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Semi-Slav Defense: Meran Variation

62K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
Black Expected Score49.8%Range (90% confident): 49.5% – 50.2%Based on 62K games
0%49.8%100%
Range (90% confident): 49.5% – 50.2%
Outcome Distribution
46.5%6.6%46.9%
Win
Draw
Loss
9...c5
Semi-Slav Defense: Meran Variation
Analyzen=62K
Avg Length38 moves
Sharpness93%
Draw Rate6.6%

What is the Semi-Slav Defense: Meran Variation expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Semi-Slav Defense: Meran Variation has a 49.8% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 49.5% and 50.2%), based on 62K Lichess games.

Black Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 46% → 37%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 45.8% win rate (76 games)
  • 1000-1199: 42.7% win rate (215 games)
  • 1200-1399: 50.3% win rate (767 games)
  • 1400-1599: 49.1% win rate (2,211 games)
  • 1600-1799: 49.0% win rate (5,699 games)
  • 1800-1999: 48.6% win rate (13,231 games)
  • 2000-2199: 48.0% win rate (18,674 games)
  • 2200-2499: 44.2% win rate (17,293 games)
  • 2500+: 37.4% win rate (4,121 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (60%), worst in Classical (45%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 60.0% win rate (1 games)
  • Bullet: 46.9% win rate (16,698 games)
  • Blitz: 46.4% win rate (38,420 games)
  • Rapid: 46.3% win rate (6,708 games)
  • Classical: 45.2% win rate (460 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199——
1200-1399—
1400-1599
1600-1799—
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499—
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 36.2% expected score (42 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 48.3% expected score (27 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 91.2% expected score (7 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 38.9% expected score (102 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 45.0% expected score (87 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 62.8% expected score (26 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 49.5% expected score (374 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 51.4% expected score (302 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 62.5% expected score (87 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (4 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 50.7% expected score (856 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 50.8% expected score (1,121 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (216 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 71.7% expected score (17 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 51.3% expected score (1,659 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 50.6% expected score (3,368 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 52.3% expected score (604 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 60.8% expected score (68 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 50.7% expected score (3,051 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 51.4% expected score (8,441 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 51.5% expected score (1,576 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 54.6% expected score (163 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 50.4% expected score (3,564 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 51.4% expected score (12,343 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 52.5% expected score (2,627 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 47.9% expected score (140 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 48.7% expected score (4,796 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 48.0% expected score (11,052 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 46.1% expected score (1,391 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 41.0% expected score (54 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 45.1% expected score (2,254 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 41.5% expected score (1,679 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 45.2% expected score (174 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 43.6% expected score (14 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Semi-Slav Defense
51.5%
Variations (5)
Semi-Slav Defense: Accelerated Move Order
50.8%
Semi-Slav Defense: Main Line
51.8%
Semi-Slav Defense: Marshall Gambit
53.5%
Semi-Slav Defense: Noteboom Variation
49.8%
Semi-Slav Defense: Normal Variation
48.8%
Continuations (9)
Semi-Slav Defense: Meran Variation, Wade Variation
46.9%
Semi-Slav Defense: Meran Variation, Lundin Variation
44.1%
Semi-Slav Defense: Meran Variation, Reynolds' Variation
51.1%
Semi-Slav Defense: Meran Variation, Wade Variation, Larsen Variation
43.9%
Semi-Slav Defense: Meran Variation, Old Variation
48.1%
Semi-Slav Defense: Meran Variation, Blumenfeld Variation
51.4%
Semi-Slav Defense: Meran Variation, Sozin Variation
37.7%
Semi-Slav Defense: Meran Variation, Pirc Variation
47.4%
Semi-Slav Defense: Meran Variation, Wade Variation, Kaidanov Gambit
41.5%
Analyze Semi-Slav Defense: Meran Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Semi-Slav Defense: Meran Variation win rate?

The Semi-Slav Defense: Meran Variation has a 46.9% (90% CI: 46.5%-47.2%) win rate for white, based on 62K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Semi-Slav Defense: Meran Variation perform best?

The Semi-Slav Defense: Meran Variation performs best at 2500+ Elo with a 50.2% win rate for white (4.1K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Semi-Slav Defense: Meran Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (48.5%) outperforms Classical (40.8%) by 7.7%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Semi-Slav Defense: Meran Variation?

The Semi-Slav Defense: Meran Variation has a sharpness score of 93.4 (decisive), meaning 93.4% of games end decisively. Average game length is 38 moves.

What is the Semi-Slav Defense: Meran Variation win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Semi-Slav Defense: Meran Variation has a 54.3% (90% CI: 48.7%-59.8%) win rate for white, based on 215 Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 3.0% draw rate.

What is the Semi-Slav Defense: Meran Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Semi-Slav Defense: Meran Variation has a 46.9% (90% CI: 44.0%-49.9%) win rate for white, based on 767 Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 2.8% draw rate.

What is the Semi-Slav Defense: Meran Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Semi-Slav Defense: Meran Variation has a 47.4% (90% CI: 45.7%-49.2%) win rate for white, based on 2.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.5% draw rate.

What is the Semi-Slav Defense: Meran Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Semi-Slav Defense: Meran Variation has a 46.8% (90% CI: 45.7%-47.8%) win rate for white, based on 5.7K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 4.3% draw rate.

What is the Semi-Slav Defense: Meran Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Semi-Slav Defense: Meran Variation has a 46.1% (90% CI: 45.4%-46.9%) win rate for white, based on 13K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 5.2% draw rate.

What is the Semi-Slav Defense: Meran Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Semi-Slav Defense: Meran Variation has a 45.3% (90% CI: 44.7%-45.9%) win rate for white, based on 19K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 6.7% draw rate.

What is the Semi-Slav Defense: Meran Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Semi-Slav Defense: Meran Variation has a 48.2% (90% CI: 47.5%-48.8%) win rate for white, based on 17K Lichess games. Average game length is 40 moves with a 7.7% draw rate.

What is the Semi-Slav Defense: Meran Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Semi-Slav Defense: Meran Variation has a 50.2% (90% CI: 48.9%-51.4%) win rate for white, based on 4.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 46 moves with a 12.5% draw rate.

What is the Semi-Slav Defense: Meran Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Semi-Slav Defense: Meran Variation has a 48.5% (90% CI: 47.8%-49.1%) win rate for white (17K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.6%.

What is the Semi-Slav Defense: Meran Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Semi-Slav Defense: Meran Variation has a 46.6% (90% CI: 46.2%-47.1%) win rate for white (38K Lichess games). Draw rate is 7.0%.

What is the Semi-Slav Defense: Meran Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Semi-Slav Defense: Meran Variation has a 44.6% (90% CI: 43.6%-45.6%) win rate for white (6.7K Lichess games). Draw rate is 9.1%.

What is the Semi-Slav Defense: Meran Variation win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Semi-Slav Defense: Meran Variation has a 40.8% (90% CI: 37.1%-44.6%) win rate for white (460 Lichess games). Draw rate is 14.0%.

Is the Semi-Slav Defense: Meran Variation a good opening?

The Semi-Slav Defense: Meran Variation is statistically balanced with a 46.9% (90% CI: 46.5%-47.2%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2500+ Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.