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Semi-Slav Defense: Botvinnik Variation, Ekstrom Variation

3.8K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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White Expected Score62.3%Range (90% confident): 61.0% – 63.6%Based on 3.8K games
0%62.3%100%
Range (90% confident): 61.0% – 63.6%
Outcome Distribution
59.9%4.8%35.3%
Win
Draw
Loss
10.Ne5
Semi-Slav Defense: Botvinnik Variation, Ekstrom Variation
Analyzen=3.8K
Avg Length32 moves
Sharpness95%
Draw Rate4.8%

What is the Semi-Slav Defense: Botvinnik Variation, Ekstrom Variation expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Semi-Slav Defense: Botvinnik Variation, Ekstrom Variation has a 62.3% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 61.0% and 63.6%), based on 3.8K Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 60% → 63%

1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 1000-1199: 60.0% win rate (1 games)
  • 1200-1399: 42.9% win rate (2 games)
  • 1400-1599: 55.6% win rate (3 games)
  • 1600-1799: 44.3% win rate (38 games)
  • 1800-1999: 55.7% win rate (109 games)
  • 2000-2199: 58.9% win rate (673 games)
  • 2200-2499: 59.9% win rate (2,343 games)
  • 2500+: 62.7% win rate (609 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Classical (64%), worst in Rapid (47%)

Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • Bullet: 61.7% win rate (1,132 games)
  • Blitz: 59.6% win rate (2,545 games)
  • Rapid: 47.2% win rate (97 games)
  • Classical: 63.6% win rate (4 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999—————
1000-1199————
1200-1399———
1400-1599———
1600-1799——
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499—
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 64.3% expected score (2 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 34.2% expected score (8 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 55.3% expected score (27 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 38.9% expected score (3 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (21 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 58.8% expected score (78 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 54.8% expected score (9 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 55.9% expected score (110 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 62.8% expected score (538 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 42.2% expected score (24 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 64.3% expected score (627 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 61.9% expected score (1,657 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 56.0% expected score (57 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 66.3% expected score (364 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 63.4% expected score (242 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 61.2% expected score (3 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Semi-Slav Defense
51.5%
Variations (5)
Semi-Slav Defense: Accelerated Meran Variation
50.4%
Semi-Slav Defense: Accelerated Move Order
50.8%
Semi-Slav Defense: Anti-Moscow Gambit
48.2%
Semi-Slav Defense: Anti-Noteboom, Stonewall Variation, Portisch Gambit
54.1%
Semi-Slav Defense: Bogoljubov Variation
51.5%
Analyze Semi-Slav Defense: Botvinnik Variation, Ekstrom Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Semi-Slav Defense: Botvinnik Variation, Ekstrom Variation win rate?

The Semi-Slav Defense: Botvinnik Variation, Ekstrom Variation has a 59.9% (90% CI: 58.6%-61.2%) win rate for white, based on 3.8K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Semi-Slav Defense: Botvinnik Variation, Ekstrom Variation perform best?

The Semi-Slav Defense: Botvinnik Variation, Ekstrom Variation performs best at 2500+ Elo with a 62.7% win rate for white (609 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Semi-Slav Defense: Botvinnik Variation, Ekstrom Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (61.7%) outperforms Rapid (47.2%) by 14.5%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Semi-Slav Defense: Botvinnik Variation, Ekstrom Variation?

The Semi-Slav Defense: Botvinnik Variation, Ekstrom Variation has a sharpness score of 95.2 (very decisive), meaning 95.2% of games end decisively. Average game length is 32 moves.

What is the Semi-Slav Defense: Botvinnik Variation, Ekstrom Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Semi-Slav Defense: Botvinnik Variation, Ekstrom Variation has a 55.7% (90% CI: 47.9%-63.3%) win rate for white, based on 109 Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 3.2% draw rate.

What is the Semi-Slav Defense: Botvinnik Variation, Ekstrom Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Semi-Slav Defense: Botvinnik Variation, Ekstrom Variation has a 58.9% (90% CI: 55.8%-62.0%) win rate for white, based on 673 Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 4.1% draw rate.

What is the Semi-Slav Defense: Botvinnik Variation, Ekstrom Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Semi-Slav Defense: Botvinnik Variation, Ekstrom Variation has a 59.9% (90% CI: 58.2%-61.5%) win rate for white, based on 2.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 5.0% draw rate.

What is the Semi-Slav Defense: Botvinnik Variation, Ekstrom Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Semi-Slav Defense: Botvinnik Variation, Ekstrom Variation has a 62.7% (90% CI: 59.4%-65.8%) win rate for white, based on 609 Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 5.0% draw rate.

What is the Semi-Slav Defense: Botvinnik Variation, Ekstrom Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Semi-Slav Defense: Botvinnik Variation, Ekstrom Variation has a 61.7% (90% CI: 59.3%-64.1%) win rate for white (1.1K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.8%.

What is the Semi-Slav Defense: Botvinnik Variation, Ekstrom Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Semi-Slav Defense: Botvinnik Variation, Ekstrom Variation has a 59.6% (90% CI: 57.9%-61.1%) win rate for white (2.5K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.1%.

Is the Semi-Slav Defense: Botvinnik Variation, Ekstrom Variation a good opening?

The Semi-Slav Defense: Botvinnik Variation, Ekstrom Variation is statistically favors white with a 59.9% (90% CI: 58.6%-61.2%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2500+ Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.