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Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Early Deviations

52K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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White Expected Score53.2%Range (90% confident): 52.8% – 53.5%Based on 52K games
0%53.2%100%
Range (90% confident): 52.8% – 53.5%
Outcome Distribution
51.1%4.2%44.7%
Win
Draw
Loss
7.f3
Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Early Deviations
Analyzen=52K
Avg Length35 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate4.2%

What is the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Early Deviations expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Early Deviations has a 53.2% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 52.8% and 53.5%), based on 52K Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Stable across ratings (~49%)

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 48.6% win rate (51 games)
  • 1000-1199: 56.8% win rate (244 games)
  • 1200-1399: 55.7% win rate (874 games)
  • 1400-1599: 55.4% win rate (2,646 games)
  • 1600-1799: 53.6% win rate (7,336 games)
  • 1800-1999: 51.8% win rate (13,678 games)
  • 2000-2199: 50.3% win rate (13,876 games)
  • 2200-2499: 48.4% win rate (10,296 games)
  • 2500+: 47.9% win rate (2,574 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (65%), worst in Bullet (50%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 64.7% win rate (7 games)
  • Bullet: 50.3% win rate (13,781 games)
  • Blitz: 50.6% win rate (30,990 games)
  • Rapid: 54.5% win rate (6,431 games)
  • Classical: 54.3% win rate (366 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199——
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199—
2200-2499—
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 40.6% expected score (25 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 59.7% expected score (14 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 57.5% expected score (12 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 55.9% expected score (142 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 54.6% expected score (74 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 70.4% expected score (28 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 56.3% expected score (372 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 55.2% expected score (376 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 67.5% expected score (124 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 54.0% expected score (909 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 57.0% expected score (1,332 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 62.9% expected score (378 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 71.9% expected score (26 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 53.5% expected score (2,082 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 55.6% expected score (4,245 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 58.4% expected score (938 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 63.3% expected score (70 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 86.4% expected score (4 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 51.8% expected score (2,641 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 53.4% expected score (8,878 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 57.7% expected score (2,007 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 58.0% expected score (148 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 51.1% expected score (2,939 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 52.3% expected score (8,745 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 55.2% expected score (2,092 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 47.5% expected score (100 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 51.0% expected score (3,564 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 50.3% expected score (5,892 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 54.4% expected score (821 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 62.2% expected score (19 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 49.9% expected score (1,107 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 51.7% expected score (1,434 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 73.1% expected score (31 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 35.7% expected score (2 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Sicilian Defense
48.5%
Variations (5)
Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon
45.7%
Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Exchange Variation
45.8%
Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Maróczy Bind
48.8%
Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Maróczy Bind, Breyer Variation
43.7%
Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Maróczy Bind, Gurgenidze Variation
44.6%
Analyze Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Early Deviations PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Early Deviations win rate?

The Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Early Deviations has a 51.1% (90% CI: 50.7%-51.4%) win rate for white, based on 52K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Early Deviations perform best?

The Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Early Deviations performs best at 1400-1599 Elo with a 55.4% win rate for white (2.6K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Early Deviations better in blitz or rapid?

Rapid (54.5%) outperforms Bullet (50.3%) by 4.2%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Early Deviations?

The Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Early Deviations has a sharpness score of 95.8 (very decisive), meaning 95.8% of games end decisively. Average game length is 35 moves.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Early Deviations win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Early Deviations has a 56.8% (90% CI: 51.6%-62.0%) win rate for white, based on 244 Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 1.0% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Early Deviations win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Early Deviations has a 55.7% (90% CI: 52.9%-58.4%) win rate for white, based on 874 Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 3.5% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Early Deviations win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Early Deviations has a 55.4% (90% CI: 53.8%-57.0%) win rate for white, based on 2.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 3.1% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Early Deviations win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Early Deviations has a 53.6% (90% CI: 52.7%-54.6%) win rate for white, based on 7.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.6% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Early Deviations win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Early Deviations has a 51.8% (90% CI: 51.1%-52.5%) win rate for white, based on 14K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 3.8% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Early Deviations win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Early Deviations has a 50.3% (90% CI: 49.6%-51.0%) win rate for white, based on 14K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 4.3% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Early Deviations win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Early Deviations has a 48.4% (90% CI: 47.6%-49.2%) win rate for white, based on 10K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 4.9% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Early Deviations win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Early Deviations has a 47.9% (90% CI: 46.2%-49.5%) win rate for white, based on 2.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 41 moves with a 6.5% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Early Deviations win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Early Deviations has a 50.3% (90% CI: 49.6%-51.0%) win rate for white (14K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.1%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Early Deviations win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Early Deviations has a 50.6% (90% CI: 50.2%-51.1%) win rate for white (31K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.4%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Early Deviations win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Early Deviations has a 54.5% (90% CI: 53.5%-55.5%) win rate for white (6.4K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.4%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Early Deviations win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Early Deviations has a 54.3% (90% CI: 50.0%-58.5%) win rate for white (366 Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.4%.

Is the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Early Deviations a good opening?

The Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Early Deviations is statistically favors white with a 51.1% (90% CI: 50.7%-51.4%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1400-1599 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.