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Sicilian Defense: Alapin Variation, Barmen Defense, Milner-Barry Attack

9.3K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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White Expected Score55.7%Range (90% confident): 54.8% – 56.5%Based on 9.3K games
0%55.7%100%
Range (90% confident): 54.8% – 56.5%
Outcome Distribution
52.9%5.5%41.6%
Win
Draw
Loss
8.Be2
Sicilian Defense: Alapin Variation, Barmen Defense, Milner-Barry Attack
Analyzen=9.3K
Avg Length34 moves
Sharpness95%
Draw Rate5.5%

What is the Sicilian Defense: Alapin Variation, Barmen Defense, Milner-Barry Attack expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Sicilian Defense: Alapin Variation, Barmen Defense, Milner-Barry Attack has a 55.7% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 54.8% and 56.5%), based on 9.3K Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 20% → 54%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 20.0% win rate (1 games)
  • 1000-1199: 46.7% win rate (6 games)
  • 1200-1399: 63.6% win rate (15 games)
  • 1400-1599: 42.3% win rate (80 games)
  • 1600-1799: 51.0% win rate (362 games)
  • 1800-1999: 51.6% win rate (1,346 games)
  • 2000-2199: 52.5% win rate (2,724 games)
  • 2200-2499: 53.6% win rate (3,744 games)
  • 2500+: 54.2% win rate (1,023 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Blitz (53%), worst in UltraBullet (29%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 29.4% win rate (7 games)
  • Bullet: 53.0% win rate (5,110 games)
  • Blitz: 53.2% win rate (3,853 games)
  • Rapid: 47.8% win rate (309 games)
  • Classical: 40.4% win rate (22 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999————
1000-1199———
1200-1399———
1400-1599—
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199—
2200-2499
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 38.9% expected score (3 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 60.6% expected score (8 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 67.7% expected score (7 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 42.8% expected score (33 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 47.6% expected score (39 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 26.5% expected score (7 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 56.7% expected score (147 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 52.6% expected score (189 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 29.1% expected score (20 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 31.9% expected score (4 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 56.1% expected score (451 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 53.4% expected score (808 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 38.4% expected score (80 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 56.7% expected score (6 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 52.6% expected score (1,063 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 56.8% expected score (1,549 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 60.4% expected score (105 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 38.3% expected score (7 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 22.8% expected score (4 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 55.3% expected score (2,518 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 59.5% expected score (1,122 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 60.3% expected score (96 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 59.1% expected score (4 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 57.8% expected score (886 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 59.1% expected score (136 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 70.0% expected score (1 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Sicilian Defense
48.5%
Variations (5)
Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon
45.7%
Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Exchange Variation
45.8%
Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Maróczy Bind
48.8%
Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Maróczy Bind, Breyer Variation
43.7%
Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Maróczy Bind, Gurgenidze Variation
44.6%
Analyze Sicilian Defense: Alapin Variation, Barmen Defense, Milner-Barry Attack PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Sicilian Defense: Alapin Variation, Barmen Defense, Milner-Barry Attack win rate?

The Sicilian Defense: Alapin Variation, Barmen Defense, Milner-Barry Attack has a 52.9% (90% CI: 52.0%-53.7%) win rate for white, based on 9.3K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Sicilian Defense: Alapin Variation, Barmen Defense, Milner-Barry Attack perform best?

The Sicilian Defense: Alapin Variation, Barmen Defense, Milner-Barry Attack performs best at 2200-2499 Elo with a 53.6% win rate for white (3.7K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Sicilian Defense: Alapin Variation, Barmen Defense, Milner-Barry Attack better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (53.0%) outperforms Rapid (47.8%) by 5.2%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Sicilian Defense: Alapin Variation, Barmen Defense, Milner-Barry Attack?

The Sicilian Defense: Alapin Variation, Barmen Defense, Milner-Barry Attack has a sharpness score of 94.5 (decisive), meaning 94.5% of games end decisively. Average game length is 34 moves.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Alapin Variation, Barmen Defense, Milner-Barry Attack win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Alapin Variation, Barmen Defense, Milner-Barry Attack has a 51.0% (90% CI: 46.7%-55.3%) win rate for white, based on 362 Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 3.2% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Alapin Variation, Barmen Defense, Milner-Barry Attack win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Alapin Variation, Barmen Defense, Milner-Barry Attack has a 51.6% (90% CI: 49.4%-53.9%) win rate for white, based on 1.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 3.7% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Alapin Variation, Barmen Defense, Milner-Barry Attack win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Alapin Variation, Barmen Defense, Milner-Barry Attack has a 52.5% (90% CI: 50.9%-54.1%) win rate for white, based on 2.7K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 5.3% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Alapin Variation, Barmen Defense, Milner-Barry Attack win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Alapin Variation, Barmen Defense, Milner-Barry Attack has a 53.6% (90% CI: 52.2%-54.9%) win rate for white, based on 3.7K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 6.1% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Alapin Variation, Barmen Defense, Milner-Barry Attack win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Alapin Variation, Barmen Defense, Milner-Barry Attack has a 54.2% (90% CI: 51.7%-56.8%) win rate for white, based on 1.0K Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 7.7% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Alapin Variation, Barmen Defense, Milner-Barry Attack win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Sicilian Defense: Alapin Variation, Barmen Defense, Milner-Barry Attack has a 53.0% (90% CI: 51.9%-54.2%) win rate for white (5.1K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.3%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Alapin Variation, Barmen Defense, Milner-Barry Attack win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Sicilian Defense: Alapin Variation, Barmen Defense, Milner-Barry Attack has a 53.2% (90% CI: 51.8%-54.5%) win rate for white (3.9K Lichess games). Draw rate is 7.0%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Alapin Variation, Barmen Defense, Milner-Barry Attack win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Sicilian Defense: Alapin Variation, Barmen Defense, Milner-Barry Attack has a 47.8% (90% CI: 43.2%-52.5%) win rate for white (309 Lichess games). Draw rate is 7.9%.

Is the Sicilian Defense: Alapin Variation, Barmen Defense, Milner-Barry Attack a good opening?

The Sicilian Defense: Alapin Variation, Barmen Defense, Milner-Barry Attack is statistically favors white with a 52.9% (90% CI: 52.0%-53.7%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2200-2499 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.