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Sicilian Defense: Classical Variation, Sozin Attack

192K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
White Expected Score50.5%Range (90% confident): 50.3% – 50.6%Based on 192K games
0%50.5%100%
Range (90% confident): 50.3% – 50.6%
Outcome Distribution
48.4%4.1%47.5%
Win
Draw
Loss
6.Bc4
Sicilian Defense: Classical Variation, Sozin Attack
Analyzen=192K
Avg Length33 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate4.1%

What is the Sicilian Defense: Classical Variation, Sozin Attack expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Sicilian Defense: Classical Variation, Sozin Attack has a 50.5% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 50.3% and 50.6%), based on 192K Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 46% → 50%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 46.1% win rate (1,744 games)
  • 1000-1199: 46.2% win rate (5,921 games)
  • 1200-1399: 48.4% win rate (14,806 games)
  • 1400-1599: 48.3% win rate (30,448 games)
  • 1600-1799: 47.8% win rate (46,481 games)
  • 1800-1999: 48.5% win rate (47,498 games)
  • 2000-2199: 49.0% win rate (27,357 games)
  • 2200-2499: 49.3% win rate (14,441 games)
  • 2500+: 49.8% win rate (3,305 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Rapid (49%), worst in UltraBullet (33%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 33.3% win rate (9 games)
  • Bullet: 48.6% win rate (48,250 games)
  • Blitz: 48.2% win rate (110,235 games)
  • Rapid: 48.9% win rate (32,237 games)
  • Classical: 43.1% win rate (1,270 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999—
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599—
1600-1799
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499—
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 46.2% expected score (762 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 48.7% expected score (769 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 48.1% expected score (211 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 21.5% expected score (2 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 21.5% expected score (2 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 46.7% expected score (2,244 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 48.1% expected score (2,810 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 50.4% expected score (855 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 28.3% expected score (10 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 31.9% expected score (4 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 49.3% expected score (4,547 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 50.4% expected score (7,814 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 50.1% expected score (2,384 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 43.2% expected score (57 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 49.3% expected score (7,749 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 50.1% expected score (17,400 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 51.0% expected score (5,095 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 45.4% expected score (204 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 49.5% expected score (9,094 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 49.5% expected score (28,117 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 51.0% expected score (8,848 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 43.8% expected score (419 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (9,237 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 50.5% expected score (28,482 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 51.6% expected score (9,350 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 48.3% expected score (429 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 50.6% expected score (7,106 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 51.8% expected score (15,775 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 52.1% expected score (4,351 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 52.0% expected score (125 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 52.2% expected score (5,592 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 52.0% expected score (7,737 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 53.3% expected score (1,088 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 57.9% expected score (24 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 55.7% expected score (1,919 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 49.9% expected score (1,331 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 59.8% expected score (55 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Sicilian Defense
48.5%
Variations (5)
Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon
45.7%
Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Exchange Variation
45.8%
Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Maróczy Bind
48.8%
Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Maróczy Bind, Breyer Variation
43.7%
Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Maróczy Bind, Gurgenidze Variation
44.6%
Analyze Sicilian Defense: Classical Variation, Sozin Attack PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Sicilian Defense: Classical Variation, Sozin Attack win rate?

The Sicilian Defense: Classical Variation, Sozin Attack has a 48.4% (90% CI: 48.2%-48.5%) win rate for white, based on 192K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Sicilian Defense: Classical Variation, Sozin Attack perform best?

The Sicilian Defense: Classical Variation, Sozin Attack performs best at 2200-2499 Elo with a 49.3% win rate for white (14K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Sicilian Defense: Classical Variation, Sozin Attack better in blitz or rapid?

Rapid (48.9%) outperforms Classical (43.1%) by 5.8%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Sicilian Defense: Classical Variation, Sozin Attack?

The Sicilian Defense: Classical Variation, Sozin Attack has a sharpness score of 95.9 (very decisive), meaning 95.9% of games end decisively. Average game length is 33 moves.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Classical Variation, Sozin Attack win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Classical Variation, Sozin Attack has a 46.1% (90% CI: 44.1%-48.1%) win rate for white, based on 1.7K Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 2.8% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Classical Variation, Sozin Attack win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Classical Variation, Sozin Attack has a 46.2% (90% CI: 45.2%-47.3%) win rate for white, based on 5.9K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 3.1% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Classical Variation, Sozin Attack win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Classical Variation, Sozin Attack has a 48.4% (90% CI: 47.8%-49.1%) win rate for white, based on 15K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 3.0% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Classical Variation, Sozin Attack win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Classical Variation, Sozin Attack has a 48.3% (90% CI: 47.8%-48.7%) win rate for white, based on 30K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 3.5% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Classical Variation, Sozin Attack win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Classical Variation, Sozin Attack has a 47.8% (90% CI: 47.5%-48.2%) win rate for white, based on 46K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.7% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Classical Variation, Sozin Attack win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Classical Variation, Sozin Attack has a 48.5% (90% CI: 48.1%-48.8%) win rate for white, based on 47K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 4.3% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Classical Variation, Sozin Attack win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Classical Variation, Sozin Attack has a 49.0% (90% CI: 48.5%-49.5%) win rate for white, based on 27K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 5.0% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Classical Variation, Sozin Attack win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Classical Variation, Sozin Attack has a 49.3% (90% CI: 48.7%-50.0%) win rate for white, based on 14K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 5.7% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Classical Variation, Sozin Attack win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Classical Variation, Sozin Attack has a 49.8% (90% CI: 48.3%-51.2%) win rate for white, based on 3.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 41 moves with a 7.3% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Classical Variation, Sozin Attack win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Sicilian Defense: Classical Variation, Sozin Attack has a 48.6% (90% CI: 48.2%-49.0%) win rate for white (48K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.0%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Classical Variation, Sozin Attack win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Sicilian Defense: Classical Variation, Sozin Attack has a 48.2% (90% CI: 47.9%-48.4%) win rate for white (110K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.4%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Classical Variation, Sozin Attack win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Sicilian Defense: Classical Variation, Sozin Attack has a 48.9% (90% CI: 48.4%-49.3%) win rate for white (32K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.9%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Classical Variation, Sozin Attack win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Sicilian Defense: Classical Variation, Sozin Attack has a 43.1% (90% CI: 40.9%-45.4%) win rate for white (1.3K Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.5%.

Is the Sicilian Defense: Classical Variation, Sozin Attack a good opening?

The Sicilian Defense: Classical Variation, Sozin Attack is statistically balanced with a 48.4% (90% CI: 48.2%-48.5%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2200-2499 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.