What is the Sicilian Defense: Bücker Variation expected score for White?
At all ratings, the Sicilian Defense: Bücker Variation has a 52.5% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 52.2% and 52.8%), based on 80K Lichess games.
80K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026
At all ratings, the Sicilian Defense: Bücker Variation has a 52.5% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 52.2% and 52.8%), based on 80K Lichess games.
Declines with rating: 51% → 35%
Best in UltraBullet (54%), worst in Bullet (50%)
Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.
| Rating | UB | Bulle | Blitz | Rapid | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-999 | — | ||||
| 1000-1199 | |||||
| 1200-1399 | |||||
| 1400-1599 | |||||
| 1600-1799 | |||||
| 1800-1999 | — | ||||
| 2000-2199 | — | ||||
| 2200-2499 | |||||
| 2500+ | — | — |
Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control
The Sicilian Defense: Bücker Variation has a 50.4% (90% CI: 50.2%-50.7%) win rate for white, based on 80K rated games from Lichess.
The Sicilian Defense: Bücker Variation performs best at 1800-1999 Elo with a 52.1% win rate for white (9.1K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.
Rapid (50.7%) outperforms Classical (50.2%) by 0.5%. Choose your time control wisely.
The Sicilian Defense: Bücker Variation has a sharpness score of 96.0 (very decisive), meaning 96.0% of games end decisively. Average game length is 34 moves.
At 0-999 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Bücker Variation has a 50.6% (90% CI: 49.1%-52.2%) win rate for white, based on 3.0K Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 2.7% draw rate.
At 1000-1199 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Bücker Variation has a 50.5% (90% CI: 49.5%-51.5%) win rate for white, based on 7.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 3.0% draw rate.
At 1200-1399 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Bücker Variation has a 50.0% (90% CI: 49.3%-50.7%) win rate for white, based on 14K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.1% draw rate.
At 1400-1599 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Bücker Variation has a 49.7% (90% CI: 49.1%-50.3%) win rate for white, based on 21K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 3.7% draw rate.
At 1600-1799 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Bücker Variation has a 50.7% (90% CI: 50.1%-51.3%) win rate for white, based on 21K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 4.4% draw rate.
At 1800-1999 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Bücker Variation has a 52.1% (90% CI: 51.2%-53.0%) win rate for white, based on 9.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 5.0% draw rate.
At 2000-2199 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Bücker Variation has a 52.0% (90% CI: 50.5%-53.5%) win rate for white, based on 3.0K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 4.9% draw rate.
At 2200-2499 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Bücker Variation has a 51.7% (90% CI: 49.5%-53.9%) win rate for white, based on 1.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 4.8% draw rate.
At 2500+ Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Bücker Variation has a 34.7% (90% CI: 30.8%-38.6%) win rate for white, based on 401 Lichess games. Average game length is 53 moves with a 38.6% draw rate.
In Bullet games, the Sicilian Defense: Bücker Variation has a 50.1% (90% CI: 49.3%-50.9%) win rate for white (10K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.5%.
In Blitz games, the Sicilian Defense: Bücker Variation has a 50.4% (90% CI: 50.0%-50.8%) win rate for white (40K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.9%.
In Rapid games, the Sicilian Defense: Bücker Variation has a 50.7% (90% CI: 50.2%-51.2%) win rate for white (27K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.4%.
In Classical games, the Sicilian Defense: Bücker Variation has a 50.2% (90% CI: 48.2%-52.3%) win rate for white (1.6K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.8%.
The Sicilian Defense: Bücker Variation is statistically favors white with a 50.4% (90% CI: 50.2%-50.7%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1800-1999 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.