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Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Classical Variation, Battery Variation

38K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
White Expected Score49.9%Range (90% confident): 49.5% – 50.4%Based on 38K games
0%49.9%100%
Range (90% confident): 49.5% – 50.4%
Outcome Distribution
46.7%6.4%46.9%
Win
Draw
Loss
9.Qd2
Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Classical Variation, Battery Variation
Analyzen=38K
Avg Length38 moves
Sharpness94%
Draw Rate6.4%

What is the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Classical Variation, Battery Variation expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Classical Variation, Battery Variation has a 49.9% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 49.5% and 50.4%), based on 38K Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 43% → 49%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 43.4% win rate (25 games)
  • 1000-1199: 53.0% win rate (173 games)
  • 1200-1399: 48.0% win rate (771 games)
  • 1400-1599: 46.8% win rate (2,321 games)
  • 1600-1799: 45.2% win rate (5,880 games)
  • 1800-1999: 46.0% win rate (10,381 games)
  • 2000-2199: 46.3% win rate (9,917 games)
  • 2200-2499: 48.9% win rate (6,485 games)
  • 2500+: 49.0% win rate (1,821 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Bullet (48%), worst in UltraBullet (14%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 14.3% win rate (2 games)
  • Bullet: 47.8% win rate (11,482 games)
  • Blitz: 46.5% win rate (21,414 games)
  • Rapid: 45.3% win rate (4,575 games)
  • Classical: 41.8% win rate (301 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199——
1200-1399
1400-1599—
1600-1799
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499—
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (17 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 42.4% expected score (5 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 38.9% expected score (3 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 56.9% expected score (101 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 47.6% expected score (60 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 57.5% expected score (12 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 49.6% expected score (384 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 50.5% expected score (305 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 52.5% expected score (80 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 49.7% expected score (809 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 49.0% expected score (1,224 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 45.8% expected score (270 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (18 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 47.4% expected score (1,614 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 47.8% expected score (3,506 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 46.1% expected score (709 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 49.0% expected score (50 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 50.4% expected score (2,036 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 48.7% expected score (6,745 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 48.0% expected score (1,481 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 45.9% expected score (119 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 49.7% expected score (2,492 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 49.9% expected score (5,975 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (1,371 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 50.6% expected score (79 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 50.8% expected score (2,626 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 54.5% expected score (3,195 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 56.1% expected score (631 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 58.7% expected score (33 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 53.1% expected score (1,403 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 56.1% expected score (399 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (18 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (1 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Sicilian Defense
48.5%
Variations (5)
Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon
45.7%
Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Exchange Variation
45.8%
Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Maróczy Bind
48.8%
Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Maróczy Bind, Breyer Variation
43.7%
Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Maróczy Bind, Gurgenidze Variation
44.6%
Analyze Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Classical Variation, Battery Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Classical Variation, Battery Variation win rate?

The Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Classical Variation, Battery Variation has a 46.7% (90% CI: 46.3%-47.1%) win rate for white, based on 38K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Classical Variation, Battery Variation perform best?

The Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Classical Variation, Battery Variation performs best at 2200-2499 Elo with a 48.9% win rate for white (6.5K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Classical Variation, Battery Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (47.8%) outperforms Classical (41.8%) by 6.0%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Classical Variation, Battery Variation?

The Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Classical Variation, Battery Variation has a sharpness score of 93.6 (decisive), meaning 93.6% of games end decisively. Average game length is 38 moves.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Classical Variation, Battery Variation win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Classical Variation, Battery Variation has a 53.0% (90% CI: 46.8%-59.2%) win rate for white, based on 173 Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 1.4% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Classical Variation, Battery Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Classical Variation, Battery Variation has a 48.0% (90% CI: 45.0%-50.9%) win rate for white, based on 771 Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 4.6% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Classical Variation, Battery Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Classical Variation, Battery Variation has a 46.8% (90% CI: 45.1%-48.5%) win rate for white, based on 2.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 4.1% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Classical Variation, Battery Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Classical Variation, Battery Variation has a 45.2% (90% CI: 44.1%-46.3%) win rate for white, based on 5.9K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 4.5% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Classical Variation, Battery Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Classical Variation, Battery Variation has a 46.0% (90% CI: 45.2%-46.8%) win rate for white, based on 10K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 5.7% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Classical Variation, Battery Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Classical Variation, Battery Variation has a 46.3% (90% CI: 45.4%-47.1%) win rate for white, based on 9.9K Lichess games. Average game length is 40 moves with a 7.2% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Classical Variation, Battery Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Classical Variation, Battery Variation has a 48.9% (90% CI: 47.9%-49.9%) win rate for white, based on 6.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 41 moves with a 8.6% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Classical Variation, Battery Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Classical Variation, Battery Variation has a 49.0% (90% CI: 47.0%-50.9%) win rate for white, based on 1.8K Lichess games. Average game length is 45 moves with a 9.5% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Classical Variation, Battery Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Classical Variation, Battery Variation has a 47.8% (90% CI: 47.0%-48.5%) win rate for white (11K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.9%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Classical Variation, Battery Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Classical Variation, Battery Variation has a 46.5% (90% CI: 46.0%-47.1%) win rate for white (21K Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.8%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Classical Variation, Battery Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Classical Variation, Battery Variation has a 45.3% (90% CI: 44.1%-46.5%) win rate for white (4.6K Lichess games). Draw rate is 8.2%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Classical Variation, Battery Variation win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Classical Variation, Battery Variation has a 41.8% (90% CI: 37.2%-46.5%) win rate for white (301 Lichess games). Draw rate is 15.4%.

Is the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Classical Variation, Battery Variation a good opening?

The Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Classical Variation, Battery Variation is statistically balanced with a 46.7% (90% CI: 46.3%-47.1%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2200-2499 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.