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Semi-Slav Defense: Meran Variation, Wade Variation

28K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
Black Expected Score49.1%Range (90% confident): 48.6% – 49.6%Based on 28K games
0%49.1%100%
Range (90% confident): 48.6% – 49.6%
Outcome Distribution
45.1%8.0%46.9%
Win
Draw
Loss
8...Bb7
Semi-Slav Defense: Meran Variation, Wade Variation
Analyzen=28K
Avg Length39 moves
Sharpness92%
Draw Rate8.0%

What is the Semi-Slav Defense: Meran Variation, Wade Variation expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Semi-Slav Defense: Meran Variation, Wade Variation has a 49.1% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 48.6% and 49.6%), based on 28K Lichess games.

Black Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 54% → 32%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 53.8% win rate (18 games)
  • 1000-1199: 48.0% win rate (60 games)
  • 1200-1399: 52.1% win rate (197 games)
  • 1400-1599: 48.8% win rate (708 games)
  • 1600-1799: 48.8% win rate (2,099 games)
  • 1800-1999: 47.9% win rate (5,562 games)
  • 2000-2199: 46.7% win rate (8,557 games)
  • 2200-2499: 44.2% win rate (8,226 games)
  • 2500+: 32.2% win rate (2,645 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Best in Blitz (45%), worst in Classical (38%)

Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • Bullet: 44.9% win rate (7,498 games)
  • Blitz: 45.4% win rate (16,826 games)
  • Rapid: 45.0% win rate (3,407 games)
  • Classical: 37.8% win rate (341 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199——
1200-1399——
1400-1599—
1600-1799—
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499—
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 53.0% expected score (15 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 51.3% expected score (37 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 47.2% expected score (16 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (7 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 54.9% expected score (101 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 50.0% expected score (78 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 52.6% expected score (18 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 46.9% expected score (286 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 50.5% expected score (335 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 57.3% expected score (74 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 67.3% expected score (13 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 52.2% expected score (548 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 50.8% expected score (1,263 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 54.2% expected score (250 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 46.2% expected score (38 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 48.2% expected score (1,228 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 50.4% expected score (3,536 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 54.0% expected score (703 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 62.4% expected score (95 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 49.7% expected score (1,611 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 49.6% expected score (5,542 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 52.4% expected score (1,307 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 37.8% expected score (97 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 48.2% expected score (2,336 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 48.0% expected score (5,029 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 44.5% expected score (800 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 38.0% expected score (61 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 46.0% expected score (1,336 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 46.1% expected score (1,026 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 43.6% expected score (246 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 43.5% expected score (37 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Semi-Slav Defense
51.5%
Variations (5)
Semi-Slav Defense: Accelerated Move Order
50.8%
Semi-Slav Defense: Main Line
51.8%
Semi-Slav Defense: Marshall Gambit
53.5%
Semi-Slav Defense: Noteboom Variation
49.8%
Semi-Slav Defense: Normal Variation
48.8%
Continuations (2)
Semi-Slav Defense: Meran Variation, Wade Variation, Larsen Variation
43.9%
Semi-Slav Defense: Meran Variation, Wade Variation, Kaidanov Gambit
41.5%
Analyze Semi-Slav Defense: Meran Variation, Wade Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Semi-Slav Defense: Meran Variation, Wade Variation win rate?

The Semi-Slav Defense: Meran Variation, Wade Variation has a 46.9% (90% CI: 46.4%-47.4%) win rate for white, based on 28K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Semi-Slav Defense: Meran Variation, Wade Variation perform best?

The Semi-Slav Defense: Meran Variation, Wade Variation performs best at 2200-2499 Elo with a 49.0% win rate for white (8.2K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Semi-Slav Defense: Meran Variation, Wade Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (48.0%) outperforms Classical (43.1%) by 4.9%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Semi-Slav Defense: Meran Variation, Wade Variation?

The Semi-Slav Defense: Meran Variation, Wade Variation has a sharpness score of 92.0 (decisive), meaning 92.0% of games end decisively. Average game length is 39 moves.

What is the Semi-Slav Defense: Meran Variation, Wade Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Semi-Slav Defense: Meran Variation, Wade Variation has a 46.6% (90% CI: 40.8%-52.4%) win rate for white, based on 197 Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 1.3% draw rate.

What is the Semi-Slav Defense: Meran Variation, Wade Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Semi-Slav Defense: Meran Variation, Wade Variation has a 48.7% (90% CI: 45.6%-51.8%) win rate for white, based on 708 Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 2.5% draw rate.

What is the Semi-Slav Defense: Meran Variation, Wade Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Semi-Slav Defense: Meran Variation, Wade Variation has a 45.9% (90% CI: 44.1%-47.7%) win rate for white, based on 2.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 5.3% draw rate.

What is the Semi-Slav Defense: Meran Variation, Wade Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Semi-Slav Defense: Meran Variation, Wade Variation has a 46.8% (90% CI: 45.7%-47.9%) win rate for white, based on 5.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 5.3% draw rate.

What is the Semi-Slav Defense: Meran Variation, Wade Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Semi-Slav Defense: Meran Variation, Wade Variation has a 47.0% (90% CI: 46.1%-47.9%) win rate for white, based on 8.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 6.3% draw rate.

What is the Semi-Slav Defense: Meran Variation, Wade Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Semi-Slav Defense: Meran Variation, Wade Variation has a 49.0% (90% CI: 48.0%-49.9%) win rate for white, based on 8.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 40 moves with a 6.8% draw rate.

What is the Semi-Slav Defense: Meran Variation, Wade Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Semi-Slav Defense: Meran Variation, Wade Variation has a 40.7% (90% CI: 39.1%-42.3%) win rate for white, based on 2.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 54 moves with a 27.1% draw rate.

What is the Semi-Slav Defense: Meran Variation, Wade Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Semi-Slav Defense: Meran Variation, Wade Variation has a 48.0% (90% CI: 47.0%-48.9%) win rate for white (7.5K Lichess games). Draw rate is 7.1%.

What is the Semi-Slav Defense: Meran Variation, Wade Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Semi-Slav Defense: Meran Variation, Wade Variation has a 47.0% (90% CI: 46.4%-47.7%) win rate for white (17K Lichess games). Draw rate is 7.6%.

What is the Semi-Slav Defense: Meran Variation, Wade Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Semi-Slav Defense: Meran Variation, Wade Variation has a 44.1% (90% CI: 42.7%-45.5%) win rate for white (3.4K Lichess games). Draw rate is 10.9%.

What is the Semi-Slav Defense: Meran Variation, Wade Variation win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Semi-Slav Defense: Meran Variation, Wade Variation has a 43.1% (90% CI: 38.7%-47.5%) win rate for white (341 Lichess games). Draw rate is 19.1%.

Is the Semi-Slav Defense: Meran Variation, Wade Variation a good opening?

The Semi-Slav Defense: Meran Variation, Wade Variation is statistically balanced with a 46.9% (90% CI: 46.4%-47.4%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2200-2499 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.