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Analyzer

Scotch Game: Braune Variation

6.9K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
White Expected Score50.7%Range (90% confident): 49.7% – 51.7%Based on 6.9K games
0%50.7%100%
Range (90% confident): 49.7% – 51.7%
Outcome Distribution
49.0%3.5%47.6%
Win
Draw
Loss
5.Be3
Scotch Game: Braune Variation
Analyzen=6.9K
Avg Length30 moves
Sharpness97%
Draw Rate3.5%

What is the Scotch Game: Braune Variation expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Scotch Game: Braune Variation has a 50.7% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 49.7% and 51.7%), based on 6.9K Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 44% → 66%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 44.0% win rate (195 games)
  • 1000-1199: 52.7% win rate (449 games)
  • 1200-1399: 46.0% win rate (894 games)
  • 1400-1599: 48.2% win rate (1,293 games)
  • 1600-1799: 47.5% win rate (1,570 games)
  • 1800-1999: 49.9% win rate (1,393 games)
  • 2000-2199: 51.8% win rate (717 games)
  • 2200-2499: 51.7% win rate (357 games)
  • 2500+: 66.1% win rate (28 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (60%), worst in Classical (35%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 60.0% win rate (6 games)
  • Bullet: 51.5% win rate (2,241 games)
  • Blitz: 47.7% win rate (3,429 games)
  • Rapid: 48.1% win rate (1,174 games)
  • Classical: 34.7% win rate (46 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199—
1200-1399—
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499——
2500+———

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 46.5% expected score (41 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 44.7% expected score (103 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 46.2% expected score (51 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 54.6% expected score (129 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 56.5% expected score (200 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 50.9% expected score (116 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 31.9% expected score (4 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 51.2% expected score (249 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 44.9% expected score (445 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 48.0% expected score (195 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 34.7% expected score (5 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 83.4% expected score (3 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 53.6% expected score (355 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 49.3% expected score (648 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 47.2% expected score (269 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 32.1% expected score (18 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 51.1% expected score (419 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 47.6% expected score (883 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 51.7% expected score (260 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 32.4% expected score (7 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 51.7% expected score (472 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 51.9% expected score (723 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 52.7% expected score (187 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (10 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 57.4% expected score (310 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 52.9% expected score (326 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 48.8% expected score (78 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 53.4% expected score (239 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 54.9% expected score (101 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (17 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 69.3% expected score (27 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 70.0% expected score (1 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Scotch Game
52.9%
Variations (5)
Scotch Game: Alekhine Gambit
43.5%
Scotch Game: Benima Defense
52.7%
Scotch Game: Blumenfeld Attack
64.2%
Scotch Game: Classical Variation
50.6%
Scotch Game: Classical Variation, Blackburne Attack
51.2%
Analyze Scotch Game: Braune Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Scotch Game: Braune Variation win rate?

The Scotch Game: Braune Variation has a 49.0% (90% CI: 48.0%-49.9%) win rate for white, based on 6.9K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Scotch Game: Braune Variation perform best?

The Scotch Game: Braune Variation performs best at 1000-1199 Elo with a 52.7% win rate for white (449 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Scotch Game: Braune Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (51.5%) outperforms Rapid (48.1%) by 3.4%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Scotch Game: Braune Variation?

The Scotch Game: Braune Variation has a sharpness score of 96.5 (very decisive), meaning 96.5% of games end decisively. Average game length is 30 moves.

What is the Scotch Game: Braune Variation win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Scotch Game: Braune Variation has a 44.0% (90% CI: 38.2%-49.9%) win rate for white, based on 195 Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 2.8% draw rate.

What is the Scotch Game: Braune Variation win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Scotch Game: Braune Variation has a 52.7% (90% CI: 48.8%-56.6%) win rate for white, based on 449 Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 3.0% draw rate.

What is the Scotch Game: Braune Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Scotch Game: Braune Variation has a 46.0% (90% CI: 43.2%-48.7%) win rate for white, based on 894 Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 2.5% draw rate.

What is the Scotch Game: Braune Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Scotch Game: Braune Variation has a 48.2% (90% CI: 46.0%-50.5%) win rate for white, based on 1.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 3.3% draw rate.

What is the Scotch Game: Braune Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Scotch Game: Braune Variation has a 47.5% (90% CI: 45.4%-49.6%) win rate for white, based on 1.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 3.2% draw rate.

What is the Scotch Game: Braune Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Scotch Game: Braune Variation has a 49.9% (90% CI: 47.7%-52.1%) win rate for white, based on 1.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 4.0% draw rate.

What is the Scotch Game: Braune Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Scotch Game: Braune Variation has a 51.8% (90% CI: 48.8%-54.9%) win rate for white, based on 717 Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 5.2% draw rate.

What is the Scotch Game: Braune Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Scotch Game: Braune Variation has a 51.7% (90% CI: 47.4%-56.1%) win rate for white, based on 357 Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 3.8% draw rate.

What is the Scotch Game: Braune Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Scotch Game: Braune Variation has a 51.5% (90% CI: 49.7%-53.2%) win rate for white (2.2K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.2%.

What is the Scotch Game: Braune Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Scotch Game: Braune Variation has a 47.7% (90% CI: 46.3%-49.1%) win rate for white (3.4K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.8%.

What is the Scotch Game: Braune Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Scotch Game: Braune Variation has a 48.1% (90% CI: 45.7%-50.5%) win rate for white (1.2K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.2%.

Is the Scotch Game: Braune Variation a good opening?

The Scotch Game: Braune Variation is statistically balanced with a 49.0% (90% CI: 48.0%-49.9%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1000-1199 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.