TrueEloPlay what wins.
Analyzer

Sicilian Defense: Delayed Alapin Variation, with d6

3.0M games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
White Expected Score52.0%Range (90% confident): 52.0% – 52.1%Based on 3.0M games
0%52.0%100%
Range (90% confident): 52.0% – 52.1%
Outcome Distribution
49.8%4.4%45.8%
Win
Draw
Loss
3.c3
Sicilian Defense: Delayed Alapin Variation, with d6
Analyzen=3.0M
Avg Length36 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate4.4%

What is the Sicilian Defense: Delayed Alapin Variation, with d6 expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Sicilian Defense: Delayed Alapin Variation, with d6 has a 52.0% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 52.0% and 52.1%), based on 3.0M Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 49% → 53%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 49.2% win rate (19,606 games)
  • 1000-1199: 50.2% win rate (71,667 games)
  • 1200-1399: 50.4% win rate (192,851 games)
  • 1400-1599: 50.1% win rate (412,581 games)
  • 1600-1799: 49.8% win rate (679,922 games)
  • 1800-1999: 49.4% win rate (811,811 games)
  • 2000-2199: 49.5% win rate (538,297 games)
  • 2200-2499: 50.6% win rate (274,370 games)
  • 2500+: 53.2% win rate (48,324 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Similar across time controls (~51%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 49.1% win rate (1,005 games)
  • Bullet: 50.5% win rate (981,144 games)
  • Blitz: 49.6% win rate (1,653,226 games)
  • Rapid: 49.4% win rate (397,778 games)
  • Classical: 47.6% win rate (16,276 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 29.3% expected score (42 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 48.8% expected score (9,805 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 51.9% expected score (7,852 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 52.8% expected score (1,899 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 60.6% expected score (8 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 48.4% expected score (62 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 50.9% expected score (34,847 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 52.2% expected score (30,321 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 52.2% expected score (6,345 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 42.0% expected score (92 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (183 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 51.3% expected score (76,248 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 52.0% expected score (95,461 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 53.2% expected score (20,534 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 52.6% expected score (425 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 47.7% expected score (413 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 51.4% expected score (135,199 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 52.1% expected score (221,045 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 51.7% expected score (53,954 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 49.6% expected score (1,970 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 50.7% expected score (165 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 51.6% expected score (189,365 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 51.8% expected score (382,517 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 51.9% expected score (102,361 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 50.2% expected score (5,514 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 62.2% expected score (64 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 51.7% expected score (197,771 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 51.8% expected score (480,171 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 52.1% expected score (127,778 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 50.7% expected score (6,027 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 60.9% expected score (49 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 52.3% expected score (166,343 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 51.8% expected score (301,543 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 52.6% expected score (68,460 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 53.2% expected score (1,902 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 46.4% expected score (26 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 53.2% expected score (135,351 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 53.8% expected score (122,639 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 54.9% expected score (16,023 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 61.6% expected score (331 games)
  • 2500+ rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 56.5% expected score (36,215 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 57.3% expected score (11,677 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 59.1% expected score (424 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 61.8% expected score (7 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Sicilian Defense
48.5%
Variations (5)
Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon
45.7%
Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Exchange Variation
45.8%
Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Maróczy Bind
48.8%
Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Maróczy Bind, Breyer Variation
43.7%
Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Maróczy Bind, Gurgenidze Variation
44.6%
Analyze Sicilian Defense: Delayed Alapin Variation, with d6 PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Sicilian Defense: Delayed Alapin Variation, with d6 win rate?

The Sicilian Defense: Delayed Alapin Variation, with d6 has a 49.8% (90% CI: 49.8%-49.9%) win rate for white, based on 3.0M rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Sicilian Defense: Delayed Alapin Variation, with d6 perform best?

The Sicilian Defense: Delayed Alapin Variation, with d6 performs best at 2500+ Elo with a 53.2% win rate for white (48K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Sicilian Defense: Delayed Alapin Variation, with d6 better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (50.5%) outperforms UltraBullet (49.1%) by 1.4%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Sicilian Defense: Delayed Alapin Variation, with d6?

The Sicilian Defense: Delayed Alapin Variation, with d6 has a sharpness score of 95.6 (very decisive), meaning 95.6% of games end decisively. Average game length is 36 moves.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Delayed Alapin Variation, with d6 win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Delayed Alapin Variation, with d6 has a 49.2% (90% CI: 48.6%-49.7%) win rate for white, based on 20K Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 2.5% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Delayed Alapin Variation, with d6 win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Delayed Alapin Variation, with d6 has a 50.2% (90% CI: 49.9%-50.5%) win rate for white, based on 72K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 2.6% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Delayed Alapin Variation, with d6 win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Delayed Alapin Variation, with d6 has a 50.4% (90% CI: 50.2%-50.6%) win rate for white, based on 193K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 2.9% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Delayed Alapin Variation, with d6 win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Delayed Alapin Variation, with d6 has a 50.1% (90% CI: 50.0%-50.2%) win rate for white, based on 413K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.4% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Delayed Alapin Variation, with d6 win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Delayed Alapin Variation, with d6 has a 49.8% (90% CI: 49.7%-49.9%) win rate for white, based on 680K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 4.0% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Delayed Alapin Variation, with d6 win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Delayed Alapin Variation, with d6 has a 49.4% (90% CI: 49.3%-49.5%) win rate for white, based on 812K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 4.6% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Delayed Alapin Variation, with d6 win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Delayed Alapin Variation, with d6 has a 49.5% (90% CI: 49.3%-49.6%) win rate for white, based on 538K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 5.1% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Delayed Alapin Variation, with d6 win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Delayed Alapin Variation, with d6 has a 50.6% (90% CI: 50.5%-50.8%) win rate for white, based on 274K Lichess games. Average game length is 40 moves with a 5.9% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Delayed Alapin Variation, with d6 win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Delayed Alapin Variation, with d6 has a 53.2% (90% CI: 52.8%-53.5%) win rate for white, based on 48K Lichess games. Average game length is 43 moves with a 7.1% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Delayed Alapin Variation, with d6 win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the Sicilian Defense: Delayed Alapin Variation, with d6 has a 49.1% (90% CI: 46.5%-51.7%) win rate for white (1.0K Lichess games). Draw rate is 0.6%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Delayed Alapin Variation, with d6 win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Sicilian Defense: Delayed Alapin Variation, with d6 has a 50.5% (90% CI: 50.4%-50.5%) win rate for white (981K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.1%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Delayed Alapin Variation, with d6 win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Sicilian Defense: Delayed Alapin Variation, with d6 has a 49.6% (90% CI: 49.5%-49.7%) win rate for white (1.7M Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.8%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Delayed Alapin Variation, with d6 win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Sicilian Defense: Delayed Alapin Variation, with d6 has a 49.4% (90% CI: 49.3%-49.6%) win rate for white (398K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.5%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Delayed Alapin Variation, with d6 win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Sicilian Defense: Delayed Alapin Variation, with d6 has a 47.6% (90% CI: 46.9%-48.2%) win rate for white (16K Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.7%.

Is the Sicilian Defense: Delayed Alapin Variation, with d6 a good opening?

The Sicilian Defense: Delayed Alapin Variation, with d6 is statistically favors white with a 49.8% (90% CI: 49.8%-49.9%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2500+ Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.