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Sicilian Defense: Classical Variation, Fianchetto Variation

20K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
White Expected Score51.1%Range (90% confident): 50.5% – 51.7%Based on 20K games
0%51.1%100%
Range (90% confident): 50.5% – 51.7%
Outcome Distribution
48.0%6.2%45.8%
Win
Draw
Loss
6.g3
Sicilian Defense: Classical Variation, Fianchetto Variation
Analyzen=20K
Avg Length38 moves
Sharpness94%
Draw Rate6.2%

What is the Sicilian Defense: Classical Variation, Fianchetto Variation expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Sicilian Defense: Classical Variation, Fianchetto Variation has a 51.1% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 50.5% and 51.7%), based on 20K Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Stable across ratings (~47%)

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 47.3% win rate (44 games)
  • 1000-1199: 54.0% win rate (131 games)
  • 1200-1399: 44.7% win rate (380 games)
  • 1400-1599: 50.5% win rate (922 games)
  • 1600-1799: 45.9% win rate (1,837 games)
  • 1800-1999: 47.6% win rate (3,168 games)
  • 2000-2199: 48.4% win rate (4,829 games)
  • 2200-2499: 47.8% win rate (6,248 games)
  • 2500+: 48.7% win rate (1,953 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Similar across time controls (~50%)

Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • Bullet: 49.5% win rate (5,592 games)
  • Blitz: 47.4% win rate (12,251 games)
  • Rapid: 46.6% win rate (1,615 games)
  • Classical: 47.7% win rate (54 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199——
1200-1399—
1400-1599—
1600-1799—
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499—
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 47.6% expected score (19 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 54.7% expected score (20 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 42.4% expected score (5 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 51.7% expected score (57 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 59.0% expected score (60 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (14 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 46.3% expected score (146 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 48.1% expected score (180 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 41.7% expected score (53 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 54.4% expected score (285 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 50.2% expected score (516 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 53.0% expected score (117 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (4 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 47.7% expected score (525 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 48.6% expected score (1,064 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 46.8% expected score (233 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 59.1% expected score (15 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 52.8% expected score (688 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 49.3% expected score (2,107 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 48.2% expected score (356 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 44.6% expected score (17 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 52.8% expected score (1,137 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 50.5% expected score (3,215 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 52.7% expected score (465 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 61.2% expected score (12 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 51.4% expected score (1,746 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 51.8% expected score (4,144 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 52.1% expected score (353 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (5 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 52.6% expected score (989 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 54.7% expected score (945 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (19 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Sicilian Defense
48.5%
Variations (5)
Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon
45.7%
Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Exchange Variation
45.8%
Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Maróczy Bind
48.8%
Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Maróczy Bind, Breyer Variation
43.7%
Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Maróczy Bind, Gurgenidze Variation
44.6%
Analyze Sicilian Defense: Classical Variation, Fianchetto Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Sicilian Defense: Classical Variation, Fianchetto Variation win rate?

The Sicilian Defense: Classical Variation, Fianchetto Variation has a 48.0% (90% CI: 47.4%-48.5%) win rate for white, based on 20K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Sicilian Defense: Classical Variation, Fianchetto Variation perform best?

The Sicilian Defense: Classical Variation, Fianchetto Variation performs best at 1400-1599 Elo with a 50.5% win rate for white (922 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Sicilian Defense: Classical Variation, Fianchetto Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (49.5%) outperforms Classical (47.7%) by 1.8%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Sicilian Defense: Classical Variation, Fianchetto Variation?

The Sicilian Defense: Classical Variation, Fianchetto Variation has a sharpness score of 93.8 (decisive), meaning 93.8% of games end decisively. Average game length is 38 moves.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Classical Variation, Fianchetto Variation win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Classical Variation, Fianchetto Variation has a 54.0% (90% CI: 46.8%-61.0%) win rate for white, based on 131 Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 1.9% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Classical Variation, Fianchetto Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Classical Variation, Fianchetto Variation has a 44.7% (90% CI: 40.5%-48.9%) win rate for white, based on 380 Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 3.3% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Classical Variation, Fianchetto Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Classical Variation, Fianchetto Variation has a 50.5% (90% CI: 47.8%-53.2%) win rate for white, based on 922 Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 2.7% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Classical Variation, Fianchetto Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Classical Variation, Fianchetto Variation has a 45.9% (90% CI: 44.0%-47.8%) win rate for white, based on 1.8K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 4.7% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Classical Variation, Fianchetto Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Classical Variation, Fianchetto Variation has a 47.6% (90% CI: 46.2%-49.1%) win rate for white, based on 3.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 4.6% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Classical Variation, Fianchetto Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Classical Variation, Fianchetto Variation has a 48.4% (90% CI: 47.2%-49.6%) win rate for white, based on 4.8K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 5.6% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Classical Variation, Fianchetto Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Classical Variation, Fianchetto Variation has a 47.8% (90% CI: 46.8%-48.8%) win rate for white, based on 6.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 7.8% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Classical Variation, Fianchetto Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Classical Variation, Fianchetto Variation has a 48.7% (90% CI: 46.8%-50.5%) win rate for white, based on 2.0K Lichess games. Average game length is 43 moves with a 9.8% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Classical Variation, Fianchetto Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Sicilian Defense: Classical Variation, Fianchetto Variation has a 49.5% (90% CI: 48.4%-50.6%) win rate for white (5.6K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.4%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Classical Variation, Fianchetto Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Sicilian Defense: Classical Variation, Fianchetto Variation has a 47.4% (90% CI: 46.7%-48.1%) win rate for white (12K Lichess games). Draw rate is 7.0%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Classical Variation, Fianchetto Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Sicilian Defense: Classical Variation, Fianchetto Variation has a 46.6% (90% CI: 44.6%-48.7%) win rate for white (1.6K Lichess games). Draw rate is 7.3%.

Is the Sicilian Defense: Classical Variation, Fianchetto Variation a good opening?

The Sicilian Defense: Classical Variation, Fianchetto Variation is statistically balanced with a 48.0% (90% CI: 47.4%-48.5%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1400-1599 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.