What is the Scotch Game: Sea-Cadet Mate expected score for White?
Snapshot
At all ratings, the Scotch Game: Sea-Cadet Mate has a 100.0% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 99.9% and 100.0%), based on 1.5K Lichess games.
Scotch Game: Sea-Cadet Mate
1.5K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026
View As
Play ThisWhite Expected Score100.0%Range (90% confident): 99.9% – 100.0%Based on 1.5K games
0%100.0%100%
Range (90% confident): 99.9% – 100.0%
Outcome Distribution
99.9%0.0%0.0%
Win
Draw
Loss
10.Nd5#
Scotch Game: Sea-Cadet Mate
Analyzen=1.5K
Avg Length10 moves
Sharpness100%
Draw Rate0.0%
White Win% by Rating
Stable across ratings (~71%)
0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+
- 0-999: 71.4% win rate (2 games)
- 1000-1199: 96.4% win rate (26 games)
- 1200-1399: 99.0% win rate (94 games)
- 1400-1599: 99.6% win rate (258 games)
- 1600-1799: 99.8% win rate (435 games)
- 1800-1999: 99.8% win rate (455 games)
- 2000-2199: 99.4% win rate (160 games)
- 2200-2499: 96.2% win rate (25 games)
- 2500+: 71.4% win rate (2 games)
White Win% by Time Control
Best in Blitz (100%), worst in Classical (90%)
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical
- Bullet: 99.7% win rate (374 games)
- Blitz: 99.9% win rate (825 games)
- Rapid: 99.6% win rate (250 games)
- Classical: 89.5% win rate (8 games)
White% by Rating × Time Control
Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.
| Rating | UB | Bulle | Blitz | Rapid | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-999 | — | — | — | ||
| 1000-1199 | — | — | |||
| 1200-1399 | — | — | |||
| 1400-1599 | — | ||||
| 1600-1799 | — | ||||
| 1800-1999 | — | ||||
| 2000-2199 | — | — | |||
| 2200-2499 | — | — | |||
| 2500+ | — | — | — | — |
Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control
- 0-999 rating, Bullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
- 0-999 rating, Blitz: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 96.4% expected score (19 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 90.0% expected score (6 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 98.0% expected score (35 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 98.7% expected score (54 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 88.5% expected score (5 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 98.8% expected score (59 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 99.6% expected score (165 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 97.8% expected score (32 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 99.1% expected score (85 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 99.7% expected score (262 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 99.1% expected score (85 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 83.4% expected score (3 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 99.3% expected score (109 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 99.7% expected score (245 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 99.3% expected score (98 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 83.4% expected score (3 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 98.4% expected score (45 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 99.2% expected score (87 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 97.5% expected score (28 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 96.4% expected score (19 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 88.5% expected score (5 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
- 2500+ rating, Bullet: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
Related Openings
Parent
Scotch Game52.9%
Analyze Scotch Game: Sea-Cadet Mate PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Scotch Game: Sea-Cadet Mate win rate?
The Scotch Game: Sea-Cadet Mate has a 99.9% (90% CI: 99.8%-100.0%) win rate for white, based on 1.5K rated games from Lichess.
At what rating does the Scotch Game: Sea-Cadet Mate perform best?
The Scotch Game: Sea-Cadet Mate performs best at 1600-1799 Elo with a 99.8% win rate for white (435 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.
Is the Scotch Game: Sea-Cadet Mate better in blitz or rapid?
Blitz (99.9%) outperforms Rapid (99.6%) by 0.3%. Choose your time control wisely.
How sharp is the Scotch Game: Sea-Cadet Mate?
The Scotch Game: Sea-Cadet Mate has a sharpness score of 100.0 (very decisive), meaning 100.0% of games end decisively. Average game length is 10 moves.
What is the Scotch Game: Sea-Cadet Mate win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?
At 1400-1599 Elo, the Scotch Game: Sea-Cadet Mate has a 99.6% (90% CI: 98.8%-100.0%) win rate for white, based on 258 Lichess games. Average game length is 10 moves with a 0.2% draw rate.
What is the Scotch Game: Sea-Cadet Mate win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?
At 1600-1799 Elo, the Scotch Game: Sea-Cadet Mate has a 99.8% (90% CI: 99.3%-100.0%) win rate for white, based on 435 Lichess games. Average game length is 10 moves with a 0.1% draw rate.
What is the Scotch Game: Sea-Cadet Mate win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?
At 1800-1999 Elo, the Scotch Game: Sea-Cadet Mate has a 99.8% (90% CI: 99.3%-100.0%) win rate for white, based on 455 Lichess games. Average game length is 10 moves with a 0.1% draw rate.
What is the Scotch Game: Sea-Cadet Mate win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?
At 2000-2199 Elo, the Scotch Game: Sea-Cadet Mate has a 99.4% (90% CI: 98.2%-100.0%) win rate for white, based on 160 Lichess games. Average game length is 10 moves with a 0.3% draw rate.
What is the Scotch Game: Sea-Cadet Mate win rate in Bullet?
In Bullet games, the Scotch Game: Sea-Cadet Mate has a 99.7% (90% CI: 99.2%-100.0%) win rate for white (374 Lichess games). Draw rate is 0.1%.
What is the Scotch Game: Sea-Cadet Mate win rate in Blitz?
In Blitz games, the Scotch Game: Sea-Cadet Mate has a 99.9% (90% CI: 99.6%-100.0%) win rate for white (825 Lichess games). Draw rate is 0.1%.
What is the Scotch Game: Sea-Cadet Mate win rate in Rapid?
In Rapid games, the Scotch Game: Sea-Cadet Mate has a 99.6% (90% CI: 98.8%-100.0%) win rate for white (250 Lichess games). Draw rate is 0.2%.
Is the Scotch Game: Sea-Cadet Mate a good opening?
The Scotch Game: Sea-Cadet Mate is statistically favors white with a 99.9% (90% CI: 99.8%-100.0%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1600-1799 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.