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Scotch Game: Horwitz Attack

15K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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White Expected Score57.9%Range (90% confident): 57.2% – 58.5%Based on 15K games
0%57.9%100%
Range (90% confident): 57.2% – 58.5%
Outcome Distribution
56.0%3.7%40.3%
Win
Draw
Loss
5.Nb5
Scotch Game: Horwitz Attack
Analyzen=15K
Avg Length32 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate3.7%

What is the Scotch Game: Horwitz Attack expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Scotch Game: Horwitz Attack has a 57.9% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 57.2% and 58.5%), based on 15K Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 45% → 54%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 45.3% win rate (46 games)
  • 1000-1199: 55.9% win rate (112 games)
  • 1200-1399: 62.1% win rate (257 games)
  • 1400-1599: 61.8% win rate (677 games)
  • 1600-1799: 57.3% win rate (1,930 games)
  • 1800-1999: 55.9% win rate (3,872 games)
  • 2000-2199: 56.3% win rate (4,598 games)
  • 2200-2499: 53.4% win rate (3,151 games)
  • 2500+: 54.1% win rate (306 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Classical (60%), worst in Bullet (55%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 60.0% win rate (1 games)
  • Bullet: 55.2% win rate (4,668 games)
  • Blitz: 55.8% win rate (8,428 games)
  • Rapid: 58.7% win rate (1,750 games)
  • Classical: 60.4% win rate (102 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199—
1200-1399—
1400-1599—
1600-1799
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499—
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 44.2% expected score (7 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 54.1% expected score (23 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 38.6% expected score (16 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 58.2% expected score (29 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 53.0% expected score (48 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 57.3% expected score (33 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 60.3% expected score (62 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 69.3% expected score (105 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 58.9% expected score (83 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 55.9% expected score (7 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 61.1% expected score (175 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 65.5% expected score (350 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 60.0% expected score (144 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 60.6% expected score (8 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 56.8% expected score (501 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 58.8% expected score (1,141 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 63.0% expected score (272 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 65.2% expected score (15 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 57.5% expected score (960 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 57.3% expected score (2,346 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 60.8% expected score (531 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 41.8% expected score (35 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 56.8% expected score (1,158 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 58.1% expected score (2,916 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 60.6% expected score (495 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 81.1% expected score (29 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 55.1% expected score (1,538 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 55.3% expected score (1,439 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 63.6% expected score (168 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 63.4% expected score (6 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 56.1% expected score (238 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 56.5% expected score (60 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 65.8% expected score (8 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Scotch Game
52.9%
Variations (5)
Scotch Game: Alekhine Gambit
43.5%
Scotch Game: Benima Defense
52.7%
Scotch Game: Blumenfeld Attack
64.2%
Scotch Game: Braune Variation
49.0%
Scotch Game: Classical Variation
50.6%
Analyze Scotch Game: Horwitz Attack PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Scotch Game: Horwitz Attack win rate?

The Scotch Game: Horwitz Attack has a 56.0% (90% CI: 55.3%-56.7%) win rate for white, based on 15K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Scotch Game: Horwitz Attack perform best?

The Scotch Game: Horwitz Attack performs best at 1400-1599 Elo with a 61.8% win rate for white (677 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Scotch Game: Horwitz Attack better in blitz or rapid?

Rapid (58.7%) outperforms Classical (60.4%) by -1.7%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Scotch Game: Horwitz Attack?

The Scotch Game: Horwitz Attack has a sharpness score of 96.3 (very decisive), meaning 96.3% of games end decisively. Average game length is 32 moves.

What is the Scotch Game: Horwitz Attack win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Scotch Game: Horwitz Attack has a 55.9% (90% CI: 48.3%-63.5%) win rate for white, based on 112 Lichess games. Average game length is 24 moves with a 1.3% draw rate.

What is the Scotch Game: Horwitz Attack win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Scotch Game: Horwitz Attack has a 62.1% (90% CI: 57.1%-67.0%) win rate for white, based on 257 Lichess games. Average game length is 25 moves with a 2.9% draw rate.

What is the Scotch Game: Horwitz Attack win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Scotch Game: Horwitz Attack has a 61.8% (90% CI: 58.7%-64.9%) win rate for white, based on 677 Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 2.7% draw rate.

What is the Scotch Game: Horwitz Attack win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Scotch Game: Horwitz Attack has a 57.3% (90% CI: 55.4%-59.1%) win rate for white, based on 1.9K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 3.3% draw rate.

What is the Scotch Game: Horwitz Attack win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Scotch Game: Horwitz Attack has a 55.9% (90% CI: 54.6%-57.2%) win rate for white, based on 3.9K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 3.5% draw rate.

What is the Scotch Game: Horwitz Attack win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Scotch Game: Horwitz Attack has a 56.3% (90% CI: 55.1%-57.5%) win rate for white, based on 4.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.7% draw rate.

What is the Scotch Game: Horwitz Attack win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Scotch Game: Horwitz Attack has a 53.4% (90% CI: 51.9%-54.9%) win rate for white, based on 3.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 4.5% draw rate.

What is the Scotch Game: Horwitz Attack win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Scotch Game: Horwitz Attack has a 54.1% (90% CI: 49.5%-58.8%) win rate for white, based on 306 Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 4.7% draw rate.

What is the Scotch Game: Horwitz Attack win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Scotch Game: Horwitz Attack has a 55.2% (90% CI: 54.0%-56.4%) win rate for white (4.7K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.8%.

What is the Scotch Game: Horwitz Attack win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Scotch Game: Horwitz Attack has a 55.8% (90% CI: 54.9%-56.7%) win rate for white (8.4K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.0%.

What is the Scotch Game: Horwitz Attack win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Scotch Game: Horwitz Attack has a 58.7% (90% CI: 56.7%-60.6%) win rate for white (1.8K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.7%.

What is the Scotch Game: Horwitz Attack win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Scotch Game: Horwitz Attack has a 60.4% (90% CI: 52.4%-68.1%) win rate for white (102 Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.4%.

Is the Scotch Game: Horwitz Attack a good opening?

The Scotch Game: Horwitz Attack is statistically favors white with a 56.0% (90% CI: 55.3%-56.7%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1400-1599 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.