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Sicilian Defense: Closed, Fianchetto Variation

536K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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White Expected Score54.8%Range (90% confident): 54.7% – 54.9%Based on 536K games
0%54.8%100%
Range (90% confident): 54.7% – 54.9%
Outcome Distribution
52.6%4.4%43.0%
Win
Draw
Loss
3.g3
Sicilian Defense: Closed, Fianchetto Variation
Analyzen=536K
Avg Length36 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate4.4%

What is the Sicilian Defense: Closed, Fianchetto Variation expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Sicilian Defense: Closed, Fianchetto Variation has a 54.8% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 54.7% and 54.9%), based on 536K Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 50% → 55%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 49.9% win rate (1,902 games)
  • 1000-1199: 49.8% win rate (6,022 games)
  • 1200-1399: 50.6% win rate (15,428 games)
  • 1400-1599: 51.2% win rate (38,318 games)
  • 1600-1799: 51.8% win rate (81,423 games)
  • 1800-1999: 52.2% win rate (147,883 games)
  • 2000-2199: 53.0% win rate (147,164 games)
  • 2200-2499: 54.2% win rate (85,843 games)
  • 2500+: 55.2% win rate (12,331 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Bullet (54%), worst in Classical (48%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 51.3% win rate (284 games)
  • Bullet: 53.5% win rate (206,180 games)
  • Blitz: 52.2% win rate (280,258 games)
  • Rapid: 51.3% win rate (47,594 games)
  • Classical: 48.1% win rate (1,998 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 44.2% expected score (7 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 48.6% expected score (752 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 53.5% expected score (875 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 53.2% expected score (266 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 22.0% expected score (11 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 49.5% expected score (2,711 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 52.2% expected score (2,412 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 53.2% expected score (878 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (10 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 62.4% expected score (75 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 52.2% expected score (6,208 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 52.0% expected score (7,121 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 52.3% expected score (1,974 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 45.2% expected score (50 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 45.4% expected score (74 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 53.2% expected score (12,069 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 52.8% expected score (20,958 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 52.2% expected score (4,978 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 47.5% expected score (239 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 55.1% expected score (48 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 54.5% expected score (24,444 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 53.2% expected score (46,626 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 53.5% expected score (9,801 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 53.8% expected score (504 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 56.7% expected score (51 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 54.7% expected score (42,889 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 54.4% expected score (89,601 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 53.8% expected score (14,572 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 52.0% expected score (770 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 41.3% expected score (10 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 55.2% expected score (53,169 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 55.7% expected score (81,406 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 55.3% expected score (12,205 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 52.7% expected score (374 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 38.9% expected score (3 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 56.7% expected score (52,908 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 56.8% expected score (29,992 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 59.5% expected score (2,891 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 58.9% expected score (49 games)
  • 2500+ rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (5 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 58.1% expected score (11,030 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 59.6% expected score (1,267 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 68.1% expected score (29 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Sicilian Defense
48.5%
Variations (5)
Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon
45.7%
Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Exchange Variation
45.8%
Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Maróczy Bind
48.8%
Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Maróczy Bind, Breyer Variation
43.7%
Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Maróczy Bind, Gurgenidze Variation
44.6%
Analyze Sicilian Defense: Closed, Fianchetto Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Sicilian Defense: Closed, Fianchetto Variation win rate?

The Sicilian Defense: Closed, Fianchetto Variation has a 52.6% (90% CI: 52.5%-52.7%) win rate for white, based on 536K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Sicilian Defense: Closed, Fianchetto Variation perform best?

The Sicilian Defense: Closed, Fianchetto Variation performs best at 2500+ Elo with a 55.2% win rate for white (12K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Sicilian Defense: Closed, Fianchetto Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (53.5%) outperforms Classical (48.1%) by 5.4%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Sicilian Defense: Closed, Fianchetto Variation?

The Sicilian Defense: Closed, Fianchetto Variation has a sharpness score of 95.6 (very decisive), meaning 95.6% of games end decisively. Average game length is 36 moves.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Closed, Fianchetto Variation win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Closed, Fianchetto Variation has a 49.9% (90% CI: 48.0%-51.8%) win rate for white, based on 1.9K Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 3.1% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Closed, Fianchetto Variation win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Closed, Fianchetto Variation has a 49.8% (90% CI: 48.8%-50.9%) win rate for white, based on 6.0K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 2.5% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Closed, Fianchetto Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Closed, Fianchetto Variation has a 50.6% (90% CI: 49.9%-51.2%) win rate for white, based on 15K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 3.1% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Closed, Fianchetto Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Closed, Fianchetto Variation has a 51.2% (90% CI: 50.7%-51.6%) win rate for white, based on 38K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.2% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Closed, Fianchetto Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Closed, Fianchetto Variation has a 51.8% (90% CI: 51.5%-52.1%) win rate for white, based on 81K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 3.6% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Closed, Fianchetto Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Closed, Fianchetto Variation has a 52.2% (90% CI: 52.0%-52.4%) win rate for white, based on 148K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 4.4% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Closed, Fianchetto Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Closed, Fianchetto Variation has a 53.0% (90% CI: 52.8%-53.2%) win rate for white, based on 147K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 4.9% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Closed, Fianchetto Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Closed, Fianchetto Variation has a 54.2% (90% CI: 53.9%-54.5%) win rate for white, based on 86K Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 5.3% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Closed, Fianchetto Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Closed, Fianchetto Variation has a 55.2% (90% CI: 54.5%-56.0%) win rate for white, based on 12K Lichess games. Average game length is 41 moves with a 6.0% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Closed, Fianchetto Variation win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the Sicilian Defense: Closed, Fianchetto Variation has a 51.3% (90% CI: 46.4%-56.2%) win rate for white (284 Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.9%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Closed, Fianchetto Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Sicilian Defense: Closed, Fianchetto Variation has a 53.5% (90% CI: 53.3%-53.6%) win rate for white (206K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.5%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Closed, Fianchetto Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Sicilian Defense: Closed, Fianchetto Variation has a 52.2% (90% CI: 52.0%-52.3%) win rate for white (280K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.9%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Closed, Fianchetto Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Sicilian Defense: Closed, Fianchetto Variation has a 51.3% (90% CI: 51.0%-51.7%) win rate for white (48K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.7%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Closed, Fianchetto Variation win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Sicilian Defense: Closed, Fianchetto Variation has a 48.1% (90% CI: 46.3%-50.0%) win rate for white (2.0K Lichess games). Draw rate is 7.7%.

Is the Sicilian Defense: Closed, Fianchetto Variation a good opening?

The Sicilian Defense: Closed, Fianchetto Variation is statistically favors white with a 52.6% (90% CI: 52.5%-52.7%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2500+ Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.