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Sicilian Defense: Bowdler Attack

18M games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
White Expected Score48.9%Range (90% confident): 48.9% – 48.9%Based on 18M games
0%48.9%100%
Range (90% confident): 48.9% – 48.9%
Outcome Distribution
47.2%3.4%49.4%
Win
Draw
Loss
2.Bc4
Sicilian Defense: Bowdler Attack
Analyzen=18M
Avg Length33 moves
Sharpness97%
Draw Rate3.4%

What is the Sicilian Defense: Bowdler Attack expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Sicilian Defense: Bowdler Attack has a 48.9% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 48.9% and 48.9%), based on 18M Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 46% → 51%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 45.9% win rate (612,413 games)
  • 1000-1199: 46.9% win rate (1,408,962 games)
  • 1200-1399: 46.9% win rate (2,825,225 games)
  • 1400-1599: 46.8% win rate (4,224,008 games)
  • 1600-1799: 47.2% win rate (4,562,330 games)
  • 1800-1999: 47.8% win rate (3,234,277 games)
  • 2000-2199: 48.5% win rate (1,108,466 games)
  • 2200-2499: 49.0% win rate (187,325 games)
  • 2500+: 51.4% win rate (13,550 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (49%), worst in Classical (43%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 48.5% win rate (49,656 games)
  • Bullet: 47.8% win rate (4,506,588 games)
  • Blitz: 47.4% win rate (9,847,363 games)
  • Rapid: 46.1% win rate (3,628,262 games)
  • Classical: 43.3% win rate (144,687 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 41.8% expected score (2,274 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 45.7% expected score (167,102 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 47.8% expected score (300,659 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 48.3% expected score (141,164 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 44.4% expected score (1,214 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 48.4% expected score (6,652 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 47.7% expected score (369,241 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 48.7% expected score (750,308 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 48.1% expected score (277,279 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 45.6% expected score (5,482 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 49.4% expected score (15,172 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 48.1% expected score (652,220 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 48.6% expected score (1,569,049 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 48.0% expected score (570,454 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 44.6% expected score (18,330 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 48.0% expected score (14,981 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 48.3% expected score (927,086 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 48.8% expected score (2,331,626 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 47.7% expected score (906,179 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 44.3% expected score (44,136 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 50.8% expected score (7,149 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 49.2% expected score (1,008,496 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 49.4% expected score (2,509,232 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 48.2% expected score (983,779 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 46.4% expected score (53,674 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 52.7% expected score (2,967 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (813,655 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 50.1% expected score (1,786,789 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 48.9% expected score (611,617 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 47.9% expected score (19,249 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 54.0% expected score (424 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 50.4% expected score (426,799 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 51.0% expected score (548,915 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 49.7% expected score (129,784 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 48.3% expected score (2,544 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (37 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 50.6% expected score (129,447 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 52.8% expected score (49,852 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 52.5% expected score (7,933 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 46.5% expected score (56 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 54.0% expected score (12,542 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 58.1% expected score (933 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 56.7% expected score (73 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (2 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Sicilian Defense
48.5%
Variations (5)
Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon
45.7%
Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Exchange Variation
45.8%
Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Maróczy Bind
48.8%
Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Maróczy Bind, Breyer Variation
43.7%
Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Maróczy Bind, Gurgenidze Variation
44.6%
Analyze Sicilian Defense: Bowdler Attack PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Sicilian Defense: Bowdler Attack win rate?

The Sicilian Defense: Bowdler Attack has a 47.2% (90% CI: 47.2%-47.2%) win rate for white, based on 18M rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Sicilian Defense: Bowdler Attack perform best?

The Sicilian Defense: Bowdler Attack performs best at 2500+ Elo with a 51.4% win rate for white (14K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Sicilian Defense: Bowdler Attack better in blitz or rapid?

UltraBullet (48.5%) outperforms Classical (43.3%) by 5.2%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Sicilian Defense: Bowdler Attack?

The Sicilian Defense: Bowdler Attack has a sharpness score of 96.6 (very decisive), meaning 96.6% of games end decisively. Average game length is 33 moves.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Bowdler Attack win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Bowdler Attack has a 45.9% (90% CI: 45.8%-46.0%) win rate for white, based on 612K Lichess games. Average game length is 25 moves with a 2.8% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Bowdler Attack win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Bowdler Attack has a 46.9% (90% CI: 46.8%-47.0%) win rate for white, based on 1.4M Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 2.7% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Bowdler Attack win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Bowdler Attack has a 46.9% (90% CI: 46.9%-47.0%) win rate for white, based on 2.8M Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 2.8% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Bowdler Attack win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Bowdler Attack has a 46.8% (90% CI: 46.8%-46.8%) win rate for white, based on 4.2M Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.2% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Bowdler Attack win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Bowdler Attack has a 47.2% (90% CI: 47.2%-47.2%) win rate for white, based on 4.6M Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 3.6% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Bowdler Attack win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Bowdler Attack has a 47.8% (90% CI: 47.7%-47.8%) win rate for white, based on 3.2M Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 4.1% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Bowdler Attack win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Bowdler Attack has a 48.5% (90% CI: 48.4%-48.6%) win rate for white, based on 1.1M Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 4.3% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Bowdler Attack win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Bowdler Attack has a 49.0% (90% CI: 48.9%-49.2%) win rate for white, based on 187K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 4.4% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Bowdler Attack win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Bowdler Attack has a 51.4% (90% CI: 50.6%-52.1%) win rate for white, based on 14K Lichess games. Average game length is 40 moves with a 5.7% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Bowdler Attack win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the Sicilian Defense: Bowdler Attack has a 48.5% (90% CI: 48.1%-48.8%) win rate for white (50K Lichess games). Draw rate is 0.9%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Bowdler Attack win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Sicilian Defense: Bowdler Attack has a 47.8% (90% CI: 47.8%-47.8%) win rate for white (4.5M Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.2%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Bowdler Attack win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Sicilian Defense: Bowdler Attack has a 47.4% (90% CI: 47.4%-47.4%) win rate for white (9.8M Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.7%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Bowdler Attack win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Sicilian Defense: Bowdler Attack has a 46.1% (90% CI: 46.1%-46.1%) win rate for white (3.6M Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.2%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Bowdler Attack win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Sicilian Defense: Bowdler Attack has a 43.3% (90% CI: 43.1%-43.5%) win rate for white (145K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.7%.

Is the Sicilian Defense: Bowdler Attack a good opening?

The Sicilian Defense: Bowdler Attack is statistically balanced with a 47.2% (90% CI: 47.2%-47.2%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2500+ Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.