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Semi-Slav Defense: Stoltz Variation

60K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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White Expected Score54.1%Range (90% confident): 53.8% – 54.4%Based on 60K games
0%54.1%100%
Range (90% confident): 53.8% – 54.4%
Outcome Distribution
50.0%8.1%41.9%
Win
Draw
Loss
7...Bb7
Semi-Slav Defense: Stoltz Variation
Analyzen=60K
Avg Length39 moves
Sharpness92%
Draw Rate8.1%

What is the Semi-Slav Defense: Stoltz Variation expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Semi-Slav Defense: Stoltz Variation has a 54.1% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 53.8% and 54.4%), based on 60K Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 43% → 48%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 43.3% win rate (32 games)
  • 1000-1199: 55.6% win rate (147 games)
  • 1200-1399: 55.0% win rate (407 games)
  • 1400-1599: 50.1% win rate (1,095 games)
  • 1600-1799: 49.1% win rate (2,780 games)
  • 1800-1999: 49.6% win rate (7,061 games)
  • 2000-2199: 50.3% win rate (15,807 games)
  • 2200-2499: 50.5% win rate (24,701 games)
  • 2500+: 48.3% win rate (7,987 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Bullet (50%), worst in UltraBullet (20%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 20.0% win rate (1 games)
  • Bullet: 50.4% win rate (15,849 games)
  • Blitz: 50.2% win rate (38,299 games)
  • Rapid: 48.2% win rate (5,461 games)
  • Classical: 43.2% win rate (407 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199——
1200-1399—
1400-1599
1600-1799—
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499—
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 41.9% expected score (17 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 50.0% expected score (14 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 55.6% expected score (79 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 54.4% expected score (56 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 64.9% expected score (12 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 55.2% expected score (182 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 54.2% expected score (190 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 64.5% expected score (33 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 52.3% expected score (353 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 51.3% expected score (602 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 55.8% expected score (129 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 41.3% expected score (10 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 50.7% expected score (810 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 51.2% expected score (1,596 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 52.7% expected score (333 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 57.1% expected score (41 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 52.8% expected score (1,500 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 51.4% expected score (4,459 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 55.1% expected score (972 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 51.5% expected score (130 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 52.6% expected score (2,908 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 53.7% expected score (10,825 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 53.6% expected score (1,953 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 47.6% expected score (121 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 54.4% expected score (5,991 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 54.6% expected score (16,903 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 52.4% expected score (1,726 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 56.1% expected score (81 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 55.6% expected score (4,009 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 59.0% expected score (3,654 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 54.8% expected score (302 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 54.3% expected score (22 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Semi-Slav Defense
51.5%
Variations (5)
Semi-Slav Defense: Accelerated Meran Variation
50.4%
Semi-Slav Defense: Accelerated Move Order
50.8%
Semi-Slav Defense: Anti-Moscow Gambit
48.2%
Semi-Slav Defense: Anti-Noteboom, Stonewall Variation, Portisch Gambit
54.1%
Semi-Slav Defense: Bogoljubov Variation
51.5%
Continuations (2)
Semi-Slav Defense: Stoltz Variation, Center Variation
48.8%
Semi-Slav Defense: Stoltz Variation, Shabalov Attack
51.7%
Analyze Semi-Slav Defense: Stoltz Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Semi-Slav Defense: Stoltz Variation win rate?

The Semi-Slav Defense: Stoltz Variation has a 50.0% (90% CI: 49.7%-50.4%) win rate for white, based on 60K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Semi-Slav Defense: Stoltz Variation perform best?

The Semi-Slav Defense: Stoltz Variation performs best at 1200-1399 Elo with a 55.0% win rate for white (407 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Semi-Slav Defense: Stoltz Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Blitz (50.2%) outperforms Classical (43.2%) by 7.0%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Semi-Slav Defense: Stoltz Variation?

The Semi-Slav Defense: Stoltz Variation has a sharpness score of 91.9 (decisive), meaning 91.9% of games end decisively. Average game length is 39 moves.

What is the Semi-Slav Defense: Stoltz Variation win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Semi-Slav Defense: Stoltz Variation has a 55.6% (90% CI: 48.8%-62.2%) win rate for white, based on 147 Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 1.0% draw rate.

What is the Semi-Slav Defense: Stoltz Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Semi-Slav Defense: Stoltz Variation has a 55.0% (90% CI: 50.9%-59.0%) win rate for white, based on 407 Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 1.6% draw rate.

What is the Semi-Slav Defense: Stoltz Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Semi-Slav Defense: Stoltz Variation has a 50.1% (90% CI: 47.6%-52.6%) win rate for white, based on 1.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.9% draw rate.

What is the Semi-Slav Defense: Stoltz Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Semi-Slav Defense: Stoltz Variation has a 49.1% (90% CI: 47.5%-50.6%) win rate for white, based on 2.8K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 4.5% draw rate.

What is the Semi-Slav Defense: Stoltz Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Semi-Slav Defense: Stoltz Variation has a 49.6% (90% CI: 48.6%-50.5%) win rate for white, based on 7.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 5.3% draw rate.

What is the Semi-Slav Defense: Stoltz Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Semi-Slav Defense: Stoltz Variation has a 50.3% (90% CI: 49.6%-50.9%) win rate for white, based on 16K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 6.3% draw rate.

What is the Semi-Slav Defense: Stoltz Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Semi-Slav Defense: Stoltz Variation has a 50.5% (90% CI: 50.0%-51.1%) win rate for white, based on 25K Lichess games. Average game length is 40 moves with a 7.7% draw rate.

What is the Semi-Slav Defense: Stoltz Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Semi-Slav Defense: Stoltz Variation has a 48.3% (90% CI: 47.4%-49.2%) win rate for white, based on 8.0K Lichess games. Average game length is 45 moves with a 17.5% draw rate.

What is the Semi-Slav Defense: Stoltz Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Semi-Slav Defense: Stoltz Variation has a 50.4% (90% CI: 49.7%-51.1%) win rate for white (16K Lichess games). Draw rate is 7.1%.

What is the Semi-Slav Defense: Stoltz Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Semi-Slav Defense: Stoltz Variation has a 50.2% (90% CI: 49.8%-50.6%) win rate for white (38K Lichess games). Draw rate is 8.0%.

What is the Semi-Slav Defense: Stoltz Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Semi-Slav Defense: Stoltz Variation has a 48.2% (90% CI: 47.1%-49.3%) win rate for white (5.5K Lichess games). Draw rate is 10.9%.

What is the Semi-Slav Defense: Stoltz Variation win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Semi-Slav Defense: Stoltz Variation has a 43.2% (90% CI: 39.2%-47.3%) win rate for white (407 Lichess games). Draw rate is 17.5%.

Is the Semi-Slav Defense: Stoltz Variation a good opening?

The Semi-Slav Defense: Stoltz Variation is statistically favors white with a 50.0% (90% CI: 49.7%-50.4%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1200-1399 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.