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Semi-Slav Defense: Meran Variation, Wade Variation, Larsen Variation

2.1K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Tough Sell
Black Expected Score49.2%Range (90% confident): 47.4% – 51.0%Based on 2.1K games
0%49.2%100%
Range (90% confident): 47.4% – 51.0%
Outcome Distribution
42.3%13.8%43.9%
Win
Draw
Loss
11...Nd5
Semi-Slav Defense: Meran Variation, Wade Variation, Larsen Variation
Analyzen=2.1K
Avg Length44 moves
Sharpness86%
Draw Rate13.8%

What is the Semi-Slav Defense: Meran Variation, Wade Variation, Larsen Variation expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Semi-Slav Defense: Meran Variation, Wade Variation, Larsen Variation has a 49.2% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 47.4% and 51.0%), based on 2.1K Lichess games.

Black Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 20% → 32%

1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 1200-1399: 20.0% win rate (1 games)
  • 1400-1599: 55.6% win rate (3 games)
  • 1600-1799: 33.3% win rate (12 games)
  • 1800-1999: 48.5% win rate (80 games)
  • 2000-2199: 48.1% win rate (349 games)
  • 2200-2499: 45.3% win rate (1,131 games)
  • 2500+: 31.6% win rate (550 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Best in Blitz (44%), worst in Classical (29%)

Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • Bullet: 40.5% win rate (506 games)
  • Blitz: 44.1% win rate (1,414 games)
  • Rapid: 34.8% win rate (178 games)
  • Classical: 28.8% win rate (28 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999—————
1000-1199—————
1200-1399————
1400-1599———
1600-1799—
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499—
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 64.3% expected score (2 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 38.9% expected score (3 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 36.7% expected score (6 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 35.7% expected score (16 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 57.1% expected score (55 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (8 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 49.2% expected score (55 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 53.9% expected score (256 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 48.5% expected score (31 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 38.3% expected score (7 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 50.9% expected score (166 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 49.0% expected score (879 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 46.9% expected score (78 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 60.6% expected score (8 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 48.5% expected score (266 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 43.6% expected score (216 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 50.8% expected score (59 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (9 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Semi-Slav Defense
51.5%
Variations (5)
Semi-Slav Defense: Accelerated Move Order
50.8%
Semi-Slav Defense: Main Line
51.8%
Semi-Slav Defense: Marshall Gambit
53.5%
Semi-Slav Defense: Noteboom Variation
49.8%
Semi-Slav Defense: Normal Variation
48.8%
Analyze Semi-Slav Defense: Meran Variation, Wade Variation, Larsen Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Semi-Slav Defense: Meran Variation, Wade Variation, Larsen Variation win rate?

The Semi-Slav Defense: Meran Variation, Wade Variation, Larsen Variation has a 43.9% (90% CI: 42.1%-45.7%) win rate for white, based on 2.1K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Semi-Slav Defense: Meran Variation, Wade Variation, Larsen Variation perform best?

The Semi-Slav Defense: Meran Variation, Wade Variation, Larsen Variation performs best at 2200-2499 Elo with a 46.8% win rate for white (1.1K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Semi-Slav Defense: Meran Variation, Wade Variation, Larsen Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Blitz (45.5%) outperforms Rapid (37.6%) by 7.9%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Semi-Slav Defense: Meran Variation, Wade Variation, Larsen Variation?

The Semi-Slav Defense: Meran Variation, Wade Variation, Larsen Variation has a sharpness score of 86.2 (moderately decisive), meaning 86.2% of games end decisively. Average game length is 44 moves.

What is the Semi-Slav Defense: Meran Variation, Wade Variation, Larsen Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Semi-Slav Defense: Meran Variation, Wade Variation, Larsen Variation has a 43.5% (90% CI: 39.2%-47.9%) win rate for white, based on 349 Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 8.4% draw rate.

What is the Semi-Slav Defense: Meran Variation, Wade Variation, Larsen Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Semi-Slav Defense: Meran Variation, Wade Variation, Larsen Variation has a 46.8% (90% CI: 44.3%-49.2%) win rate for white, based on 1.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 41 moves with a 8.0% draw rate.

What is the Semi-Slav Defense: Meran Variation, Wade Variation, Larsen Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Semi-Slav Defense: Meran Variation, Wade Variation, Larsen Variation has a 38.0% (90% CI: 34.6%-41.4%) win rate for white, based on 550 Lichess games. Average game length is 55 moves with a 30.4% draw rate.

What is the Semi-Slav Defense: Meran Variation, Wade Variation, Larsen Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Semi-Slav Defense: Meran Variation, Wade Variation, Larsen Variation has a 42.9% (90% CI: 39.3%-46.5%) win rate for white (506 Lichess games). Draw rate is 16.7%.

What is the Semi-Slav Defense: Meran Variation, Wade Variation, Larsen Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Semi-Slav Defense: Meran Variation, Wade Variation, Larsen Variation has a 45.5% (90% CI: 43.3%-47.6%) win rate for white (1.4K Lichess games). Draw rate is 10.4%.

What is the Semi-Slav Defense: Meran Variation, Wade Variation, Larsen Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Semi-Slav Defense: Meran Variation, Wade Variation, Larsen Variation has a 37.6% (90% CI: 31.8%-43.6%) win rate for white (178 Lichess games). Draw rate is 27.6%.

Is the Semi-Slav Defense: Meran Variation, Wade Variation, Larsen Variation a good opening?

The Semi-Slav Defense: Meran Variation, Wade Variation, Larsen Variation is statistically balanced with a 43.9% (90% CI: 42.1%-45.7%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2200-2499 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.