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Scotch Game: Lolli Variation

8.4M games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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White Expected Score56.1%Range (90% confident): 56.0% – 56.1%Based on 8.4M games
0%56.1%100%
Range (90% confident): 56.0% – 56.1%
Outcome Distribution
53.8%4.5%41.7%
Win
Draw
Loss
5.Qxd4
Scotch Game: Lolli Variation
Analyzen=8.4M
Avg Length33 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate4.5%

What is the Scotch Game: Lolli Variation expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Scotch Game: Lolli Variation has a 56.1% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 56.0% and 56.1%), based on 8.4M Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Stable across ratings (~53%)

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 52.6% win rate (476,125 games)
  • 1000-1199: 53.9% win rate (1,144,315 games)
  • 1200-1399: 53.9% win rate (1,825,819 games)
  • 1400-1599: 53.9% win rate (2,136,447 games)
  • 1600-1799: 53.8% win rate (1,718,421 games)
  • 1800-1999: 53.6% win rate (854,400 games)
  • 2000-2199: 54.1% win rate (225,951 games)
  • 2200-2499: 54.1% win rate (42,643 games)
  • 2500+: 54.0% win rate (2,919 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (57%), worst in Bullet (53%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 57.3% win rate (4,037 games)
  • Bullet: 53.2% win rate (2,240,294 games)
  • Blitz: 53.8% win rate (4,423,847 games)
  • Rapid: 54.4% win rate (1,707,558 games)
  • Classical: 55.4% win rate (51,304 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 53.4% expected score (281 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 53.9% expected score (146,797 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 54.4% expected score (236,345 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 55.8% expected score (92,142 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 54.0% expected score (560 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 60.5% expected score (683 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 55.5% expected score (328,375 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 55.9% expected score (596,423 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 56.4% expected score (216,040 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 55.7% expected score (2,794 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 65.0% expected score (888 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 55.2% expected score (455,996 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 56.1% expected score (981,523 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 56.7% expected score (379,088 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 57.7% expected score (8,324 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 56.9% expected score (1,042 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 55.0% expected score (500,588 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 56.3% expected score (1,161,008 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 56.8% expected score (455,454 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 56.5% expected score (18,355 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 53.5% expected score (620 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 54.5% expected score (408,901 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 56.5% expected score (931,128 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 57.6% expected score (362,491 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 59.8% expected score (15,281 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 51.3% expected score (320 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 54.3% expected score (258,560 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 56.9% expected score (423,158 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 58.4% expected score (166,970 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 62.9% expected score (5,392 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 53.0% expected score (149 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 54.4% expected score (106,191 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 58.8% expected score (86,167 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 60.9% expected score (32,890 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 63.4% expected score (554 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 63.4% expected score (51 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 55.8% expected score (32,258 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 60.9% expected score (7,832 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 65.0% expected score (2,458 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 69.8% expected score (44 games)
  • 2500+ rating, UltraBullet: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 57.6% expected score (2,628 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 60.8% expected score (263 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 51.9% expected score (25 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Scotch Game
52.9%
Variations (5)
Scotch Game: Alekhine Gambit
43.5%
Scotch Game: Benima Defense
52.7%
Scotch Game: Blumenfeld Attack
64.2%
Scotch Game: Braune Variation
49.0%
Scotch Game: Classical Variation
50.6%
Analyze Scotch Game: Lolli Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Scotch Game: Lolli Variation win rate?

The Scotch Game: Lolli Variation has a 53.8% (90% CI: 53.7%-53.8%) win rate for white, based on 8.4M rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Scotch Game: Lolli Variation perform best?

The Scotch Game: Lolli Variation performs best at 1000-1199 Elo with a 53.9% win rate for white (1.1M games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Scotch Game: Lolli Variation better in blitz or rapid?

UltraBullet (57.3%) outperforms Bullet (53.2%) by 4.1%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Scotch Game: Lolli Variation?

The Scotch Game: Lolli Variation has a sharpness score of 95.5 (very decisive), meaning 95.5% of games end decisively. Average game length is 33 moves.

What is the Scotch Game: Lolli Variation win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Scotch Game: Lolli Variation has a 52.6% (90% CI: 52.5%-52.7%) win rate for white, based on 476K Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 3.8% draw rate.

What is the Scotch Game: Lolli Variation win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Scotch Game: Lolli Variation has a 53.9% (90% CI: 53.9%-54.0%) win rate for white, based on 1.1M Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 3.8% draw rate.

What is the Scotch Game: Lolli Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Scotch Game: Lolli Variation has a 53.9% (90% CI: 53.9%-54.0%) win rate for white, based on 1.8M Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 4.1% draw rate.

What is the Scotch Game: Lolli Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Scotch Game: Lolli Variation has a 53.9% (90% CI: 53.8%-53.9%) win rate for white, based on 2.1M Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 4.4% draw rate.

What is the Scotch Game: Lolli Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Scotch Game: Lolli Variation has a 53.8% (90% CI: 53.7%-53.8%) win rate for white, based on 1.7M Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 5.1% draw rate.

What is the Scotch Game: Lolli Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Scotch Game: Lolli Variation has a 53.6% (90% CI: 53.5%-53.7%) win rate for white, based on 854K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 5.7% draw rate.

What is the Scotch Game: Lolli Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Scotch Game: Lolli Variation has a 54.1% (90% CI: 53.9%-54.3%) win rate for white, based on 226K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 5.9% draw rate.

What is the Scotch Game: Lolli Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Scotch Game: Lolli Variation has a 54.1% (90% CI: 53.7%-54.5%) win rate for white, based on 43K Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 6.3% draw rate.

What is the Scotch Game: Lolli Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Scotch Game: Lolli Variation has a 54.0% (90% CI: 52.5%-55.5%) win rate for white, based on 2.9K Lichess games. Average game length is 42 moves with a 7.6% draw rate.

What is the Scotch Game: Lolli Variation win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the Scotch Game: Lolli Variation has a 57.3% (90% CI: 56.0%-58.6%) win rate for white (4.0K Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.4%.

What is the Scotch Game: Lolli Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Scotch Game: Lolli Variation has a 53.2% (90% CI: 53.2%-53.3%) win rate for white (2.2M Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.2%.

What is the Scotch Game: Lolli Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Scotch Game: Lolli Variation has a 53.8% (90% CI: 53.7%-53.8%) win rate for white (4.4M Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.9%.

What is the Scotch Game: Lolli Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Scotch Game: Lolli Variation has a 54.4% (90% CI: 54.4%-54.5%) win rate for white (1.7M Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.2%.

What is the Scotch Game: Lolli Variation win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Scotch Game: Lolli Variation has a 55.4% (90% CI: 55.0%-55.8%) win rate for white (51K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.8%.

Is the Scotch Game: Lolli Variation a good opening?

The Scotch Game: Lolli Variation is statistically favors white with a 53.8% (90% CI: 53.7%-53.8%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1000-1199 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.