-59.8%) win rate for white, based on 1.8K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 2.2% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Main Line win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Main Line has a 57.4% (90% CI: 56.4%-58.4%) win rate for white, based on 6.9K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 2.9% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Main Line win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Main Line has a 58.4% (90% CI: 57.8%-59.0%) win rate for white, based on 18K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.5% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Main Line win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Main Line has a 57.4% (90% CI: 56.9%-57.8%) win rate for white, based on 33K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 3.7% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Main Line win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Main Line has a 58.0% (90% CI: 57.6%-58.5%) win rate for white, based on 29K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 4.4% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Main Line win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Main Line has a 56.0% (90% CI: 55.3%-56.6%) win rate for white, based on 16K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 5.4% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Main Line win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Main Line has a 50.5% (90% CI: 49.0%-52.1%) win rate for white, based on 2.9K Lichess games. Average game length is 40 moves with a 9.4% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Main Line win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Main Line has a 57.1% (90% CI: 56.7%-57.6%) win rate for white (34K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.2%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Main Line win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Main Line has a 57.4% (90% CI: 57.1%-57.7%) win rate for white (62K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.5%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Main Line win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Main Line has a 57.7% (90% CI: 57.0%-58.5%) win rate for white (12K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.1%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Main Line win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Main Line has a 57.3% (90% CI: 53.7%-60.9%) win rate for white (502 Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.9%.

Is the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Main Line a good opening?

The Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Main Line is statistically favors white with a 57.3% (90% CI: 57.1%-57.6%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1600-1799 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.