16K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026
At all ratings, the Sicilian Defense: Delayed Alapin Variation, Basman-Palatnik Double Gambit has a 58.2% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 57.6% and 58.8%), based on 16K Lichess games.
Deep-dive datasets for this opening
Improves with rating: 52% → 60%
Best in Bullet (57%), worst in Classical (52%)
Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.
| Rating | UB | Bulle | Blitz | Rapid | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-999 | — | — | — | — | — |
| 1000-1199 | — | — | — | ||
| 1200-1399 | — | — | |||
| 1400-1599 | — | ||||
| 1600-1799 | — | ||||
| 1800-1999 | — | ||||
| 2000-2199 | — | ||||
| 2200-2499 | — | ||||
| 2500+ | — |
Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control
The Sicilian Defense: Delayed Alapin Variation, Basman-Palatnik Double Gambit has a 55.9% (90% CI: 55.3%-56.6%) win rate for white, based on 16K rated games from Lichess.
The Sicilian Defense: Delayed Alapin Variation, Basman-Palatnik Double Gambit performs best at 1400-1599 Elo with a 62.4% win rate for white (376 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.
Bullet (57.1%) outperforms Classical (52.3%) by 4.8%. Choose your time control wisely.
The Sicilian Defense: Delayed Alapin Variation, Basman-Palatnik Double Gambit has a sharpness score of 95.6 (very decisive), meaning 95.6% of games end decisively. Average game length is 34 moves.
At 1400-1599 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Delayed Alapin Variation, Basman-Palatnik Double Gambit has a 62.4% (90% CI: 58.3%-66.4%) win rate for white, based on 376 Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 2.5% draw rate.
At 1600-1799 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Delayed Alapin Variation, Basman-Palatnik Double Gambit has a 59.4% (90% CI: 57.3%-61.4%) win rate for white, based on 1.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 2.3% draw rate.
At 1800-1999 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Delayed Alapin Variation, Basman-Palatnik Double Gambit has a 55.8% (90% CI: 54.6%-57.1%) win rate for white, based on 4.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.6% draw rate.
At 2000-2199 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Delayed Alapin Variation, Basman-Palatnik Double Gambit has a 54.9% (90% CI: 53.8%-56.1%) win rate for white, based on 5.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 4.5% draw rate.
At 2200-2499 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Delayed Alapin Variation, Basman-Palatnik Double Gambit has a 55.0% (90% CI: 53.7%-56.2%) win rate for white, based on 4.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 6.1% draw rate.
At 2500+ Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Delayed Alapin Variation, Basman-Palatnik Double Gambit has a 59.6% (90% CI: 56.5%-62.7%) win rate for white, based on 670 Lichess games. Average game length is 40 moves with a 5.6% draw rate.
In Bullet games, the Sicilian Defense: Delayed Alapin Variation, Basman-Palatnik Double Gambit has a 57.1% (90% CI: 55.8%-58.5%) win rate for white (3.5K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.0%.
In Blitz games, the Sicilian Defense: Delayed Alapin Variation, Basman-Palatnik Double Gambit has a 55.7% (90% CI: 54.9%-56.6%) win rate for white (9.6K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.7%.
In Rapid games, the Sicilian Defense: Delayed Alapin Variation, Basman-Palatnik Double Gambit has a 55.3% (90% CI: 53.9%-56.8%) win rate for white (3.1K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.3%.
In Classical games, the Sicilian Defense: Delayed Alapin Variation, Basman-Palatnik Double Gambit has a 52.3% (90% CI: 45.9%-58.7%) win rate for white (162 Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.8%.
The Sicilian Defense: Delayed Alapin Variation, Basman-Palatnik Double Gambit is statistically favors white with a 55.9% (90% CI: 55.3%-56.6%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1400-1599 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.