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Semi-Slav Defense: Botvinnik Variation, Alatortsev System

2.5K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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Black Expected Score54.1%Range (90% confident): 52.5% – 55.7%Based on 2.5K games
0%54.1%100%
Range (90% confident): 52.5% – 55.7%
Outcome Distribution
52.4%3.4%44.2%
Win
Draw
Loss
9...Nd5
Semi-Slav Defense: Botvinnik Variation, Alatortsev System
Analyzen=2.5K
Avg Length33 moves
Sharpness97%
Draw Rate3.4%

What is the Semi-Slav Defense: Botvinnik Variation, Alatortsev System expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Semi-Slav Defense: Botvinnik Variation, Alatortsev System has a 54.1% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 52.5% and 55.7%), based on 2.5K Lichess games.

Black Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 78% → 46%

1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 1000-1199: 77.8% win rate (3 games)
  • 1200-1399: 46.7% win rate (6 games)
  • 1400-1599: 43.3% win rate (32 games)
  • 1600-1799: 45.4% win rate (123 games)
  • 1800-1999: 51.7% win rate (332 games)
  • 2000-2199: 54.1% win rate (843 games)
  • 2200-2499: 53.0% win rate (1,038 games)
  • 2500+: 45.9% win rate (126 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Best in Blitz (54%), worst in Classical (27%)

Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • Bullet: 49.4% win rate (762 games)
  • Blitz: 54.2% win rate (1,642 games)
  • Rapid: 46.1% win rate (95 games)
  • Classical: 27.3% win rate (4 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999—————
1000-1199——
1200-1399———
1400-1599——
1600-1799—
1800-1999—
2000-2199——
2200-2499——
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 38.9% expected score (3 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 39.5% expected score (8 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 43.3% expected score (21 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 45.9% expected score (59 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 51.9% expected score (53 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 35.7% expected score (9 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 35.7% expected score (2 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 49.3% expected score (138 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 56.5% expected score (176 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 41.4% expected score (16 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 50.7% expected score (220 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 57.8% expected score (598 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 44.4% expected score (25 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 53.4% expected score (277 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 55.4% expected score (721 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 57.3% expected score (40 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 47.4% expected score (56 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 51.4% expected score (69 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 30.0% expected score (1 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Semi-Slav Defense
51.5%
Variations (5)
Semi-Slav Defense: Accelerated Move Order
50.8%
Semi-Slav Defense: Main Line
51.8%
Semi-Slav Defense: Marshall Gambit
53.5%
Semi-Slav Defense: Noteboom Variation
49.8%
Semi-Slav Defense: Normal Variation
48.8%
Analyze Semi-Slav Defense: Botvinnik Variation, Alatortsev System PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Semi-Slav Defense: Botvinnik Variation, Alatortsev System win rate?

The Semi-Slav Defense: Botvinnik Variation, Alatortsev System has a 44.2% (90% CI: 42.6%-45.9%) win rate for white, based on 2.5K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Semi-Slav Defense: Botvinnik Variation, Alatortsev System perform best?

The Semi-Slav Defense: Botvinnik Variation, Alatortsev System performs best at 1600-1799 Elo with a 51.0% win rate for white (123 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Semi-Slav Defense: Botvinnik Variation, Alatortsev System better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (47.9%) outperforms Rapid (48.2%) by -0.3%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Semi-Slav Defense: Botvinnik Variation, Alatortsev System?

The Semi-Slav Defense: Botvinnik Variation, Alatortsev System has a sharpness score of 96.6 (very decisive), meaning 96.6% of games end decisively. Average game length is 33 moves.

What is the Semi-Slav Defense: Botvinnik Variation, Alatortsev System win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Semi-Slav Defense: Botvinnik Variation, Alatortsev System has a 51.0% (90% CI: 43.7%-58.3%) win rate for white, based on 123 Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 3.6% draw rate.

What is the Semi-Slav Defense: Botvinnik Variation, Alatortsev System win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Semi-Slav Defense: Botvinnik Variation, Alatortsev System has a 46.3% (90% CI: 41.9%-50.8%) win rate for white, based on 332 Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 1.9% draw rate.

What is the Semi-Slav Defense: Botvinnik Variation, Alatortsev System win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Semi-Slav Defense: Botvinnik Variation, Alatortsev System has a 42.9% (90% CI: 40.1%-45.7%) win rate for white, based on 843 Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.0% draw rate.

What is the Semi-Slav Defense: Botvinnik Variation, Alatortsev System win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Semi-Slav Defense: Botvinnik Variation, Alatortsev System has a 43.0% (90% CI: 40.5%-45.6%) win rate for white, based on 1.0K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 4.0% draw rate.

What is the Semi-Slav Defense: Botvinnik Variation, Alatortsev System win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Semi-Slav Defense: Botvinnik Variation, Alatortsev System has a 47.5% (90% CI: 40.2%-54.7%) win rate for white, based on 126 Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 6.7% draw rate.

What is the Semi-Slav Defense: Botvinnik Variation, Alatortsev System win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Semi-Slav Defense: Botvinnik Variation, Alatortsev System has a 47.9% (90% CI: 44.9%-50.8%) win rate for white (762 Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.7%.

What is the Semi-Slav Defense: Botvinnik Variation, Alatortsev System win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Semi-Slav Defense: Botvinnik Variation, Alatortsev System has a 42.3% (90% CI: 40.3%-44.3%) win rate for white (1.6K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.6%.

Is the Semi-Slav Defense: Botvinnik Variation, Alatortsev System a good opening?

The Semi-Slav Defense: Botvinnik Variation, Alatortsev System is slightly favors black with a 44.2% (90% CI: 42.6%-45.9%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1600-1799 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.