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Sicilian Defense: Closed, Chameleon Variation

168K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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White Expected Score53.4%Range (90% confident): 53.2% – 53.6%Based on 168K games
0%53.4%100%
Range (90% confident): 53.2% – 53.6%
Outcome Distribution
51.1%4.6%44.3%
Win
Draw
Loss
3.Nge2
Sicilian Defense: Closed, Chameleon Variation
Analyzen=168K
Avg Length36 moves
Sharpness95%
Draw Rate4.6%

What is the Sicilian Defense: Closed, Chameleon Variation expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Sicilian Defense: Closed, Chameleon Variation has a 53.4% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 53.2% and 53.6%), based on 168K Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 43% → 55%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 43.1% win rate (939 games)
  • 1000-1199: 47.8% win rate (1,991 games)
  • 1200-1399: 49.5% win rate (4,685 games)
  • 1400-1599: 50.5% win rate (12,021 games)
  • 1600-1799: 50.3% win rate (28,083 games)
  • 1800-1999: 51.4% win rate (44,927 games)
  • 2000-2199: 50.8% win rate (42,590 games)
  • 2200-2499: 52.1% win rate (26,745 games)
  • 2500+: 54.9% win rate (6,474 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Bullet (52%), worst in Classical (45%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 47.2% win rate (95 games)
  • Bullet: 52.1% win rate (63,498 games)
  • Blitz: 50.6% win rate (89,457 games)
  • Rapid: 50.0% win rate (14,725 games)
  • Classical: 45.0% win rate (680 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 21.5% expected score (2 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 46.9% expected score (373 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 42.2% expected score (406 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 44.9% expected score (156 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 48.0% expected score (981 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 51.0% expected score (742 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 44.3% expected score (262 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 38.9% expected score (3 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (4 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 50.8% expected score (1,986 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 50.8% expected score (2,076 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 50.1% expected score (590 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 43.5% expected score (29 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 45.4% expected score (20 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 51.3% expected score (4,223 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 52.8% expected score (6,377 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 51.4% expected score (1,348 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 52.8% expected score (53 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 52.2% expected score (21 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 52.6% expected score (10,059 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 51.4% expected score (15,121 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 53.5% expected score (2,715 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 42.0% expected score (167 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 41.3% expected score (27 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 53.6% expected score (14,780 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 53.6% expected score (25,903 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 52.6% expected score (4,020 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 54.5% expected score (197 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 56.1% expected score (15 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 54.1% expected score (13,975 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 52.8% expected score (24,478 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 54.4% expected score (3,943 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 51.1% expected score (179 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 54.7% expected score (12,676 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 55.5% expected score (12,406 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 54.8% expected score (1,613 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 48.0% expected score (47 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 58.3% expected score (4,445 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 60.3% expected score (1,948 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 60.1% expected score (78 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (3 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Sicilian Defense
48.5%
Variations (5)
Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon
45.7%
Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Exchange Variation
45.8%
Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Maróczy Bind
48.8%
Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Maróczy Bind, Breyer Variation
43.7%
Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Maróczy Bind, Gurgenidze Variation
44.6%
Analyze Sicilian Defense: Closed, Chameleon Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Sicilian Defense: Closed, Chameleon Variation win rate?

The Sicilian Defense: Closed, Chameleon Variation has a 51.1% (90% CI: 50.9%-51.3%) win rate for white, based on 168K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Sicilian Defense: Closed, Chameleon Variation perform best?

The Sicilian Defense: Closed, Chameleon Variation performs best at 2500+ Elo with a 54.9% win rate for white (6.5K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Sicilian Defense: Closed, Chameleon Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (52.1%) outperforms UltraBullet (47.2%) by 4.9%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Sicilian Defense: Closed, Chameleon Variation?

The Sicilian Defense: Closed, Chameleon Variation has a sharpness score of 95.4 (very decisive), meaning 95.4% of games end decisively. Average game length is 36 moves.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Closed, Chameleon Variation win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Closed, Chameleon Variation has a 43.1% (90% CI: 40.5%-45.8%) win rate for white, based on 939 Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 2.6% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Closed, Chameleon Variation win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Closed, Chameleon Variation has a 47.8% (90% CI: 45.9%-49.6%) win rate for white, based on 2.0K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 1.8% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Closed, Chameleon Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Closed, Chameleon Variation has a 49.5% (90% CI: 48.2%-50.7%) win rate for white, based on 4.7K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 2.3% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Closed, Chameleon Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Closed, Chameleon Variation has a 50.5% (90% CI: 49.7%-51.2%) win rate for white, based on 12K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.2% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Closed, Chameleon Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Closed, Chameleon Variation has a 50.3% (90% CI: 49.8%-50.8%) win rate for white, based on 28K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 3.3% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Closed, Chameleon Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Closed, Chameleon Variation has a 51.4% (90% CI: 51.0%-51.8%) win rate for white, based on 45K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 4.2% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Closed, Chameleon Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Closed, Chameleon Variation has a 50.8% (90% CI: 50.4%-51.2%) win rate for white, based on 43K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 5.2% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Closed, Chameleon Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Closed, Chameleon Variation has a 52.1% (90% CI: 51.6%-52.6%) win rate for white, based on 27K Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 6.0% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Closed, Chameleon Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Closed, Chameleon Variation has a 54.9% (90% CI: 53.9%-56.0%) win rate for white, based on 6.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 40 moves with a 7.9% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Closed, Chameleon Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Sicilian Defense: Closed, Chameleon Variation has a 52.1% (90% CI: 51.7%-52.4%) win rate for white (63K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.3%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Closed, Chameleon Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Sicilian Defense: Closed, Chameleon Variation has a 50.6% (90% CI: 50.3%-50.9%) win rate for white (89K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.2%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Closed, Chameleon Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Sicilian Defense: Closed, Chameleon Variation has a 50.0% (90% CI: 49.3%-50.6%) win rate for white (15K Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.2%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Closed, Chameleon Variation win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Sicilian Defense: Closed, Chameleon Variation has a 45.0% (90% CI: 41.9%-48.1%) win rate for white (680 Lichess games). Draw rate is 8.7%.

Is the Sicilian Defense: Closed, Chameleon Variation a good opening?

The Sicilian Defense: Closed, Chameleon Variation is statistically favors white with a 51.1% (90% CI: 50.9%-51.3%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2500+ Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.