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Scotch Game: Relfsson Gambit

145K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
White Expected Score50.6%Range (90% confident): 50.4% – 50.8%Based on 145K games
0%50.6%100%
Range (90% confident): 50.4% – 50.8%
Outcome Distribution
48.8%3.6%47.6%
Win
Draw
Loss
4.Bb5
Scotch Game: Relfsson Gambit
Analyzen=145K
Avg Length32 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate3.6%

What is the Scotch Game: Relfsson Gambit expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Scotch Game: Relfsson Gambit has a 50.6% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 50.4% and 50.8%), based on 145K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointWhite

Peak: +8.1% · Breakpoint: 0-999

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 46% → 51%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 46.2% win rate (6,778 games)
  • 1000-1199: 48.2% win rate (15,042 games)
  • 1200-1399: 49.3% win rate (25,254 games)
  • 1400-1599: 48.1% win rate (31,075 games)
  • 1600-1799: 48.6% win rate (28,744 games)
  • 1800-1999: 48.7% win rate (19,594 games)
  • 2000-2199: 50.5% win rate (11,050 games)
  • 2200-2499: 52.9% win rate (6,796 games)
  • 2500+: 51.2% win rate (661 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (54%), worst in Rapid (47%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 54.1% win rate (127 games)
  • Bullet: 50.2% win rate (47,548 games)
  • Blitz: 48.6% win rate (74,994 games)
  • Rapid: 46.6% win rate (21,426 games)
  • Classical: 47.3% win rate (899 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 45.3% expected score (9 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 50.5% expected score (2,071 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 47.8% expected score (3,200 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 44.5% expected score (1,482 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 35.7% expected score (16 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 67.3% expected score (13 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 49.6% expected score (4,719 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 50.7% expected score (7,838 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 47.2% expected score (2,438 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 57.1% expected score (34 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (26 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 50.8% expected score (7,228 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 51.0% expected score (13,452 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 51.2% expected score (4,437 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 48.3% expected score (111 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 44.4% expected score (25 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 51.0% expected score (8,045 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 50.1% expected score (17,163 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 47.3% expected score (5,603 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 42.5% expected score (239 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 53.4% expected score (28 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 52.2% expected score (8,293 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 50.0% expected score (15,756 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 49.2% expected score (4,466 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 48.3% expected score (201 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 64.3% expected score (9 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 51.3% expected score (6,583 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 50.4% expected score (10,663 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (2,262 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 52.6% expected score (77 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 54.0% expected score (11 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 51.3% expected score (4,872 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 53.4% expected score (5,314 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 52.8% expected score (634 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 62.3% expected score (219 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 88.5% expected score (5 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 55.1% expected score (5,235 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 55.0% expected score (1,453 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 54.4% expected score (101 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 2500+ rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 55.1% expected score (502 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 54.5% expected score (155 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 38.9% expected score (3 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Scotch Game
52.9%
Variations (5)
Scotch Game: Alekhine Gambit
43.5%
Scotch Game: Benima Defense
52.7%
Scotch Game: Blumenfeld Attack
64.2%
Scotch Game: Braune Variation
49.0%
Scotch Game: Classical Variation
50.6%
Analyze Scotch Game: Relfsson Gambit PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Scotch Game: Relfsson Gambit win rate?

The Scotch Game: Relfsson Gambit has a 48.8% (90% CI: 48.6%-49.0%) win rate for white, based on 145K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Scotch Game: Relfsson Gambit perform best?

The Scotch Game: Relfsson Gambit performs best at 2200-2499 Elo with a 52.9% win rate for white (6.8K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Scotch Game: Relfsson Gambit better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (50.2%) outperforms Classical (47.3%) by 2.9%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Scotch Game: Relfsson Gambit?

The Scotch Game: Relfsson Gambit has a sharpness score of 96.4 (very decisive), meaning 96.4% of games end decisively. Average game length is 32 moves.

What is the Scotch Game: Relfsson Gambit win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Scotch Game: Relfsson Gambit has a 46.2% (90% CI: 45.2%-47.2%) win rate for white, based on 6.8K Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 3.3% draw rate.

What is the Scotch Game: Relfsson Gambit win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Scotch Game: Relfsson Gambit has a 48.2% (90% CI: 47.5%-48.9%) win rate for white, based on 15K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 3.1% draw rate.

What is the Scotch Game: Relfsson Gambit win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Scotch Game: Relfsson Gambit has a 49.3% (90% CI: 48.8%-49.8%) win rate for white, based on 25K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 3.3% draw rate.

What is the Scotch Game: Relfsson Gambit win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Scotch Game: Relfsson Gambit has a 48.1% (90% CI: 47.6%-48.6%) win rate for white, based on 31K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 3.4% draw rate.

What is the Scotch Game: Relfsson Gambit win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Scotch Game: Relfsson Gambit has a 48.6% (90% CI: 48.1%-49.1%) win rate for white, based on 29K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.7% draw rate.

What is the Scotch Game: Relfsson Gambit win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Scotch Game: Relfsson Gambit has a 48.7% (90% CI: 48.1%-49.2%) win rate for white, based on 20K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 3.9% draw rate.

What is the Scotch Game: Relfsson Gambit win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Scotch Game: Relfsson Gambit has a 50.5% (90% CI: 49.7%-51.2%) win rate for white, based on 11K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 4.3% draw rate.

What is the Scotch Game: Relfsson Gambit win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Scotch Game: Relfsson Gambit has a 52.9% (90% CI: 51.9%-53.8%) win rate for white, based on 6.8K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 4.4% draw rate.

What is the Scotch Game: Relfsson Gambit win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Scotch Game: Relfsson Gambit has a 51.2% (90% CI: 48.1%-54.4%) win rate for white, based on 661 Lichess games. Average game length is 41 moves with a 7.0% draw rate.

What is the Scotch Game: Relfsson Gambit win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the Scotch Game: Relfsson Gambit has a 54.1% (90% CI: 46.8%-61.3%) win rate for white (127 Lichess games). Draw rate is 0.4%.

What is the Scotch Game: Relfsson Gambit win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Scotch Game: Relfsson Gambit has a 50.2% (90% CI: 49.9%-50.6%) win rate for white (48K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.6%.

What is the Scotch Game: Relfsson Gambit win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Scotch Game: Relfsson Gambit has a 48.6% (90% CI: 48.3%-48.9%) win rate for white (75K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.0%.

What is the Scotch Game: Relfsson Gambit win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Scotch Game: Relfsson Gambit has a 46.6% (90% CI: 46.0%-47.1%) win rate for white (21K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.4%.

What is the Scotch Game: Relfsson Gambit win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Scotch Game: Relfsson Gambit has a 47.3% (90% CI: 44.5%-50.0%) win rate for white (899 Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.7%.

Is the Scotch Game: Relfsson Gambit a good opening?

The Scotch Game: Relfsson Gambit is statistically balanced with a 48.8% (90% CI: 48.6%-49.0%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2200-2499 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.