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Sicilian Defense: Coles Sicilian Gambit

6.0K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Tough Sell
White Expected Score46.1%Range (90% confident): 45.1% – 47.2%Based on 6.0K games
0%46.1%100%
Range (90% confident): 45.1% – 47.2%
Outcome Distribution
44.5%3.1%52.4%
Win
Draw
Loss
5.Bc4
Sicilian Defense: Coles Sicilian Gambit
Analyzen=6.0K
Avg Length32 moves
Sharpness97%
Draw Rate3.1%

What is the Sicilian Defense: Coles Sicilian Gambit expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Sicilian Defense: Coles Sicilian Gambit has a 46.1% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 45.1% and 47.2%), based on 6.0K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointWhite

Peak: -8.9% · Breakpoint: 0-999

White Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 37% → 14%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 37.3% win rate (300 games)
  • 1000-1199: 40.6% win rate (704 games)
  • 1200-1399: 44.9% win rate (1,096 games)
  • 1400-1599: 45.0% win rate (1,268 games)
  • 1600-1799: 45.7% win rate (1,427 games)
  • 1800-1999: 46.3% win rate (902 games)
  • 2000-2199: 46.6% win rate (270 games)
  • 2200-2499: 48.3% win rate (43 games)
  • 2500+: 14.3% win rate (2 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Bullet (47%), worst in Classical (33%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 38.5% win rate (5 games)
  • Bullet: 47.1% win rate (1,914 games)
  • Blitz: 42.9% win rate (2,510 games)
  • Rapid: 44.4% win rate (1,535 games)
  • Classical: 33.3% win rate (48 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999—
1000-1199—
1200-1399
1400-1599—
1600-1799
1800-1999—
2000-2199——
2200-2499——
2500+————

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 49.5% expected score (103 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 32.3% expected score (120 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 33.2% expected score (76 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 46.1% expected score (227 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 39.0% expected score (326 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 42.7% expected score (148 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 16.7% expected score (3 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 47.9% expected score (403 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 42.9% expected score (436 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 49.2% expected score (246 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 39.5% expected score (8 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 48.1% expected score (376 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 45.9% expected score (549 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 46.3% expected score (324 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 45.2% expected score (19 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 45.2% expected score (349 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 47.9% expected score (654 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 49.0% expected score (407 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 32.9% expected score (16 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 52.1% expected score (235 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 47.1% expected score (353 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 47.1% expected score (312 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 21.5% expected score (2 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 49.2% expected score (184 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 52.2% expected score (67 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 28.1% expected score (19 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 54.1% expected score (35 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 34.7% expected score (5 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 21.5% expected score (2 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Sicilian Defense
48.5%
Variations (5)
Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon
45.7%
Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Exchange Variation
45.8%
Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Maróczy Bind
48.8%
Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Maróczy Bind, Breyer Variation
43.7%
Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Maróczy Bind, Gurgenidze Variation
44.6%
Analyze Sicilian Defense: Coles Sicilian Gambit PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Sicilian Defense: Coles Sicilian Gambit win rate?

The Sicilian Defense: Coles Sicilian Gambit has a 44.5% (90% CI: 43.5%-45.6%) win rate for white, based on 6.0K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Sicilian Defense: Coles Sicilian Gambit perform best?

The Sicilian Defense: Coles Sicilian Gambit performs best at 1800-1999 Elo with a 46.3% win rate for white (902 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Sicilian Defense: Coles Sicilian Gambit better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (47.1%) outperforms Blitz (42.9%) by 4.2%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Sicilian Defense: Coles Sicilian Gambit?

The Sicilian Defense: Coles Sicilian Gambit has a sharpness score of 96.9 (very decisive), meaning 96.9% of games end decisively. Average game length is 32 moves.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Coles Sicilian Gambit win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Coles Sicilian Gambit has a 37.3% (90% CI: 32.8%-41.9%) win rate for white, based on 300 Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 1.8% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Coles Sicilian Gambit win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Coles Sicilian Gambit has a 40.6% (90% CI: 37.6%-43.7%) win rate for white, based on 704 Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 2.5% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Coles Sicilian Gambit win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Coles Sicilian Gambit has a 44.9% (90% CI: 42.4%-47.3%) win rate for white, based on 1.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 2.6% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Coles Sicilian Gambit win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Coles Sicilian Gambit has a 45.0% (90% CI: 42.7%-47.3%) win rate for white, based on 1.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 3.3% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Coles Sicilian Gambit win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Coles Sicilian Gambit has a 45.7% (90% CI: 43.5%-47.8%) win rate for white, based on 1.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.3% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Coles Sicilian Gambit win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Coles Sicilian Gambit has a 46.3% (90% CI: 43.6%-49.1%) win rate for white, based on 902 Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 3.9% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Coles Sicilian Gambit win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Coles Sicilian Gambit has a 46.6% (90% CI: 41.6%-51.6%) win rate for white, based on 270 Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 3.5% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Coles Sicilian Gambit win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Sicilian Defense: Coles Sicilian Gambit has a 47.1% (90% CI: 45.2%-48.9%) win rate for white (1.9K Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.9%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Coles Sicilian Gambit win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Sicilian Defense: Coles Sicilian Gambit has a 42.9% (90% CI: 41.3%-44.5%) win rate for white (2.5K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.4%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Coles Sicilian Gambit win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Sicilian Defense: Coles Sicilian Gambit has a 44.4% (90% CI: 42.3%-46.5%) win rate for white (1.5K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.0%.

Is the Sicilian Defense: Coles Sicilian Gambit a good opening?

The Sicilian Defense: Coles Sicilian Gambit is slightly favors black with a 44.5% (90% CI: 43.5%-45.6%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1800-1999 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.